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Empirical Measure
In probability theory, an empirical measure is a random measure arising from a particular realization of a (usually finite) sequence of random variables. The precise definition is found below. Empirical measures are relevant to mathematical statistics. The motivation for studying empirical measures is that it is often impossible to know the true underlying probability measure P. We collect observations X_1, X_2, \dots , X_n and compute relative frequencies. We can estimate P, or a related distribution function F by means of the empirical measure or empirical distribution function, respectively. These are uniformly good estimates under certain conditions. Theorems in the area of empirical processes provide rates of this convergence. Definition Let X_1, X_2, \dots be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with values in the state space ''S'' with probability distribution ''P''. Definition :The ''empirical measure'' ''P''''n'' is defined for me ...
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Probability Theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is not possible to perfectly predict random events, much can be said about their behavior. Two major results in probab ...
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Covariance Matrix
In probability theory and statistics, a covariance matrix (also known as auto-covariance matrix, dispersion matrix, variance matrix, or variance–covariance matrix) is a square matrix giving the covariance between each pair of elements of a given random vector. Any covariance matrix is symmetric and positive semi-definite and its main diagonal contains variances (i.e., the covariance of each element with itself). Intuitively, the covariance matrix generalizes the notion of variance to multiple dimensions. As an example, the variation in a collection of random points in two-dimensional space cannot be characterized fully by a single number, nor would the variances in the x and y directions contain all of the necessary information; a 2 \times 2 matrix would be necessary to fully characterize the two-dimensional variation. The covariance matrix of a random vector \mathbf is typically denoted by \operatorname_ or \Sigma. Definition Throughout this article, boldfaced unsub ...
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Annals Of Probability
The ''Annals of Probability'' is a leading peer-reviewed probability journal published by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, which is the main international society for researchers in the areas probability and statistics. The journal was started in 1973 as a continuation in part of the '' Annals of Mathematical Statistics'', which was split into the ''Annals of Statistics'' and this journal. In July 2021, the journal was ranked 7th in the field Probability & Statistics with Applications according to Google Scholar. It had an impact factor of 1.470 (as of 2010), according to the ''Journal Citation Reports''. The impact factor for 2018 is 2.085. Its CiteScore is 4.3, and SCImago Journal Rank is 3.184, both from 2020. Editors-in-Chief: Past and Present The following persons have been editor-in-chief of the journal: * Ronald Pyke (1972–1975) * Patrick Billingsley (1976–1978) * Richard M. Dudley (1979–1981) * Thomas M. Liggett (1985–1987) * Peter E. Ney (1988–1990) ...
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Annals Of Mathematical Statistics
The ''Annals of Mathematical Statistics'' was a peer-reviewed statistics journal published by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics from 1930 to 1972. It was superseded by the ''Annals of Statistics'' and the ''Annals of Probability''. In 1938, Samuel Wilks became editor-in-chief of the ''Annals'' and recruited a remarkable editorial staff: Fisher, Neyman, Cramér, Hotelling, Egon Pearson, Georges Darmois, Allen T. Craig, Deming, von Mises, H. L. Rietz Henry Lewis Rietz (24 August 1875, Gilmore, Ohio – 7 December 1943, Iowa City, Iowa) was an American mathematician, actuarial scientist, and statistician, who was a leader in the development of statistical theory. He became the first president o ..., and Shewhart. References {{reflist External links Annals of Mathematical Statistics at Project Euclid Statistics journals Probability journals ...
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Poisson Random Measure
Let (E, \mathcal A, \mu) be some measure space with \sigma-finite measure \mu. The Poisson random measure with intensity measure \mu is a family of random variables \_ defined on some probability space (\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathrm) such that i) \forall A\in\mathcal,\quad N_A is a Poisson random variable with rate \mu(A). ii) If sets A_1,A_2,\ldots,A_n\in\mathcal don't intersect then the corresponding random variables from i) are mutually independent. iii) \forall\omega\in\Omega\;N_(\omega) is a measure on (E, \mathcal ) Existence If \mu\equiv 0 then N\equiv 0 satisfies the conditions i)–iii). Otherwise, in the case of finite measure \mu, given Z, a Poisson random variable with rate \mu(E), and X_, X_,\ldots, mutually independent random variables with distribution \frac, define N_(\omega) = \sum\limits_^ \delta_(\cdot) where \delta_(A) is a degenerate measure located in c. Then N will be a Poisson random measure. In the case \mu is not finite the measure N can be obtai ...
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Empirical Risk Minimization
Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is a principle in statistical learning theory which defines a family of learning algorithms and is used to give theoretical bounds on their performance. The core idea is that we cannot know exactly how well an algorithm will work in practice (the true "risk") because we don't know the true distribution of data that the algorithm will work on, but we can instead measure its performance on a known set of training data (the "empirical" risk). Background Consider the following situation, which is a general setting of many supervised learning problems. We have two spaces of objects X and Y and would like to learn a function \ h: X \to Y (often called ''hypothesis'') which outputs an object y \in Y, given x \in X. To do so, we have at our disposal a ''training set'' of n examples \ (x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n) where x_i \in X is an input and y_i \in Y is the corresponding response that we wish to get from h(x_i). To put it more formally, we assume ...
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Chervonenkis
Alexey Yakovlevich Chervonenkis (russian: link=no, Алексей Яковлевич Червоненкис; 7 September 1938 – 22 September 2014) was a Soviet and Russian mathematician. Along with Vladimir Vapnik, he was one of the main developers of the Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory, also known as the "fundamental theory of learning" - an important part of computational learning theory. Chervonenkis held joint appointments with the Russian Academy of Sciences and Royal Holloway, University of London. Alexey Chervonenkis got lost in Losiny Ostrov National Park on 22 September 2014, and later during a search operation was found dead near Mytishchi, a suburb of Moscow. He had died of hypothermia Hypothermia is defined as a body core temperature below in humans. Symptoms depend on the temperature. In mild hypothermia, there is shivering and mental confusion. In moderate hypothermia, shivering stops and confusion increases. In severe .... References External linksChervo ...
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Vapnik
Vladimir Naumovich Vapnik (russian: Владимир Наумович Вапник; born 6 December 1936) is one of the main developers of the Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory of statistical learning, and the co-inventor of the support-vector machine method, and support-vector clustering algorithm. Early life and education Vladimir Vapnik was born to a Jewish family in the Soviet Union. He received his master's degree in mathematics from the Uzbek State University, Samarkand, Uzbek SSR in 1958 and Ph.D in statistics at the Institute of Control Sciences, Moscow in 1964. He worked at this institute from 1961 to 1990 and became Head of the Computer Science Research Department. Academic career At the end of 1990, Vladimir Vapnik moved to the USA and joined the Adaptive Systems Research Department at AT&T Bell Labs in Holmdel, New Jersey. While at AT&T, Vapnik and his colleagues did work on the support-vector machine, which he also worked on much earlier before moving to the USA. The ...
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Almost Surely
In probability theory, an event is said to happen almost surely (sometimes abbreviated as a.s.) if it happens with probability 1 (or Lebesgue measure 1). In other words, the set of possible exceptions may be non-empty, but it has probability 0. The concept is analogous to the concept of "almost everywhere" in measure theory. In probability experiments on a finite sample space, there is no difference between ''almost surely'' and ''surely'' (since having a probability of 1 often entails including all the sample points). However, this distinction becomes important when the sample space is an infinite set, because an infinite set can have non-empty subsets of probability 0. Some examples of the use of this concept include the strong and uniform versions of the law of large numbers, and the continuity of the paths of Brownian motion. The terms almost certainly (a.c.) and almost always (a.a.) are also used. Almost never describes the opposite of ''almost surely'': an event that ...
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Law Of Large Numbers
In probability theory, the law of large numbers (LLN) is a theorem that describes the result of performing the same experiment a large number of times. According to the law, the average of the results obtained from a large number of trials should be close to the expected value and tends to become closer to the expected value as more trials are performed. The LLN is important because it guarantees stable long-term results for the averages of some random events. For example, while a casino may lose money in a single spin of the roulette wheel, its earnings will tend towards a predictable percentage over a large number of spins. Any winning streak by a player will eventually be overcome by the parameters of the game. Importantly, the law applies (as the name indicates) only when a ''large number'' of observations are considered. There is no principle that a small number of observations will coincide with the expected value or that a streak of one value will immediately be "balance ...
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Empirical Mean
The sample mean (or "empirical mean") and the sample covariance are statistics computed from a sample of data on one or more random variables. The sample mean is the average value (or mean value) of a sample of numbers taken from a larger population of numbers, where "population" indicates not number of people but the entirety of relevant data, whether collected or not. A sample of 40 companies' sales from the Fortune 500 might be used for convenience instead of looking at the population, all 500 companies' sales. The sample mean is used as an estimator for the population mean, the average value in the entire population, where the estimate is more likely to be close to the population mean if the sample is large and representative. The reliability of the sample mean is estimated using the standard error, which in turn is calculated using the variance of the sample. If the sample is random, the standard error falls with the size of the sample and the sample mean's distribution ...
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