Neyman Allocation
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Neyman allocation, also known as optimum allocation, is a method of sample size allocation in stratified sampling developed by
Jerzy Neyman Jerzy Spława-Neyman (April 16, 1894 – August 5, 1981; ) was a Polish mathematician and statistician who first introduced the modern concept of a confidence interval into statistical hypothesis testing and, with Egon Pearson, revised Ronald Fis ...
in 1934. This technique determines the optimal sample size for each stratum to minimize the variance of the estimated population parameter for a fixed total sample size and cost.


Theory

In stratified sampling, the population is divided into ''L'' mutually exclusive and exhaustive strata, and independent samples are drawn from each stratum. Neyman allocation determines the sample size ''nh'' for each stratum ''h'' that minimizes the variance of the estimated population mean or total. The Neyman allocation formula is: :n_h = n \times \frac where: * ''nh'' is the sample size for stratum ''h'' * ''n'' is the total sample size * ''Nh'' is the population size for stratum ''h'' * ''Sh'' is the standard deviation of the variable of interest in stratum ''h'' * Σ represents the sum over all strata


Mathematical derivation

The derivation of Neyman allocation follows from minimizing the variance of the stratified mean estimator subject to a fixed total sample size constraint. The variance of the stratified mean estimator is: :\operatorname(\bar_) = \sum\frac \times \frac \times S_h^2 where ''fh'' = ''nh''/''Nh'' is the sampling fraction in stratum ''h''. Using the method of
Lagrange multipliers In mathematical optimization, the method of Lagrange multipliers is a strategy for finding the local maxima and minima of a function subject to equation constraints (i.e., subject to the condition that one or more equations have to be satisfie ...
to minimize this variance subject to the constraint Σ''nh'' = ''n'' leads to the Neyman allocation formula.


Advantages

Neyman allocation offers several advantages over other allocation methods: * It provides the most statistically efficient allocation for estimating population means and totals when costs are equal across strata. * It takes into account both the size and variability of each stratum. * It generally results in smaller standard errors compared to proportional allocation.


Limitations

Despite its optimality properties, Neyman allocation has some practical limitations: * It requires prior knowledge of stratum standard deviations, which may not be available in practice. * The allocated sample sizes may not be integers and need to be rounded. * Very small strata may receive insufficient sample sizes for reliable estimation. * It may not be optimal when estimating multiple parameters simultaneously.


Applications

Neyman allocation is widely used in large-scale surveys and statistical studies, particularly in: * Official statistics and government surveys * Market research studies * Environmental sampling * Quality control in manufacturing * Educational assessment studies When sampling costs differ across strata, the allocation can be modified to account for these differences, leading to cost-optimal allocation formulas.


See also

* Stratified sampling *
Optimal design In the design of experiments, optimal experimental designs (or optimum designs) are a class of experimental designs that are optimal with respect to some statistical criterion. The creation of this field of statistics has been credited to D ...
*
Survey sampling In statistics, survey sampling describes the process of selecting a sample of elements from a target population to conduct a survey. The term " survey" may refer to many different types or techniques of observation. In survey sampling it most oft ...
*
Jerzy Neyman Jerzy Spława-Neyman (April 16, 1894 – August 5, 1981; ) was a Polish mathematician and statistician who first introduced the modern concept of a confidence interval into statistical hypothesis testing and, with Egon Pearson, revised Ronald Fis ...


References

* * {{cite book , last=Cochran , first=W. G. , year=1977 , title=Sampling Techniques , edition=3rd , location=New York , publisher=John Wiley & Sons Sampling techniques Survey methodology Statistical theory