Robert Fry Engle III (born November 10, 1942) is an American economist and
statistician
A statistician is a person who works with Theory, theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private sector, private and public sectors.
It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, a ...
. He won the 2003
Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences
The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, officially the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (), commonly referred to as the Nobel Prize in Economics(), is an award in the field of economic sciences adminis ...
, sharing the award with
Clive Granger, "for methods of analyzing economic
time series
In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. ...
with time-varying
volatility (
ARCH)".
Biography
Engle was born in
Syracuse, New York
Syracuse ( ) is a City (New York), city in and the county seat of Onondaga County, New York, United States. With a population of 148,620 and a Syracuse metropolitan area, metropolitan area of 662,057, it is the fifth-most populated city and 13 ...
into a
Quaker family and went on to graduate from
Williams College with a
BS in physics. He earned an
MS in physics and a
PhD in economics, both from
Cornell University
Cornell University is a Private university, private Ivy League research university based in Ithaca, New York, United States. The university was co-founded by American philanthropist Ezra Cornell and historian and educator Andrew Dickson W ...
, in 1966 and 1969 respectively. After completing his PhD, Engle became an economics professor at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is a Private university, private research university in Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States. Established in 1861, MIT has played a significant role in the development of many areas of moder ...
from 1969 to 1977. He joined the faculty of the
University of California, San Diego
The University of California, San Diego (UC San Diego in communications material, formerly and colloquially UCSD) is a public university, public Land-grant university, land-grant research university in San Diego, California, United States. Es ...
(UCSD) in 1975, wherefrom he retired in 2003. He now holds positions of professor emeritus and research professor at UCSD. He currently teaches at
New York University
New York University (NYU) is a private university, private research university in New York City, New York, United States. Chartered in 1831 by the New York State Legislature, NYU was founded in 1832 by Albert Gallatin as a Nondenominational ...
,
Stern School of Business where he is the Michael Armellino professor in Management of Financial Services. At
New York University
New York University (NYU) is a private university, private research university in New York City, New York, United States. Chartered in 1831 by the New York State Legislature, NYU was founded in 1832 by Albert Gallatin as a Nondenominational ...
, Engle teaches for the Master of Science in Risk Management Program for Executives.
Engle's most important contribution was his path-breaking discovery of a method for analyzing unpredictable movements in financial market prices and
interest rates. Accurate characterization and prediction of these volatile movements are essential for quantifying and effectively managing
risk. For example, risk measurement plays a key role in pricing
options and
financial derivatives. Previous researchers had either assumed constant
volatility or had used simple devices to approximate it. Engle developed new statistical models of volatility that captured the tendency of stock prices and other financial variables to move between high volatility and low volatility periods ("Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: ARCH"). These statistical models have become essential tools of modern
arbitrage pricing theory
In finance, arbitrage pricing theory (APT) is a multi-factor model for asset pricing which relates various macro-economic (systematic) risk variables to the pricing of financial assets. Proposed by economist Stephen Ross (economist), Stephen Ross i ...
and practice.
Engle was the central founder and director of NYU-Stern's Volatility Institute which publishes weekly data on
systemic risk
In finance, systemic risk is the risk of collapse of an entire financial system or entire market, as opposed to the risk associated with any one individual entity, group or component of a system, that can be contained therein without harming the ...
across countries on its V-LAB site. He was awarded a
Doctor Honoris Causa by the
Comillas Pontifical University in Spain in 2024.
Selected works
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See also
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Modeling and analysis of financial markets
References
External links
V-Lab: real time financial volatility and correlation measurements, modeling and forecastingThe Society for Financial Econometrics (SoFiE)*
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{{DEFAULTSORT:Engle, Robert F.
Economists from New York (state)
American Nobel laureates
Cornell University alumni
Fellows of the American Statistical Association
Fellows of the Econometric Society
Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences
MIT School of Humanities, Arts, and Social Sciences faculty
Members of the United States National Academy of Sciences
New York University Stern School of Business faculty
Nobel laureates in Economics
Time series econometricians
University of California, San Diego faculty
Williams College alumni
American Quakers
Scientists from Syracuse, New York
1942 births
Living people
20th-century American economists
20th-century Quakers
National Bureau of Economic Research
Mathematicians from New York (state)
Economists from California
21st-century American economists