Virtual Valuation
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In
auction theory Auction theory is a branch of applied economics that deals with how bidders act in auctions and researches how the features of auctions Incentivisation, incentivise predictable outcomes. Auction theory is a tool used to inform the design of real- ...
, particularly
Bayesian-optimal mechanism design A Bayesian-optimal mechanism (BOM) is a mechanism in which the designer does not know the valuations of the agents for whom the mechanism is designed, but the designer knows that they are random variables and knows the probability distribution of th ...
, a virtual valuation of an agent is a function that measures the surplus that can be extracted from that agent. A typical application is a seller who wants to sell an item to a potential buyer and wants to decide on the optimal price. The optimal price depends on the ''valuation'' of the buyer to the item, v. The seller does not know v exactly, but he assumes that v is a random variable, with some
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Ever ...
F(v) and probability distribution function f(v) := F'(v). The ''virtual valuation'' of the agent is defined as: ::r(v) := v - \frac


Applications

A key theorem of Myerson says that: ::The expected profit of any truthful mechanism is equal to its expected virtual surplus. In the case of a single buyer, this implies that the price p should be determined according to the equation: ::r(p) = 0 This guarantees that the buyer will buy the item, if and only if his virtual-valuation is weakly-positive, so the seller will have a weakly-positive expected profit. This exactly equals the optimal sale price – the price that maximizes the
expected value In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first Moment (mathematics), moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informa ...
of the seller's profit, given the distribution of valuations: :p = \operatorname_v v\cdot (1-F(v)) Virtual valuations can be used to construct Bayesian-optimal mechanisms also when there are multiple buyers, or different item-types.


Examples

1. The buyer's valuation has a
continuous uniform distribution In probability theory and statistics, the continuous uniform distributions or rectangular distributions are a family of symmetric probability distributions. Such a distribution describes an experiment where there is an arbitrary outcome that li ...
in ,1/math>. So: * F(v) = v \text ,1 * f(v) = 1 \text ,1 * r(v) = 2v-1 \text ,1 * r^(0) = 1/2, so the optimal single-item price is 1/2. 2. The buyer's valuation has a
normal distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x) = \frac ...
with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. w(v) is monotonically increasing, and crosses the ''x''-axis in about 0.75, so this is the optimal price. The crossing point moves right when the standard deviation is larger.See thi
Desmos graph


Regularity

A probability distribution function is called regular if its virtual-valuation function is weakly-increasing. Regularity is important because it implies that the virtual-surplus can be maximized by a
truthful mechanism In mechanism design, a strategyproof (SP) mechanism is a game form in which each player has a weakly- dominant strategy, so that no player can gain by "spying" over the other players to know what they are going to play. When the players have privat ...
. A sufficient condition for regularity is monotone hazard rate, which means that the following function is weakly-increasing: ::r(v) := \frac Monotone-hazard-rate implies regularity, but the opposite is not true. The proof is simple: the monotone hazard rate implies -\frac is weakly increasing in v and therefore the virtual valuation v-\frac is strictly increasing in v.


See also

* Myerson ironing *
Algorithmic pricing Algorithmic pricing is the practice of automatically setting the requested price for items for sale, in order to maximize the seller's profits. Dynamic pricing algorithms usually rely on one or more of the following data. * Probabilistic and stati ...


References

{{reflist Mechanism design