The fundamental theorems of asset pricing (also: of arbitrage, of finance), in both
financial economics
Financial economics is the branch of economics characterized by a "concentration on monetary activities", in which "money of one type or another is likely to appear on ''both sides'' of a trade".William F. Sharpe"Financial Economics", in
Its co ...
and
mathematical finance
Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling in the financial field.
In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that req ...
, provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a market to be
arbitrage-free, and for a market to be
complete. An arbitrage opportunity is a way of making money with no initial investment without any possibility of loss.
Though arbitrage opportunities do exist briefly in real life, it has been said that any sensible market model must avoid this type of profit.
[Pascucci, Andrea (2011) ''PDE and Martingale Methods in Option Pricing''. Berlin: ]Springer-Verlag
Springer Science+Business Media, commonly known as Springer, is a German multinational publishing company of books, e-books and peer-reviewed journals in science, humanities, technical and medical (STM) publishing.
Originally founded in 1842 in ...
The first theorem is important in that it ensures a fundamental property of market models. Completeness is a common property of market models (for instance the
Black–Scholes model). A complete market is one in which every
contingent claim can be
replicated. Though this property is common in models, it is not always considered desirable or realistic.
Discrete markets
In a discrete (i.e. finite state) market, the following hold:
#The First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing: A discrete market on a discrete
probability space is
arbitrage-free if, and only if, there exists at least one
risk neutral probability measure that is
equivalent to the original probability measure, ''P''.
#The Second Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing: An arbitrage-free market (S,B) consisting of a collection of stocks ''S'' and a
risk-free bond ''B'' is
complete if and only if there exists a unique risk-neutral measure that is equivalent to ''P'' and has
numeraire ''B''.
In more general markets
When stock price returns follow a single
Brownian motion, there is a unique risk neutral measure. When the stock price process is assumed to follow a more general
sigma-martingale or
semimartingale, then the concept of arbitrage is too narrow, and a stronger concept such as
no free lunch with vanishing risk (NFLVR) must be used to describe these opportunities in an infinite dimensional setting.
In continuous time, a version of the fundamental theorems of asset pricing reads:
Let
be a d-dimensional semimartingale market (a collection of stocks),
the risk-free bond and
the underlying probability space. Furthermore, we call a measure
an
equivalent local martingale measure if
and if the processes
are local martingales under the measure
.
# The First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing: Assume
is locally bounded. Then the market
satisfies NFLVR if and only if there exists an equivalent local martingale measure.
# The Second Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing: Assume that there exists an equivalent local martingale measure
. Then
is a complete market if and only if
is the unique local martingale measure.
See also
*
Arbitrage pricing theory
In finance, arbitrage pricing theory (APT) is a multi-factor model for asset pricing which relates various macro-economic (systematic) risk variables to the pricing of financial assets. Proposed by economist Stephen Ross (economist), Stephen Ross i ...
*
Asset pricing
In financial economics, asset pricing refers to a formal treatment and development of two interrelated Price, pricing principles, outlined below, together with the resultant models. There have been many models developed for different situations, ...
*
*
Rational pricing
References
Sources
Further reading
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External links
* http://www.fam.tuwien.ac.at/~wschach/pubs/preprnts/prpr0118a.pdf
{{DEFAULTSORT:Fundamental Theorem Of Arbitrage-Free Pricing
Financial economics
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