Richard Price (23 February 1723 – 19 April 1791) was a British
moral philosopher,
Nonconformist minister
Nonconformity or nonconformism may refer to:
Culture and society
* Insubordination, the act of willfully disobeying an order of one's superior
* Dissent, a sentiment or philosophy of non-agreement or opposition to a prevailing idea or entity
* ...
and mathematician. He was also a political reformer,
pamphleteer, active in radical, republican, and liberal causes such as the
French
French (french: français(e), link=no) may refer to:
* Something of, from, or related to France
** French language, which originated in France, and its various dialects and accents
** French people, a nation and ethnic group identified with Franc ...
and
American Revolution
The American Revolution was an ideological and political revolution that occurred in British America between 1765 and 1791. The Americans in the Thirteen Colonies formed independent states that defeated the British in the American Revolu ...
s. He was well-connected and fostered communication between many people, including
Thomas Jefferson
Thomas Jefferson (April 13, 1743 – July 4, 1826) was an American statesman, diplomat, lawyer, architect, philosopher, and Founding Father who served as the third president of the United States from 1801 to 1809. He was previously the nati ...
,
John Adams
John Adams (October 30, 1735 – July 4, 1826) was an American statesman, attorney, diplomat, writer, and Founding Fathers of the United States, Founding Father who served as the second president of the United States from 1797 to 1801. Befor ...
,
George Washington,
Mirabeau and the
Marquis de Condorcet. According to the historian
John Davies, Price was "the greatest Welsh thinker of all time".
Born in
Llangeinor, near
Bridgend
Bridgend (; cy, Pen-y-bont ar Ogwr or just , meaning "the end of the bridge on the Ogmore") is a town in Bridgend County Borough in Wales, west of Cardiff and east of Swansea. The town is named after the medieval bridge over the River Og ...
,
Wales
Wales ( cy, Cymru ) is a Countries of the United Kingdom, country that is part of the United Kingdom. It is bordered by England to the Wales–England border, east, the Irish Sea to the north and west, the Celtic Sea to the south west and the ...
, Price spent most of his adult life as minister of
Newington Green Unitarian Church
Newington Green Unitarian Church (NGUC) in north London is one of England's oldest Unitarian churches. It has had strong ties to political radicalism for over 300 years, and is London's oldest Nonconformist place of worship still in use. It was ...
, on the then outskirts of
London
London is the capital and List of urban areas in the United Kingdom, largest city of England and the United Kingdom, with a population of just under 9 million. It stands on the River Thames in south-east England at the head of a estuary dow ...
,
England
England is a country that is part of the United Kingdom. It shares land borders with Wales to its west and Scotland to its north. The Irish Sea lies northwest and the Celtic Sea to the southwest. It is separated from continental Europe ...
. He edited, published and developed the
Bayes–Price theorem
In probability theory and statistics, Bayes' theorem (alternatively Bayes' law or Bayes' rule), named after Thomas Bayes, describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. For examp ...
and the field of
actuarial science. He also wrote on issues of
demography
Demography () is the statistical study of populations, especially human beings.
Demographic analysis examines and measures the dimensions and dynamics of populations; it can cover whole societies or groups defined by criteria such as ed ...
and
finance, and was a
Fellow of the Royal Society
Fellowship of the Royal Society (FRS, ForMemRS and HonFRS) is an award granted by the judges of the Royal Society of London to individuals who have made a "substantial contribution to the improvement of natural knowledge, including mathematic ...
.
Early life

Born on 23 February 1723,
Richard Price was the son of Rhys Price, a
dissenting minister. His mother was Catherine Richards, his father's second wife. Richard was born at Tyn Ton, a farmhouse in the village of
Llangeinor,
Glamorgan,
Wales
Wales ( cy, Cymru ) is a Countries of the United Kingdom, country that is part of the United Kingdom. It is bordered by England to the Wales–England border, east, the Irish Sea to the north and west, the Celtic Sea to the south west and the ...
. He was educated privately, then at
Neath
Neath (; cy, Castell-nedd) is a market town and community situated in the Neath Port Talbot County Borough, Wales. The town had a population of 50,658 in 2011. The community of the parish of Neath had a population of 19,258 in 2011. Historica ...
and
Pen-twyn. He studied under Vavasor Griffiths at Chancefield,
Talgarth,
Powys
Powys (; ) is a Local government in Wales#Principal areas, county and Preserved counties of Wales, preserved county in Wales. It is named after the Kingdom of Powys which was a Welsh succession of states, successor state, petty kingdom and princi ...
.
He then moved to London, where he spent the rest of his life. He studied with
John Eames and the
dissenting academy in
Moorfields,
London
London is the capital and List of urban areas in the United Kingdom, largest city of England and the United Kingdom, with a population of just under 9 million. It stands on the River Thames in south-east England at the head of a estuary dow ...
.
Leaving the academy in 1744, Price became
chaplain
A chaplain is, traditionally, a cleric (such as a minister, priest, pastor, rabbi, purohit, or imam), or a lay representative of a religious tradition, attached to a secular institution (such as a hospital, prison, military unit, intellige ...
and companion to George Streatfield at
Stoke Newington
Stoke Newington is an area occupying the north-west part of the London Borough of Hackney in north-east London, England. It is northeast of Charing Cross. The Manor of Stoke Newington gave its name to Stoke Newington the ancient parish.
T ...
, then a village just north of London. He also held the lectureship at
Old Jewry, where
Samuel Chandler was minister.
Streatfield's death and that of an uncle in 1757 improved his circumstances, and on 16 June 1757 he married Sarah Blundell, originally of
Belgrave in
Leicestershire.
[.]
Newington Green congregation
In 1758 Price moved to
Newington Green, and took up residence in No. 54 the Green, in the middle of a terrace even then a hundred years old. (The building still survives as London's oldest brick terrace, dated 1658.) Price became minister to the
Newington Green meeting-house, a church that continues today as Newington Green Unitarian Church. Among the congregation were
Samuel Vaughan
Samuel Vaughan (1720–1802) was an Anglo-Irish merchant, plantation owner, and political radical.
Early life
Vaughan was born in Ireland, the son of Benjamin Vaughan and Ann Wolf; he was the youngest of a family of 12. He was a merchant and p ...
and his family. Price had
Thomas Amory as preaching colleague from 1770.
When, in 1770, Price became morning preacher at the
Gravel Pit Chapel in
Hackney, he continued his afternoon sermons at Newington Green. He also accepted duties at the meeting house in Old Jewry.
Friends and associates
Newington Green neighbours
A close friend of Price was Thomas Rogers, father of
Samuel Rogers, a merchant turned banker who had married into a long-established Dissenting family and lived at No. 56 the Green. More than once, Price and the elder Rogers rode on horseback to Wales.
Another was the Rev.
James Burgh, author of ''The Dignity of Human Nature'' and ''Thoughts on Education'', who opened his Dissenting Academy on the green in 1750 and sent his pupils to Price's sermons. Price, Rogers, and Burgh formed a dining club, eating at each other's houses in rotation. Price and Rogers joined the
Society for Constitutional Information.
Bowood circle
The "Bowood circle" was a group of liberal intellectuals around
Lord Shelburne, and named after
Bowood House, his seat in
Wiltshire
Wiltshire (; abbreviated Wilts) is a historic and ceremonial county in South West England with an area of . It is landlocked and borders the counties of Dorset to the southwest, Somerset to the west, Hampshire to the southeast, Gloucestershir ...
. Price met Shelburne in or shortly after 1767, or was introduced by his wife
Elizabeth Montagu
Elizabeth Montagu (née Robinson; 2 October 1718 – 25 August 1800) was a British social reformer, patron of the arts, salonnière, literary critic and writer, who helped to organize and lead the Blue Stockings Society. Her parents were bo ...
, a leader of the
Blue Stocking
''Bluestocking'' is a term for an educated, intellectual woman, originally a member of the 18th-century Blue Stockings Society from England led by the hostess and critic Elizabeth Montagu (1718–1800), the "Queen of the Blues", including E ...
intellectual women, after the publication of his ''Four Dissertations'' in that year.
[Holland, p. 48.]
In 1771 Price had Shelburne employ
Thomas Jervis. Another member of the circle was
Benjamin Vaughan. In 1772 Price recruited
Joseph Priestley
Joseph Priestley (; 24 March 1733 – 6 February 1804) was an English chemist, natural philosopher, separatist theologian, grammarian, multi-subject educator, and liberal political theorist. He published over 150 works, and conducted e ...
, who came to work for Shelburne as librarian from 1773.
"Club of Honest Whigs"
The group that
Benjamin Franklin
Benjamin Franklin ( April 17, 1790) was an American polymath who was active as a writer, scientist, inventor
An invention is a unique or novel device, method, composition, idea or process. An invention may be an improvement upon a m ...
christened the "Club of Honest Whigs" was an informal dining group around
John Canton. It met originally in
St Paul's Churchyard, at the
London Coffee House; in 1771 it moved to
Ludgate Hill. Price and
Sir John Pringle were members, as were Priestley and Benjamin Vaughan.
Visitors
At home, or at his church itself, Price was visited by Franklin,
Thomas Jefferson
Thomas Jefferson (April 13, 1743 – July 4, 1826) was an American statesman, diplomat, lawyer, architect, philosopher, and Founding Father who served as the third president of the United States from 1801 to 1809. He was previously the nati ...
, and
Thomas Paine
Thomas Paine (born Thomas Pain; – In the contemporary record as noted by Conway, Paine's birth date is given as January 29, 1736–37. Common practice was to use a dash or a slash to separate the old-style year from the new-style year. In th ...
; other American politicians such as Ambassador
John Adams
John Adams (October 30, 1735 – July 4, 1826) was an American statesman, attorney, diplomat, writer, and Founding Fathers of the United States, Founding Father who served as the second president of the United States from 1797 to 1801. Befor ...
, who later became the second
president of the United States
The president of the United States (POTUS) is the head of state and head of government of the United States of America. The president directs the Federal government of the United States#Executive branch, executive branch of the Federal gove ...
, and his wife
Abigail
Abigail () was an Israelite woman in the Hebrew Bible married to Nabal; she married the future King David after Nabal's death ( 1 Samuel ). Abigail was David's second wife, after Saul and Ahinoam's daughter, Michal, whom Saul later marri ...
; and British politicians such as
Lord Lyttleton,
Earl Stanhope (known as "Citizen Stanhope"), and
William Pitt the Elder
William Pitt, 1st Earl of Chatham, (15 November 170811 May 1778) was a British statesman of the Whig group who served as Prime Minister of Great Britain from 1766 to 1768. Historians call him Chatham or William Pitt the Elder to distinguish ...
. He knew also the philosophers
David Hume
David Hume (; born David Home; 7 May 1711 NS (26 April 1711 OS) – 25 August 1776) Cranston, Maurice, and Thomas Edmund Jessop. 2020 999br>David Hume" ''Encyclopædia Britannica''. Retrieved 18 May 2020. was a Scottish Enlightenment phil ...
and
Adam Smith. Among activists, the prison reformer
John Howard
John Winston Howard (born 26 July 1939) is an Australian former politician who served as the 25th prime minister of Australia from 1996 to 2007, holding office as leader of the Liberal Party. His eleven-year tenure as prime minister is the ...
counted Price as a close friend; also there were
John Horne Tooke, and
John and
Ann Jebb
Ann Jebb (''née'' Torkington; 1735–1812) was an English political reformer and radical writer. She was born at Ripton-Kings, Huntingdonshire, to Dorothy Sherard (herself daughter of Philip Sherard, 2nd Earl of Harborough) and James Torkin ...
.
[Thorncroft, p. 15.]
Theologians

Others acknowledged their debt to Price, such as the Unitarian theologians
William Ellery Channing and
Theophilus Lindsey. When Lindsey resigned his living and moved to London to create an avowedly Unitarian congregation Price played a role in finding and securing the premises for what became
Essex Street Chapel. At the end of the 1770s Price and Lindsey were concerned about the contraction of dissent, at least in the London area. With
Andrew Kippis and others, they established the
Society for Promoting Knowledge of the Scriptures
The Society for Promoting the Knowledge of the Scriptures was a group founded in 1783 in London, with a definite but rather constrained plan for Biblical interpretation. While in practical terms it was mainly concerned with promoting Unitarian vie ...
in 1783.
Price and Priestley took diverging views on morals and
metaphysics
Metaphysics is the branch of philosophy that studies the fundamental nature of reality, the first principles of being, identity and change, space and time, causality, necessity, and possibility. It includes questions about the nature of conscio ...
. In 1778 appeared a published correspondence, ''A Free Discussion on the Doctrines of Materialism and Philosophical Necessity''. Price maintained, in opposition to Priestley, the free agency of man and the unity and immateriality of the human soul. Price's opinions were
Arian
Arianism ( grc-x-koine, Ἀρειανισμός, ) is a Christological doctrine first attributed to Arius (), a Christian presbyter from Alexandria, Egypt. Arian theology holds that Jesus Christ is the Son of God, who was begotten by G ...
, Priestley's were
Socinian.
Mary Wollstonecraft
Mary Wollstonecraft moved her fledgling school for girls from
Islington
Islington () is a district in the north of Greater London, England, and part of the London Borough of Islington. It is a mainly residential district of Inner London, extending from Islington's High Street to Highbury Fields, encompassing the ...
to Newington Green in 1784, with patron Mrs Burgh, widow of Price's friend James Burgh. Wollstonecraft, originally an
Anglican, attended Price's services, where believers of all kinds were welcomed.
[Tomalin, p. 60.] The
Rational Dissenters
English Dissenters or English Separatists were Protestant Christians who separated from the Church of England in the 17th and 18th centuries.
A dissenter (from the Latin ''dissentire'', "to disagree") is one who disagrees in opinion, belief and ...
appealed to Wollstonecraft: they were hard-working, humane, critical but uncynical, and respectful towards women, and proved kinder to her than her own family.
Price is believed to have helped her with money to go to
Lisbon to see her close friend Fanny Blood.
Wollstonecraft was then unpublished: through Price she met the radical publisher
Joseph Johnson. The ideas Wollstonecraft ingested from the sermons at Newington Green pushed her towards a political awakening. She later published ''
A Vindication of the Rights of Men'' (1790), a response to
Burke's denunciation of the French Revolution and attack on Price; and ''
A Vindication of the Rights of Woman'' (1792), extending Price's arguments about equality to women:
Tomalin argues that just as the Dissenters were "excluded as a class from education and civil rights by a lazy-minded majority", so too were women, and the "character defects of both groups" could be attributed to this discrimination. Price appears 14 times in the diary of
William Godwin, Wollstonecraft's later husband.
American Revolution
The support Price gave to the colonies of
British North America
British North America comprised the colonial territories of the British Empire in North America from 1783 onwards. English overseas possessions, English colonisation of North America began in the 16th century in Newfoundland (island), Newfound ...
in the
American War of Independence made him famous. In early 1776 he published ''Observations on the Nature of Civil Liberty, the Principles of Government, and the Justice and Policy of the War with America''. Sixty thousand copies of this pamphlet were sold within days; and a cheap edition was issued which sold twice as many copies.
[ J. H. Plumb, ''England in the Eighteenth Century'', (Middlesex: Penguin Books Ltd, 1950)] It commended Shelburne's proposals for the colonies, and attacked the
Declaratory Act. Amongst its critics were
Adam Ferguson
Adam Ferguson, (Scottish Gaelic: ''Adhamh MacFhearghais''), also known as Ferguson of Raith (1 July N.S./20 June O.S. 1723 – 22 February 1816), was a Scottish philosopher and historian of the Scottish Enlightenment.
Ferguson was sympath ...
,
William Markham,
John Wesley, and
Edmund Burke
Edmund Burke (; 12 January New Style">NS/nowiki> 1729 – 9 July 1797) was an Anglo-Irish people">Anglo-Irish Politician">statesman, economist, and philosopher. Born in Dublin, Burke served as a member of Parliament (MP) between 1766 and 1794 ...
; and Price rapidly became one of the best known men in England. He was presented with the
freedom of the city
The Freedom of the City (or Borough in some parts of the UK) is an honour bestowed by a municipality upon a valued member of the community, or upon a visiting celebrity or dignitary. Arising from the medieval practice of granting respected ...
of London, and it is said that his pamphlet had a part in determining the Americans to
declare their independence.
A second pamphlet on the war with America and the debts of
Great Britain
Great Britain is an island in the North Atlantic Ocean off the northwest coast of continental Europe. With an area of , it is the largest of the British Isles, the largest European island and the ninth-largest island in the world. It is ...
, followed in the spring of 1777.
Price was a consistent critic of war in general and the corrupting effects of growing government debt.
Price's name became identified with the cause of American independence.
Franklin was a close friend; Price corresponded with
Turgot Turgot may refer to:
* Turgot of Durham ( – 1115), Prior of Durham and Bishop of St Andrews
* Michel-Étienne Turgot (1690–1751), mayor of Paris
* Anne Robert Jacques Turgot (1727–1781), French economist and statesman
* Louis Félix Étienn ...
; and in the winter of 1778 he was invited by the
Continental Congress
The Continental Congress was a series of legislative bodies, with some executive function, for thirteen of Britain's colonies in North America, and the newly declared United States just before, during, and after the American Revolutionary War. ...
to go to America and assist in the financial administration of the states, an offer he turned down. In 1781 he, solely with
George Washington, received the degree of
Doctor of Laws
A Doctor of Law is a degree in law. The application of the term varies from country to country and includes degrees such as the Doctor of Juridical Science (J.S.D. or S.J.D), Juris Doctor (J.D.), Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.), and Legum Doctor ( ...
from
Yale College
Yale College is the undergraduate college of Yale University. Founded in 1701, it is the original school of the university. Although other Yale schools were founded as early as 1810, all of Yale was officially known as Yale College until 1887, ...
.
He preached to crowded congregations, and, when Lord Shelburne became Prime Minister in 1782, he was offered the post of his private secretary. The same year he was elected a Foreign Honorary Member of the
American Academy of Arts and Sciences
The American Academy of Arts and Sciences (abbreviation: AAA&S) is one of the oldest learned societies in the United States. It was founded in 1780 during the American Revolution by John Adams, John Hancock, James Bowdoin, Andrew Oliver, ...
.
In 1785, Price was elected an international member of the
American Philosophical Society
The American Philosophical Society (APS), founded in 1743 in Philadelphia, is a scholarly organization that promotes knowledge in the sciences and humanities through research, professional meetings, publications, library resources, and communi ...
.
Price wrote also ''Observations on the importance of the
American Revolution
The American Revolution was an ideological and political revolution that occurred in British America between 1765 and 1791. The Americans in the Thirteen Colonies formed independent states that defeated the British in the American Revolu ...
and the means of rendering it a benefit to the World'' (1784). Well received by Americans, it suggested that the greatest problem facing Congress was its lack of central powers.
French Revolution controversy

Both Price and Priestley, who were
millennialists
Millenarianism or millenarism (from Latin , "containing a thousand") is the belief by a religious, social, or political group or movement in a coming fundamental transformation of society, after which "all things will be changed". Millenariani ...
, saw the
French Revolution
The French Revolution ( ) was a period of radical political and societal change in France that began with the Estates General of 1789 and ended with the formation of the French Consulate in November 1799. Many of its ideas are conside ...
of 1789 as fulfilment of prophecy. On the 101st anniversary of the
Glorious Revolution, 4 November 1789, Price preached a
sermon
A sermon is a religious discourse or oration by a preacher, usually a member of clergy. Sermons address a scriptural, theological, or moral topic, usually expounding on a type of belief, law, or behavior within both past and present contexts. E ...
entitled ''
A Discourse on the Love of Our Country
''A Discourse on the Love of Our Country'' is a speech and pamphlet delivered by Richard Price in England in 1789, in support of the French Revolution, equating it with the Glorious Revolution a century earlier in England. This set off the Revol ...
'', and ignited the pamphlet war known as the
Revolution Controversy, on the political issues raised by the French Revolution. Price drew a bold parallel between the Glorious Revolution of 1688 (the one celebrated by the London Revolution Society dinner) and the French Revolution of 1789, arguing that the former had spread enlightened ideas and paved the way for the second one. Price exhorted the public to divest themselves of national prejudices and embrace "universal benevolence", a concept of cosmopolitanism that entailed support for the French Revolution and the progress of "enlightened" ideas. It has been called "one of the great political debates in British history". At the dinner of the London Revolution Society that followed, Price also suggested that the Society should send an address to the
National Assembly
In politics, a national assembly is either a unicameral legislature, the lower house of a bicameral legislature, or both houses of a bicameral legislature together. In the English language it generally means "an assembly composed of the rep ...
in Paris. This was the start of a correspondence with many Jacobin clubs in Paris and elsewhere in France. Though the London Revolution Society and the Jacobin clubs agreed on basic tenets, their correspondence displayed a sense of growing misunderstanding as the French Jacobins grew more radical and their British correspondents, including Price, were not prepared to condone political violence. The Society's Committee of Correspondence, which included Michael Dodson, took up the contact that was made with French
Jacobins, though Price himself withdrew. At the same time, the Revolution Society joined with the Society for Constitutional Information in December 1789, at Price's insistence, in condemning the
Test Act and
Corporation Act as defacing the British polity, with their restrictions on Dissenters.
Burke's rebuttal in ''
Reflections on the Revolution in France'' (1790) attacked Price, whose friends Paine and Wollstonecraft leapt into the fray to defend their mentor;
William Coxe was another opponent, disagreeing with Price on interpretation of "our country". In 1792
Christopher Wyvill
Christopher Wyvill (1740–1822) was an English cleric and landowner, a political reformer who inspired the formation of the '' Yorkshire Association'' movement in 1779.
The American Revolutionary War had forced the government of Lord North to ...
published ''Defence of Dr. Price and the Reformers of England'', a plea for reform and moderation.
Later life

In 1767 Price received the honorary degree of
D.D.
A Doctor of Divinity (D.D. or DDiv; la, Doctor Divinitatis) is the holder of an advanced academic degree in divinity.
In the United Kingdom, it is considered an advanced doctoral degree. At the University of Oxford, doctors of divinity are ran ...
from the
University of Aberdeen, and in 1769 another from the
University of Glasgow
, image = UofG Coat of Arms.png
, image_size = 150px
, caption = Coat of arms
Flag
, latin_name = Universitas Glasguensis
, motto = la, Via, Veritas, Vita
, ...
.
In 1786 Sarah Price died, and there had been no children by the marriage.
In the same year Price with other Dissenters founded
Hackney New College
The New College at Hackney (more ambiguously known as Hackney College) was a dissenting academy set up in Hackney (parish), Hackney in April 1786 by the social and political reformer Richard Price and others; Hackney at that time was a village on ...
. On 19 April 1791 Price died.
He was buried at
Bunhill Fields, where his funeral sermon was preached by Joseph Priestley.
His extended family included
William Morgan, the actuary, and his brother
George Cadogan Morgan (1754–1798), dissenting minister and scientist, both sons of Richard Price's sister Sarah by William Morgan, a surgeon of
Bridgend
Bridgend (; cy, Pen-y-bont ar Ogwr or just , meaning "the end of the bridge on the Ogmore") is a town in Bridgend County Borough in Wales, west of Cardiff and east of Swansea. The town is named after the medieval bridge over the River Og ...
,
Glamorganshire
, HQ = Cardiff
, Government = Glamorgan County Council (1889–1974)
, Origin=
, Code = GLA
, CodeName = Chapman code
, Replace =
* West Glamorgan
* Mid Glamorgan
* South Glamorgan
, Mo ...
.
Publications
In 1744 Price published a volume of sermons.
It was, however, as a writer on financial and political questions that Price became widely known. Price rejected traditional Christian notions of
original sin
Original sin is the Christian doctrine that holds that humans, through the fact of birth, inherit a tainted nature in need of regeneration and a proclivity to sinful conduct. The biblical basis for the belief is generally found in Genesis 3 ( ...
and moral punishment, preaching the perfectibility of human nature, and he wrote on theological questions. He also wrote on
finance,
economics
Economics () is the social science that studies the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services.
Economics focuses on the behaviour and interactions of economic agents and how economies work. Microeconomics analy ...
,
probability
Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning numerical descriptions of how likely an Event (probability theory), event is to occur, or how likely it is that a proposition is true. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and ...
, and
life insurance
Life insurance (or life assurance, especially in the Commonwealth of Nations) is a contract between an insurance policy holder and an insurer or assurer, where the insurer promises to pay a designated beneficiary a sum of money upon the death ...
.
Thomas Bayes
Price was asked to become
literary executor
The literary estate of a deceased author consists mainly of the copyright and other intellectual property rights of published works, including film, translation rights, original manuscripts of published work, unpublished or partially completed w ...
of
Thomas Bayes the mathematician.
[Holland, pp. 46–47.] He edited Bayes's major work ''
An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances
''An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances'' is a work on the mathematical theory of probability by Thomas Bayes, published in 1763, two years after its author's death, and containing multiple amendments and additions due to ...
'' (1763), which appeared in ''
Philosophical Transactions'', and contains
Bayes' Theorem, one of the fundamental results of
probability theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set o ...
. Price wrote an introduction to the paper which provides some of the philosophical basis of
Bayesian statistics
Bayesian statistics is a theory in the field of statistics based on the Bayesian interpretation of probability where probability expresses a ''degree of belief'' in an event. The degree of belief may be based on prior knowledge about the event, ...
. In 1765 he was elected a Fellow of the Royal Society in recognition of his work on the legacy of Bayes.
Demographer
From about 1766 Price worked with the
Society for Equitable Assurances.
In 1769, in a letter to
Benjamin Franklin
Benjamin Franklin ( April 17, 1790) was an American polymath who was active as a writer, scientist, inventor
An invention is a unique or novel device, method, composition, idea or process. An invention may be an improvement upon a m ...
, he made some observations on
life expectancy
Life expectancy is a statistical measure of the average time an organism is expected to live, based on the year of its birth, current age, and other demographic factors like sex. The most commonly used measure is life expectancy at birth ...
, and the population of London, which were published in the ''Philosophical Transactions'' of that year.
Price's views included the detrimental effects of large cities, and the need for some constraints on commerce and movement of population.
In particular Price took an interest in the figures of Franklin and
Ezra Stiles on the colonial population in America, thought in some places to be doubling every 22 years. A debate on the British population had begun in the 1750s (
William Brakenridge
William Braikenridge (also Brakenridge) (c.1700–1762) was a Scottish mathematician and cleric, a Fellow of the Royal Society from 1752.
Life
He was son of John Braikenridge of Glasgow. s:Page:Alumni Oxoniensis (1715–1886) volume 1.djvu/169 ...
, Richard Forster,
Robert Wallace who pointed to manufacturing and
smallpox
Smallpox was an infectious disease caused by variola virus (often called smallpox virus) which belongs to the genus Orthopoxvirus. The last naturally occurring case was diagnosed in October 1977, and the World Health Organization (WHO) ce ...
as factors reducing population,
William Bell), but was inconclusive in the face of a lack of sound figures. The issue was of interest to European writers generally. The quantitative form of Price's theory on the contrasting
depopulation in England and Wales amounted to an approximate drop in population of 25% since 1688. It was disputed numerically by
Arthur Young in his ''Political Arithmetic'' (1774), which took in also criticism of the
physiocrats.
In May 1770 Price presented to the Royal Society a paper on the proper method of calculating the values of contingent reversions. His book ''Observations on Reversionary Payments'' (1771) became a classic, in use for about a century, and providing the basis for financial calculations of insurance and benefit societies, of which many had recently been formed.
The "Northampton table", a
life table compiled by Price with data from
Northampton
Northampton () is a market town and civil parish in the East Midlands of England, on the River Nene, north-west of London and south-east of Birmingham. The county town of Northamptonshire, Northampton is one of the largest towns in England; ...
, became standard for about a century in actuarial work. It, too, overestimated mortality. In consequence, it was good for the insurance business, and adverse for those purchasing annuities. Price's nephew
William Morgan was an
actuary, and became manager of the Equitable in 1775.
He later wrote a memoir of Price's life.
Price wrote a further ''Essay on the Population of England'' (2nd ed., 1780) which influenced
Thomas Robert Malthus. His continuing claim in it on British depopulation was challenged by
John Howlett
John Howlett (4 April 1940 – 4 March 2019) was an English author and screenwriter who lived in Rye, East Sussex.
He started his writing career by co-writing the screenplay of the 1968 feature film '' if....'', directed by Lindsay Anders ...
in 1781. Investigation of actual causes of ill-health began at this period, in a group of radical physicians around Priestley, including Price but centred on the Midlands and north-west: with
John Aikin,
Matthew Dobson,
John Haygarth and
Thomas Percival
Thomas Percival (29 September 1740 – 30 August 1804) was an English physician, health reformer, ethicist and author who wrote an early code of medical ethics. He drew up a pamphlet with the code in 1794 and wrote an expanded version in 180 ...
.
Of these Haygarth and Percival supplied Price with figures, to supplement those he had collected himself in Northampton parishes.
Public finance
In 1771 Price published his ''Appeal to the Public on the Subject of the National Debt'' (ed. 1772 and 1774). This pamphlet excited considerable controversy, and is supposed to have influenced
William Pitt the Younger
William Pitt the Younger (28 May 175923 January 1806) was a British statesman, the youngest and last prime minister of Great Britain (before the Acts of Union 1800) and then first Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, prime minister of the Un ...
in re-establishing the
sinking fund for the extinction of the
national debt, created by
Robert Walpole in 1716 and abolished in 1733. The means proposed for the extinction of the debt are described by
Lord Overstone
Samuel Jones-Loyd, 1st Baron Overstone (25 September 1796 – 17 November 1883) was a British banker and politician.
Background and education
Loyd was the only son of the Rev. Lewis Loyd and Sarah, daughter of John Jones, a Manchester banker. H ...
as "a sort of hocus-pocus machinery," supposed to work "without loss to any one," and consequently unsound.
Price's views were attacked by
John Brand in 1776. When Brand returned to finance and fiscal matters, ''Alteration of the Constitution of the House of Commons and the Inequality of the Land Tax'' (1793), he used work of Price, among others.
Moral philosophy
The ''Review of the Principal Questions in Morals'' (1758, 3rd ed. revised 1787) contains Price's theory of
ethics
Ethics or moral philosophy is a branch of philosophy that "involves systematizing, defending, and recommending concepts of right and wrong behavior".''Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy'' The field of ethics, along with aesthetics, concerns ...
. The work is supposedly a refutation of
Francis Hutcheson.
Price represented a different tradition,
deontological ethics
In moral philosophy, deontological ethics or deontology (from Greek: + ) is the normative ethical theory that the morality of an action should be based on whether that action itself is right or wrong under a series of rules and principles, ...
rather than the
virtue ethics of Hutcheson, going back to
Samuel Clarke and
John Balguy
John Balguy (12 August 1686 – 21 September 1748) was an English divine and philosopher.
Early years
He was born at Sheffield and educated at the Sheffield Grammar School (where his father Thomas Balguy was headmaster until his death in 1696) ...
. The book is divided into ten chapters, the first of which gives his main ethical theory, allied to that of
Ralph Cudworth. Other chapters show his relation to
Joseph Butler and
Immanuel Kant
Immanuel Kant (, , ; 22 April 1724 – 12 February 1804) was a German philosopher and one of the central Enlightenment thinkers. Born in Königsberg, Kant's comprehensive and systematic works in epistemology, metaphysics, ethics, and aes ...
.
Philosophically and politically Price had something in common with
Thomas Reid
Thomas Reid (; 7 May ( O.S. 26 April) 1710 – 7 October 1796) was a religiously trained Scottish philosopher. He was the founder of the Scottish School of Common Sense and played an integral role in the Scottish Enlightenment. In 1783 he w ...
.
As a moralist Price is now regarded as a precursor to the
rational intuitionism
Ethical intuitionism (also called moral intuitionism) is a view or family of views in moral epistemology (and, on some definitions, metaphysics). It is foundationalism applied to moral knowledge, the thesis that some moral truths can be known ...
of the 20th century. He drew, among other sources, on
Cicero
Marcus Tullius Cicero ( ; ; 3 January 106 BC – 7 December 43 BC) was a Roman statesman, lawyer, scholar, philosopher, and academic skeptic, who tried to uphold optimate principles during the political crises that led to the est ...
and
Panaetius, and has been labelled a "British Platonist".
J. G. A. Pocock comments that Price was a moralist first, putting morality well ahead of democratic attachments. He was widely criticised for that and an absence of interest in
civil society
Civil society can be understood as the "third sector" of society, distinct from government and business, and including the family and the private sphere.[John Adams
John Adams (October 30, 1735 – July 4, 1826) was an American statesman, attorney, diplomat, writer, and Founding Fathers of the United States, Founding Father who served as the second president of the United States from 1797 to 1801. Befor ...]
,
Adam Ferguson
Adam Ferguson, (Scottish Gaelic: ''Adhamh MacFhearghais''), also known as Ferguson of Raith (1 July N.S./20 June O.S. 1723 – 22 February 1816), was a Scottish philosopher and historian of the Scottish Enlightenment.
Ferguson was sympath ...
and
Josiah Tucker wrote against him.
James Mackintosh wrote that Price was attempting to revive
moral obligation.
Théodore Simon Jouffroy preferred Price to Cudworth, Reid and
Dugald Stewart. See also
William Whewell
William Whewell ( ; 24 May 17946 March 1866) was an English polymath, scientist, Anglican priest, philosopher, theologian, and historian of science. He was Master of Trinity College, Cambridge. In his time as a student there, he achieved ...
's ''History of Moral Philosophy in England'';
Alexander Bain's ''Mental and Moral Sciences''; and
Thomas Fowler's monograph on Shaftesbury and Hutcheson.
For Price, right and wrong belong to actions in themselves, and he rejects
consequentialism
In ethical philosophy, consequentialism is a class of normative ethics, normative, Teleology, teleological ethical theories that holds that the wikt:consequence, consequences of one's Action (philosophy), conduct are the ultimate basis for judgm ...
. This ethical value is perceived by
reason
Reason is the capacity of Consciousness, consciously applying logic by Logical consequence, drawing conclusions from new or existing information, with the aim of seeking the truth. It is closely associated with such characteristically human activ ...
or understanding, which intuitively recognizes fitness or congruity between actions, agents and total circumstances. Arguing that ethical judgment is an act of discrimination, he endeavours to invalidate
moral sense theory. He admits that right actions must be "grateful" to us; that, in fact, moral approbation includes both an act of the understanding and an emotion of the heart. Still it remains true that reason alone, in its highest development, would be a sufficient guide. In this conclusion he is in close agreement with Kant; reason is the arbiter, and right is
# not a matter of the emotions and
# no relative to imperfect human nature.
Price's main point of difference with Cudworth is that while Cudworth regards the moral criterion as a νόημα or modification of the mind, existing in germ and developed by circumstances, Price regards it as acquired from the contemplation of actions, but acquired necessarily, immediately intuitively. In his view of disinterested action (ch. iii.) he follows Butler. Happiness he regards as the only end, conceivable by us, of
divine Providence
In theology, Divine Providence, or simply Providence, is God's intervention in the Universe. The term ''Divine Providence'' (usually capitalized) is also used as a title of God. A distinction is usually made between "general providence", which ...
, but it is a happiness wholly dependent on rectitude. Virtue tends always to happiness, and in the end must produce it in its perfect form.
Other works
Price also wrote ''Fast-day Sermons'', published respectively in 1779 and 1781. Throughout the American War, Price preached sermons on fast-days and took the opportunity to attack Britain's coercive policies toward the colonies.
Rémy Duthille, "Dissent against the American War : The Politics of Richard Price's Sermons", in ''War Sermons'', Gilles Teulié and Laurence Lux-Sterritt, Newcastle upon Tyne: Cambridge Scholars Publishing, 2009, pp. 149–172.
/ref> A complete list of his works was given as an appendix to Priestley's ''Funeral Sermon''.
See also
* Liberalism
Liberalism is a political and moral philosophy based on the rights of the individual, liberty, consent of the governed, political equality and equality before the law."political rationalism, hostility to autocracy, cultural distaste for ...
* Contributions to liberal theory
Contribution or Contribute may refer to:
* ''Contribution'' (album), by Mica Paris (1990)
** "Contribution" (song), title song from the album
* Contribution (law), an agreement between defendants in a suit to apportion liability
*Contributions, ...
Notes
Attribution
*
References
*
*
*
Further reading
* Allardyce, Alex (2008). ''The Village that Changed the World: A History of Newington Green London N16''. Newington Green Action Group. .
* Cone, Carl B (1952). ''Torchbearer of Freedom: The Influence of Richard Price on 18th Century Thought''. University of Kentucky.
* Gordon, Lyndall (2005). ''Vindication: A Life of Mary Wollstonecraft''. Little, Brown. .
* Jacobs, Diane (2001). ''Her Own Woman: The Life of Mary Wollstonecraft''. Simon & Schuster. .
*
*
* Taylor, Barbara (2003). ''Mary Wollstonecraft and the Feminist Imagination''. Cambridge University Press. .
* Thorncroft, Michael (1958). ''Trust in Freedom: The Story of Newington Green Unitarian Church, 1708–1958''. Trustees of the Unitarian Church.
* Tomalin, Claire (1974). ''The Life and Death of Mary Wollstonecraft''. Harcourt Brace Jovanovich. .
*
External links
*
Royal Society certificate of election
Readable version of Price's ''Review of the Principal Questions of Morals''
Price's ''Observations on Civil Liberty and the Justice and Policy of the War with America''
*
Price's ''Observations on reversionary payments on schemes for providing annuities for widows, and for persons in old age; on the method of calculating the values of assurances on lives; and on the national debt : to which are added four essays ... also an appendix ...'', published in 1771
{{DEFAULTSORT:Price, Richard
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18th-century British philosophers
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