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Ruy Teixeira (; born December 15, 1951) is an American
political scientist Political science is the scientific study of politics. It is a social science dealing with systems of governance and Power (social and political), power, and the analysis of political activities, political philosophy, political thought, polit ...
and commentator. He is a senior fellow at the
centre-right Centre-right politics is the set of right-wing politics, right-wing political ideologies that lean closer to the political centre. It is commonly associated with conservatism, Christian democracy, liberal conservatism, and conservative liberalis ...
think tank A think tank, or public policy institute, is a research institute that performs research and advocacy concerning topics such as social policy, political strategy, economics, military, technology, and culture. Most think tanks are non-governme ...
American Enterprise Institute The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, known simply as the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), is a center-right think tank based in Washington, D.C., that researches government, politics, economics, and social welfare ...
and co-founder and politics editor of the Substack newsletter ''The Liberal Patriot'', along with John Halpin. He is known for his work on
political demography Political demography is the study of the relationship between politics and population change. Population change is driven by classic Demographics, demographic mechanisms – birth, death, age structure, and Human migration, migration. However, in ...
, particularly for the book '' The Emerging Democratic Majority'' (2002), which he co-wrote with
John Judis John B. Judis is an author and American journalist, an editor-at-large at ''Talking Points Memo'', a former senior writer at the ''National Journal'', and a former senior editor at ''The New Republic''. Education Judis was born in Chicago to a f ...
. In it, they argue that the US Democratic Party is demographically destined to become a majority party in the early 21st century, a thesis that he later disavowed, citing the rise of the progressive movement in the United States.


Life and career

After graduate school, he moved to New York and worked for a polling firm for a year before moving to Washington to do consulting work, chiefly at Abt Associates. In 1987, his dissertation was published as the book ''Why Americans Don't Vote'', by Greenwood Press. The book was well received and led to several writing assignments in '' Public Opinion Quarterly'' and ''
The New Republic ''The New Republic'' (often abbreviated as ''TNR'') is an American magazine focused on domestic politics, news, culture, and the arts from a left-wing perspective. It publishes ten print magazines a year and a daily online platform. ''The New Y ...
'' on the role of voter turnout in the 1988 election. The articles were widely cited as showing that increased voter turnout was not the solution to the Democrats' electoral woes—a hotly debated thesis at that time within the Democratic Party. Teixeira left consulting after several years and took a government job at the Economic Research Service, where he studied labor market issues, chiefly the so-called skills mismatch between low-skilled and high-skilled workers. From there, he moved as a visiting fellow to the
Brookings Institution The Brookings Institution, often stylized as Brookings, is an American think tank that conducts research and education in the social sciences, primarily in economics (and tax policy), metropolitan policy, governance, foreign policy, global econo ...
, where in 1992, he published the book ''The Disappearing American Voter'', focusing on
voter turnout In political science, voter turnout is the participation rate (often defined as those who cast a ballot) of a given election. This is typically either the percentage of Voter registration, registered voters, Suffrage, eligible voters, or all Voti ...
. Afterwards, he moved to the Progressive Policy Institute, the think tank of the Democratic Leadership Council, to start a political studies program. In 1994, Teixeira went to work at another think tank, the Economic Policy Institute, to direct their politics and public opinion program, and he stayed there until 1999. In 1999, he moved to the Century Foundation's Washington office, where he is a senior fellow, and in 2003, he became a senior fellow of the newly formed
Center for American Progress The Center for American Progress (CAP) is a public policy think tank, research and advocacy organization which presents a Modern liberalism in the United States, liberal viewpoint on Economic policy, economic and social issues. CAP is headquarter ...
, headed by John Podesta,
Chief of Staff The title chief of staff (or head of staff) identifies the leader of a complex organization such as the armed forces, institution, or body of persons and it also may identify a principal staff officer (PSO), who is the coordinator of the supportin ...
to President
Bill Clinton William Jefferson Clinton (né Blythe III; born August 19, 1946) is an American politician and lawyer who was the 42nd president of the United States from 1993 to 2001. A member of the Democratic Party (United States), Democratic Party, ...
and co-chair of President
Barack Obama Barack Hussein Obama II (born August 4, 1961) is an American politician who was the 44th president of the United States from 2009 to 2017. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the first African American president in American history. O ...
's transition team. Teixeira has also been a guest scholar at the Brookings Institution, where he co-directed a joint Brookings-
American Enterprise Institute The American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, known simply as the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), is a center-right think tank based in Washington, D.C., that researches government, politics, economics, and social welfare ...
project on political demography and geography, "the Future of Red, Blue and, Purple America", and wrote a series of reports with William Frey on the political geography of battleground states in the 2008 election. In July 2022, he left the Center for American Progress, joining the American Enterprise Institute as a nonresident senior fellow focusing "on the transformation of the party coalitions and the future of American electoral politics". Teixeira is the author or co-author of six books, including ''Red, Blue and Purple America: The Future of Election Demographics''; ''The Emerging Democratic Majority''; ''America's Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Still Matters''; and ''The Disappearing American Voter'', as well as hundreds of articles, both scholarly and popular. He also writes ''Public Opinion Snapshot'', a weekly feature on the CAP and TCF websites. Teixeira's book ''The Emerging Democratic Majority'', written with
John Judis John B. Judis is an author and American journalist, an editor-at-large at ''Talking Points Memo'', a former senior writer at the ''National Journal'', and a former senior editor at ''The New Republic''. Education Judis was born in Chicago to a f ...
( Scribner, 2002), was the most widely discussed political book of that year and generated praise across the political spectrum, from George Will on the right to E.J. Dionne on the left. It was selected as one of the best books of the year by ''
The Economist ''The Economist'' is a British newspaper published weekly in printed magazine format and daily on Electronic publishing, digital platforms. It publishes stories on topics that include economics, business, geopolitics, technology and culture. M ...
'' magazine. Since 2020, Teixeira has written critically about a leftward shift within the Democratic Party. He has argued that the progressive movement in the United States is over and finished after the 2024 United States elections, which Democrats still do not realise as of 2025.


See also

* '' The Emerging Republican Majority'' – 1969 book by Kevin Phillips * Clintonism *
Third Way The Third Way is a predominantly centrist political position that attempts to reconcile centre-right and centre-left politics by advocating a varying synthesis of Right-wing economics, right-wing economic and Left-wing politics, left-wing so ...


References


External links


Video (and audio) debate/discussion about the future of the Republican and Democratic parties
with Teixeira and
Ross Douthat Ross Gregory Douthat ( ; born November 28, 1979) is a conservative American author and ''New York Times'' columnist. He was a senior editor of '' The Atlantic''. He has written on religion, politics, and society. Early life and education Ross Gr ...
on Bloggingheads.tv
Video (and audio) discussion
with Ruy Teixeira and Reihan Salam on Bloggingheads.tv
"Is there (still) an emerging progressive majority in the United States?" by Ruy Teixeira, published on Sens Public
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Teixeira, Ruy 1951 births American bloggers American Enterprise Institute Bethesda-Chevy Chase High School alumni Center for American Progress people Living people People from Washington, D.C. University of Michigan alumni University of Wisconsin–Madison College of Letters and Science alumni Yale College alumni