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Robert Fry Engle III (born November 10, 1942) is an American economist and
statistician A statistician is a person who works with Theory, theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private sector, private and public sectors. It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, a ...
. He won the 2003
Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, officially the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (), commonly referred to as the Nobel Prize in Economics(), is an award in the field of economic sciences adminis ...
, sharing the award with Clive Granger, "for methods of analyzing economic
time series In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. ...
with time-varying volatility ( ARCH)".


Biography

Engle was born in
Syracuse, New York Syracuse ( ) is a City (New York), city in and the county seat of Onondaga County, New York, United States. With a population of 148,620 and a Syracuse metropolitan area, metropolitan area of 662,057, it is the fifth-most populated city and 13 ...
into a Quaker family and went on to graduate from Williams College with a BS in physics. He earned an MS in physics and a PhD in economics, both from
Cornell University Cornell University is a Private university, private Ivy League research university based in Ithaca, New York, United States. The university was co-founded by American philanthropist Ezra Cornell and historian and educator Andrew Dickson W ...
, in 1966 and 1969 respectively. After completing his PhD, Engle became an economics professor at the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is a Private university, private research university in Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States. Established in 1861, MIT has played a significant role in the development of many areas of moder ...
from 1969 to 1977. He joined the faculty of the
University of California, San Diego The University of California, San Diego (UC San Diego in communications material, formerly and colloquially UCSD) is a public university, public Land-grant university, land-grant research university in San Diego, California, United States. Es ...
(UCSD) in 1975, wherefrom he retired in 2003. He now holds positions of professor emeritus and research professor at UCSD. He currently teaches at
New York University New York University (NYU) is a private university, private research university in New York City, New York, United States. Chartered in 1831 by the New York State Legislature, NYU was founded in 1832 by Albert Gallatin as a Nondenominational ...
, Stern School of Business where he is the Michael Armellino professor in Management of Financial Services. At
New York University New York University (NYU) is a private university, private research university in New York City, New York, United States. Chartered in 1831 by the New York State Legislature, NYU was founded in 1832 by Albert Gallatin as a Nondenominational ...
, Engle teaches for the Master of Science in Risk Management Program for Executives. Engle's most important contribution was his path-breaking discovery of a method for analyzing unpredictable movements in financial market prices and interest rates. Accurate characterization and prediction of these volatile movements are essential for quantifying and effectively managing risk. For example, risk measurement plays a key role in pricing options and financial derivatives. Previous researchers had either assumed constant volatility or had used simple devices to approximate it. Engle developed new statistical models of volatility that captured the tendency of stock prices and other financial variables to move between high volatility and low volatility periods ("Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: ARCH"). These statistical models have become essential tools of modern
arbitrage pricing theory In finance, arbitrage pricing theory (APT) is a multi-factor model for asset pricing which relates various macro-economic (systematic) risk variables to the pricing of financial assets. Proposed by economist Stephen Ross (economist), Stephen Ross i ...
and practice. Engle was the central founder and director of NYU-Stern's Volatility Institute which publishes weekly data on
systemic risk In finance, systemic risk is the risk of collapse of an entire financial system or entire market, as opposed to the risk associated with any one individual entity, group or component of a system, that can be contained therein without harming the ...
across countries on its V-LAB site. He was awarded a Doctor Honoris Causa by the Comillas Pontifical University in Spain in 2024.


Selected works

* * * * * * * * *


See also

* Modeling and analysis of financial markets


References


External links


V-Lab: real time financial volatility and correlation measurements, modeling and forecasting

The Society for Financial Econometrics (SoFiE)
* * * {{DEFAULTSORT:Engle, Robert F. Economists from New York (state) American Nobel laureates Cornell University alumni Fellows of the American Statistical Association Fellows of the Econometric Society Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences MIT School of Humanities, Arts, and Social Sciences faculty Members of the United States National Academy of Sciences New York University Stern School of Business faculty Nobel laureates in Economics Time series econometricians University of California, San Diego faculty Williams College alumni American Quakers Scientists from Syracuse, New York 1942 births Living people 20th-century American economists 20th-century Quakers National Bureau of Economic Research Mathematicians from New York (state) Economists from California 21st-century American economists