The Unified Model is a
numerical weather prediction and
climate modeling software suite originally developed by the
United Kingdom
The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Northwestern Europe, off the coast of European mainland, the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotlan ...
Met Office from 1990 and now both used and further developed by many weather-forecasting agencies around the world. The Unified Model gets its name because a single model is used across a range of both timescales (nowcasting to centennial) and spatial scales (convective scale to climate system earth modelling). The models are
grid-point based, rather than
wave based, and are run on a variety of
supercomputers around the world. The Unified Model atmosphere can be coupled to a number of ocean models. At the Met Office, it is used for the main suite of weather prediction models, for deployable and on-demand weather models, and for seasonal and climate modelling. Similar Unified Model suites with global and regional domains are used by many other national or military weather agencies around the world for operational forecasting.
Data for numerical weather prediction is provided by observations from satellites, from the ground (both human and from automatic weather stations), from buoys at sea, radar,
radiosonde weather balloons,
wind profilers, commercial aircraft and a background field from previous model runs.
The computer model is only adjusted towards the observations using
assimilation, rather than forcing the model to accept an observed value that might make the system unstable (and could be an inaccurate observation).
The Unified Model software suite is written in
Fortran (originally 77 but predominantly 90 ).
[ ]
Because most developments of interest are near to the ground the vertical layers are closer together near the surface.
A major update was deployed in August 2002, called "New Dynamics".
Principal UM suites at the Met Office
The Met Office runs a range of
Numerical Weather Prediction suites using the UM.
All of the models use varying resolutions of
topography
Topography is the study of the forms and features of land surfaces. The topography of an area may refer to the landforms and features themselves, or a description or depiction in maps.
Topography is a field of geoscience and planetary sci ...
with greater accuracy at higher resolutions. The limiting factor with all models is that for a weather event to be recorded by the model it must be at least three grid points in size. Thus, for a model at 40 km, a weather system must be at least 120 km to be modelled. This means smaller phenomena such as small depressions, smaller hurricanes and large thunderstorms are too small for the model to handle. As the resolution increases, smaller events can be caught; the 1.5 km model for example, is reputedly capable of modelling individual showers.
Global Ensemble Model (MOGREPS-G)
MOGREPS-G is an
ensemble model that runs multiple simulations to reduce the overall average error caused by the inherent uncertainty in the observation and modelling process. The model consists of 18 ensemble members with a 10 km horizontal resolution and 70 vertical levels, forecasting out to 168 hours (7 days) with a model run every 6 hours.
The latest two runs can be combined to give a 36-member ensemble.
UK Ensemble Model (MOGREPS-UK)
The UK ensemble model consists of 3 ensemble members with a 1.5-4 km horizontal resolution and 70 vertical levels, forecasting out to 120 hours (5 days) with a model run every hour.
The latest 6 runs can be combined to give a 18-member ensemble.
Global Deterministic Model
Approximately 10 km resolution with 70 vertical levels across the entire global domain.
[Atmospheric numerical model configurations as of 2025](_blank)
Met Office 2025. Forecasts alternate between 60 hour (2.5 day) and 144 hour (6 day) extents. The Global model provides boundary information for the smaller-domain models. The model is kept close to the real atmosphere using
hybrid 4D-Var data assimilation[Hybrid variational/ensemble data assimilation](_blank)
. Met Office 2011. of observations.
UK Deterministic Model (UKV)
1.5-4 km horizontal resolution and 70 vertical levels.
The resolution is 1.5 km over the UK and 4 km over surrounding areas.
[Issues with high-resolution NWP](_blank)
discussing the UKV model, Met Office 2010.
discussing the UKV model, Met Office 2011. Forecast lengths vary, with hourly forecasts out to 12 hours, three-hourly forecasts out to 54 hours (2.25 days), and twice-daily forecasts out to 120 hours (5 days.) The model uses boundary conditions from the global deterministic model, sea conditions from th
AMM15 shelf seas model and is kept close to observations using
4D-Var data assimilation hourly.
North Atlantic and European model (retired)
The Met Office's North Atlantic and European model (NAE) model had 70 levels with a 12 km resolution.
It was run out to 48 hours from start. Because the UK is at a northern latitude the model transposes the model area to an equatorial location so that the grid points give an area that is more square. This reduces the load on the model, allowing it to run more quickly. The model was kept close to the real atmosphere using
4D-Var data assimilation of observations.
Euro 4km model (retired)
70 Vertical levels, 4.4 km horizontal resolution. Ran out to 120 hours.
Now superseded by the UKV in many applications and by the Global Model in others.
DRMs/CAMs
Defence Regional Models and Crisis Area Models are models using the same science configuration as the UK model which can be deployed rapidly to support military operations and disaster relief efforts.
For example, to support the
MMU or environmental catastrophes.
Mountain Wave Models
This high resolution model provides information on
mountain waves for a variety of locations around the UK and other areas of interest to the Met Office.
Met Office's Global Wave Model
This models sea waves around the world.
UM suites outside the Met Office
Unified Model suites which are similar to those from the Met Office are run by the Australian
Bureau of Meteorology
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM or BoM) is an executive agency of the Government of Australia, Australian Government that is responsible for providing Weather forecasting, weather forecasts and Meteorology, meteorological services to Australia a ...
, the Australian
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) is an Australian Government agency that is responsible for scientific research and its commercial and industrial applications.
CSIRO works with leading organisations arou ...
, the
South African Weather Service, the
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, the New Zealand
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, the (South)
Korea Meteorological Administration and the
National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, a subordinate office of the Indian
Ministry of Earth Sciences
The Ministry of Earth Sciences is an executive ministry of the Government of India, established on 29 January, 2006. It was formed through the reorganisation of the Department of Ocean Development and the assumption of administrative control ov ...
.
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
The Australian
Bureau of Meteorology
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM or BoM) is an executive agency of the Government of Australia, Australian Government that is responsible for providing Weather forecasting, weather forecasts and Meteorology, meteorological services to Australia a ...
, have an operational 12.5 km resolution deterministic (ACCESS-G) and 33 km resolution ensemble (ACCESS-GE) global forecasting system utilizing the Unified Model. This global system provides boundary conditions for a number of higher resolution regional systems also using the Unified Model. These include a 1.5 km resolution deterministic (ACCESS-C) and 2.2 km resolution ensemble (ACCESS-CE) model over Australia and a 4km resolution relocatable model (ACCESS-TC.)
(South) Korea Meteorological Administration
The (South)
Korea Meteorological Administration have an operational 10 km resolution global forecasting system utilizing the Unified Model. This global system provides boundary conditions for a 1.5 km resolution local Unified Model
NWP system covering the Korean Peninsula Region.
UKCA
United Kingdom Chemistry & Aerosols (
UKCA) is a sub-model of the UM that deals with trace gas and aerosol chemistry within the model. This includes calculating the concentrations of climatically relevant gases such as
methane
Methane ( , ) is a chemical compound with the chemical formula (one carbon atom bonded to four hydrogen atoms). It is a group-14 hydride, the simplest alkane, and the main constituent of natural gas. The abundance of methane on Earth makes ...
and
ozone
Ozone () (or trioxygen) is an Inorganic compound, inorganic molecule with the chemical formula . It is a pale blue gas with a distinctively pungent smell. It is an allotrope of oxygen that is much less stable than the diatomic allotrope , break ...
, as well as the composition and evolution of
aerosols. As with most of the UM, the UKCA was written in a collaboration between the
UK Met Office and UK Academia.
JULES
Joint UK Land Environment System is a land surface model that has been developed in a collaboration between the Met Office and other research institutes.
JULES collaboration
The Met Office 2011. Accessed 10 November 2011 JULES models the exchange of heat and moisture between the Unified Model atmosphere and the land surface and vegetation. JULES can also be used offline to estimate the impacts of different climate models on the land surface and hydrology.
References
External links
Unified Model Collaboration webpage
at the Met Office.
Unified Model Papers
Introduction to the UM by NCAS
{{Atmospheric, Oceanographic and Climate Models
Numerical climate and weather models
Met Office
Scientific simulation software