2025 Ontario General Election
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The 2025 Ontario general election was held on February 27, 2025, to elect the 124 members of the
44th Parliament of Ontario The 44th Parliament of Ontario is the session of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario from 2025 with the membership having been determined by the results of the 2025 Ontario general election, 2025 general election held on February 27. It is led ...
. Premier Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives were re-elected to a third consecutive
majority government A majority government is a government by one or more governing parties that hold an absolute majority of seats in a legislature. Such a government can consist of one party that holds a majority on its own, or be a coalition government of multi ...
, the first time a party has done so since
1959 Events January * January 1 – Cuba: Fulgencio Batista flees Havana when the forces of Fidel Castro advance. * January 2 – Soviet lunar probe Luna 1 is the first human-made object to attain escape velocity from Earth. It reaches the ...
. The PCs increased their vote share to 43%, however lost three seats compared to 2022. The
New Democratic Party The New Democratic Party (NDP; , ) is a federal political party in Canada. Widely described as social democratic,The party is widely described as social democratic: * * * * * * * * * * * * * The Editors of ''Encyclopædia Britann ...
led by
Marit Stiles Marit Stiles (born September 20, 1969) is a Canadian politician who has been the leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) and the Leader of the Official Opposition (Ontario), leader of the Official Opposition since February 4, 2023. She ...
retained its status as the Official Opposition, albeit with four fewer seats than in 2022 and whilst finishing a distant third in the popular vote. The Liberals finished over ten percentage points ahead of the NDP in the popular vote but won just fourteen seats, although this five-seat increase from 2022 was enough for the Liberals to regain
official party status Official party status refers to the Westminster system, Westminster practice which is used in the Parliament of Canada and the provincial legislatures of recognizing Parliamentary group, parliamentary caucuses of political parties. In parliamentar ...
in the legislature for the first time since
2018 Events January * January 1 – Bulgaria takes over the Presidency of the Council of the European Union, after the Estonian presidency. * January 4 – SPLM-IO rebels loyal to Chan Garang Lual start a raid against Juba, capital of ...
. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie however failed to win her seat in Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing to the PC candidate. The Greens held their two seats, although suffering a slight drop in popularity. Incumbent
independent Independent or Independents may refer to: Arts, entertainment, and media Artist groups * Independents (artist group), a group of modernist painters based in Pennsylvania, United States * Independentes (English: Independents), a Portuguese artist ...
MPP Bobbi Ann Brady held her seat in Haldimand-Norfolk, winning the second-largest margin in the province.


Background

Under the Ontario ''Elections Act'', general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election was anticipated to be held on June 4, 2026. However, it had been speculated since early 2024 that Premier
Doug Ford Douglas Robert Ford Jr. (born November 20, 1964) is a Canadian politician and businessman who has served as the 26th and current premier of Ontario and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party since 2018. He represents the Toronto rid ...
would call a
snap election A snap election is an election that is called earlier than the one that has been scheduled. Snap elections in parliamentary systems are often called to resolve a political impasse such as a hung parliament where no single political party has a ma ...
to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which, at that time, the federal Conservative Party under
Pierre Poilievre Pierre Marcel Poilievre (born June 3, 1979) is a Canadian politician who has been the Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, Conservative Party since 2022. He was the Member of Parliament (Canad ...
was considered extremely likely to win. This speculation was fueled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences for confirmation. On January 23, 2025, multiple news outlets reported that Ford would visit
Edith Dumont Edith Dumont (born 1964) is a Canadian educator who has served as the lieutenant governor of Ontario since November 14, 2023, the 30th since Confederation. Early life and education Dumont was born in 1964 in Salaberry-de-Valleyfield, Quebec ...
, the
Lieutenant Governor of Ontario The lieutenant governor of Ontario (, in French: ''Lieutenant-gouverneur'' (if male) or ''Lieutenante-gouverneure'' (if female) ''de l'Ontario'') is the representative in Ontario of the monarch, who operates distinctly within the province but i ...
, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27. This speculation was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24. On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a
writ of election A writ of election is a writ issued ordering the holding of an election. In Commonwealth countries writs are the usual mechanism by which general elections are called and are issued by the head of state or their representative. In the United S ...
issued the next day. The election cost approximately $189 million.


Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in
Northern Ontario Northern Ontario is a primary geographic and quasi-administrative region of the Provinces and territories of Canada, Canadian province of Ontario, the other primary region being Southern Ontario. Most of the core geographic region is located on p ...
set out in the 1996 redistribution. The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, recommended the creation of the additional districts of
Kiiwetinoong Kiiwetinoong () is a provincial electoral district (riding) in Ontario, Canada which elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario. This riding was created prior to the 42nd Ontario general election from the northern portion of Kenora ...
and
Mushkegowuk—James Bay Mushkegowuk—James Bay () is a provincial electoral district in Ontario, Canada. It elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario. This riding was created from the northern portion of Timmins—James Bay by the Far North Electoral B ...
, carved out from the existing
Kenora—Rainy River Kenora—Rainy River could refer to: *Kenora—Rainy River (federal electoral district) *Kenora—Rainy River (provincial electoral district) Kenora—Rainy River is a provincial electoral district (Canada), electoral district (riding) in northw ...
and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. This was implemented through the ''Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017''. With the
2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution A redistribution of federal electoral districts ("ridings") began in Canada following the results of the 2021 Canadian census. The Constitution of Canada requires that federal electoral districts that compose the House of Commons undergo a re ...
, Ontario was allotted 1 additional seat in the
House of Commons The House of Commons is the name for the elected lower house of the Bicameralism, bicameral parliaments of the United Kingdom and Canada. In both of these countries, the Commons holds much more legislative power than the nominally upper house of ...
. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election. As Northern Ontario lost a seat in the federal process, further adjustments would have been needed to maintain their extra provincial representation, which would have resulted in an extra additional riding.


Timeline


2022

*June 2: The
Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC; ), often shortened to the Ontario PC Party, or simply the PCs, colloquially known as the Tories, is a Centre-right politics, centre-right political party in Ontario, Canada. During its uninterr ...
under
Doug Ford Douglas Robert Ford Jr. (born November 20, 1964) is a Canadian politician and businessman who has served as the 26th and current premier of Ontario and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party since 2018. He represents the Toronto rid ...
won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election.
New Democratic Party The New Democratic Party (NDP; , ) is a federal political party in Canada. Widely described as social democratic,The party is widely described as social democratic: * * * * * * * * * * * * * The Editors of ''Encyclopædia Britann ...
leader
Andrea Horwath Andrea Lynn Horwath (; born October 24, 1962) is a Canadian politician who has served as the 58th List of mayors of Hamilton, Ontario, mayor of Hamilton since 2022. Horwath served as the leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) from 200 ...
and
Liberal Liberal or liberalism may refer to: Politics * Generally, a supporter of the political philosophy liberalism. Liberals may be politically left or right but tend to be centrist. * An adherent of a Liberal Party (See also Liberal parties by country ...
leader
Steven Del Duca Steven Alfonso Del Duca (born July 7, 1973) is a Canadian politician who has been serving as the Mayors of Vaughan, mayor of Vaughan since 2022. Del Duca previously served as the leader of the Ontario Liberal Party from 2020 to 2022 and was an ...
both announced their resignation on election night. *June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP
Peter Tabuns Peter Charles Tabuns (born October 3, 1951) is a Canadian politician who served as the interim leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party and the Leader of the Official Opposition (Ontario), leader of the Official Opposition from 2022 to 2023. ...
was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition. *August 3:
Ottawa South Ottawa South () is a federal Electoral district (Canada), electoral district in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. It is represented in the House of Commons of Canada by David McGuinty, brother of former Premier of Ontario and Ottawa South Member of Pro ...
MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals.


2023

*February 4:
Marit Stiles Marit Stiles (born September 20, 1969) is a Canadian politician who has been the leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) and the Leader of the Official Opposition (Ontario), leader of the Official Opposition since February 4, 2023. She ...
was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition. *December 2:
Bonnie Crombie Bonnie-Michelle Teresa Bernadette Stack Sawarna Crombie ( Stack, formerly Sawarna; born February 5, 1960) is a Canadian politician and businesswoman who has been the leader of the Ontario Liberal Party since December 2, 2023. Crombie previousl ...
was elected leader of the Liberals.


2025

* January 28:
Writs of election A writ of election is a writ issued ordering the holding of an election. In Commonwealth countries writs are the usual mechanism by which general elections are called and are issued by the head of state or their representative. In the United S ...
were dropped, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign. * February 13: Nominations close. * February 14: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities. * February 17: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium. * February 27: Election day.


Seat changes


By-election results


Candidates


Incumbents not standing for re-election

As of the candidate nomination deadline, 12 incumbent MPPs chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:


Campaign

Ford's PCs launched their campaign in
Windsor Windsor may refer to: Places *Detroit–Windsor, Michigan-Ontario, USA-Canada, North America; a cross-border metropolitan region Australia New South Wales *Windsor, New South Wales ** Municipality of Windsor, a former local government area Queen ...
, in front of the
Ambassador Bridge The Ambassador Bridge is an international suspension bridge across the Detroit River that connects Detroit, Detroit, Michigan, United States, with Windsor, Ontario, Canada. Opened in 1929, the toll bridge is the busiest international border cros ...
. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in
Toronto Toronto ( , locally pronounced or ) is the List of the largest municipalities in Canada by population, most populous city in Canada. It is the capital city of the Provinces and territories of Canada, Canadian province of Ontario. With a p ...
, while Crombie's Liberals launched their campaign in
Barrie Barrie is a city in Central Ontario, Canada, about north of Toronto. The city is within Simcoe County and located along the shores of Kempenfelt Bay. Although it is physically in the county, Barrie is politically independent. The city is part ...
. Schreiner's Green's launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park.


Contests


Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by new
President President most commonly refers to: *President (corporate title) * President (education), a leader of a college or university *President (government title) President may also refer to: Arts and entertainment Film and television *'' Præsident ...
Donald Trump Donald John Trump (born June 14, 1946) is an American politician, media personality, and businessman who is the 47th president of the United States. A member of the Republican Party (United States), Republican Party, he served as the 45 ...
. Ford was caught on video saying that on the day of the 2024 U.S. presidential election he was "100% happy" that Trump won, until Trump threatened tariffs on Canada.


Party slogans


Endorsements


Debates


Results


Seats changing hands

PC to Liberal *
Ajax Ajax may refer to: Greek mythology and tragedy * Ajax the Great, a Greek mythological hero, son of King Telamon and Periboea * Ajax the Lesser, a Greek mythological hero, son of Oileus, the king of Locris * Ajax (play), ''Ajax'' (play), by the an ...
* Don Valley North ''(previous PC member left the party and stood for reelection as an independent)'' * Etobicoke—Lakeshore * Kanata—Carleton ''(won by Liberals in 2023 by-election)'' * Nepean NDP to PC * Algoma—Manitoulin ''(previous NDP member left the party and stood for reelection as an independent)'' *
Hamilton Mountain Hamilton, Ontario, Hamilton is located on the western end of the Niagara Peninsula and wraps around the westernmost part of the Lake Ontario. Most of the city including the downtown section lies along the south shore. Situated in the geographic c ...
NDP to Liberal * Toronto—St. Paul's NDP to Green * Kitchener Centre ''(won by Greens in 2023 by-election)''


Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results. ! colspan="2" rowspan="2" , Party ! rowspan="2" , Leader ! colspan="3" , Seats ! colspan="3" , Votes , - ! Elected !
2022 The year began with another wave in the COVID-19 pandemic, with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant, Omicron spreading rapidly and becoming the dominant variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus worldwide. Tracking a decrease in cases and deaths, 2022 saw ...
! ± ! # ! % ! Change , - , style="text-align: left;" ,
Doug Ford Douglas Robert Ford Jr. (born November 20, 1964) is a Canadian politician and businessman who has served as the 26th and current premier of Ontario and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party since 2018. He represents the Toronto rid ...
, 51 , , 17 , , 34 , , 58,189 , , 24.14% , , 5.45 , - , style="text-align: left;" ,
Marit Stiles Marit Stiles (born September 20, 1969) is a Canadian politician who has been the leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) and the Leader of the Official Opposition (Ontario), leader of the Official Opposition since February 4, 2023. She ...
, 41 , , 75 , , 34 , , 56,570 , , 23.47%, , 5.09 , - , style="text-align: left;" ,
Bonnie Crombie Bonnie-Michelle Teresa Bernadette Stack Sawarna Crombie ( Stack, formerly Sawarna; born February 5, 1960) is a Canadian politician and businesswoman who has been the leader of the Ontario Liberal Party since December 2, 2023. Crombie previousl ...
, 28 , , 28 , , , , 57,228 , , 23.74% , , 1.68 , - , style="text-align: left;" ,
Mike Schreiner Michael John Schreiner ( ; born 9 June 1969) is a Canadian politician who has served as the leader of the Green Party of Ontario since 2009. Schreiner sits as a Member of Provincial Parliament (Ontario), member of Provincial Parliament (MPP), ...
, 3 , , 4 , , 1 , , 37,489 , , 15.55% , , 0.44 , - , style="text-align: left;" colspan="2" , Independent , 1 , , 0 , , 1 , , 5,362 , , 2.22% , , 1.32 , - , style="text-align:left;" ,
Jim Karahalios Jim Karahalios is a Canadian politician and lawyer who ran as the New Blue candidate for Kitchener—Conestoga in the 2022 Ontario general election. He is the co-founder and leader of the New Blue Party. Political career In late 2017, Karaha ...
, 0 , , 0 , , 0 , , , 13,643 , , 5.66% , style="text-align: left;" colspan="6" , , - , style="text-align:left;" ,
Derek Sloan Derek Nathaniel Sloan (born November 11, 1984) is a Canadian politician who represented the riding of Hastings—Lennox and Addington from 2019 to 2021. Shortly after being elected to the House of Commons of Canada in the 2019 Canadian federal ...
, 0 , , 0 , , 0 , , 5,221 , , 2.17% , style="text-align: left;" colspan="2" , Others , 0 , , 0 , , 0 , , 7,341 , , 3.03% , , , - , style="text-align: left;" colspan="6" , Valid votes , 234,807 , , , , , - , style="text-align: left;" colspan="6" , Rejected ballots , 7,600 , , , , , - , style="text-align: left;" colspan="3" , Total votes cast , 124 , , 124 , , , , 242,407 , , , , , - , colspan="9" style="text-align: left;" , Source:''
Student Vote Ontario 2025


Opinion polls


Footnotes


References


Opinion poll sources


External links



{{Ontario elections
General election A general election is an electoral process to choose most or all members of a governing body at the same time. They are distinct from By-election, by-elections, which fill individual seats that have become vacant between general elections. Gener ...
Ontario general election Ontario is the southernmost province of Canada. Located in Central Canada, Ontario is the country's most populous province. As of the 2021 Canadian census, it is home to 38.5% of the country's population, and is the second-largest province by ...
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