Jens Nordvig
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Jens Nordvig (born April 19, 1974, in
Aarhus, Denmark Aarhus (, , ; officially spelled Århus from 1948 until 1 January 2011) is the second-largest city in Denmark and the seat of Aarhus Municipality. It is located on the eastern shore of Jutland in the Kattegat sea and approximately northwest ...
as Jens Jakob Nordvig-Rasmussen) is a Danish-born
economist An economist is a professional and practitioner in the social sciences, social science discipline of economics. The individual may also study, develop, and apply theories and concepts from economics and write about economic policy. Within this ...
specializing in
foreign exchange market The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized or over-the-counter (OTC) market for the trading of currencies. This market determines foreign exchange rates for every currency. By trading volume, ...
s,
macroeconomic Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. This includes regional, national, and global economies. Macroeconomists study topics such as output/ GDP ...
policy, and
data science Data science is an interdisciplinary academic field that uses statistics, scientific computing, scientific methods, processing, scientific visualization, algorithms and systems to extract or extrapolate knowledge from potentially noisy, stru ...
. He is the founder o
Exante Data
and co-founder o
MarketReader


Contributions to the Euro break-up debate

In 2011–2012, Nordvig published a series of papers on quantifying the cost of Euro break-up in his role at Nomura Securities, and as submission to the
Wolfson Economics Prize The Wolfson Economics Prize is a £250,000 economics prize, the second largest economics prize in the world after Nobel. The Wolfson Prize is sponsored by The Baron Wolfson of Aspley Guise, CEO of retailer Next plc, and run in partnership with ...
. The submission, ''"''Rethinking the European monetary union'',"'' co-authored with Nick Firoozye, won a GBP10K finalists prize along with five other contestants. The specific contribution of Nordvig's work was to decompose the international investment of
Eurozone The euro area, commonly called the eurozone (EZ), is a Monetary union, currency union of 20 Member state of the European Union, member states of the European Union (EU) that have adopted the euro (Euro sign, €) as their primary currency ...
member countries based on the jurisdiction of the underlying assets and liabilities. In particular, would liabilities be subject to local or international law? This previously underestimated parameter turned out to be crucial in estimating balance sheet effects associated with departure from the Euro (and subsequent devaluation), and hence the overall cost of exit from the common currency. Nordvig's work on the Euro-crisis was published by McGraw-Hill in book form in 2013: ''The Fall of the Euro: Reinventing the Eurozone and the Future of Global Investing''. In Italy, the framework has also been adopted in the policy debate, for example by Alberto Bagnai and by local financial institutions in their analysis of the effects of Italexit. Regarding Italexit a remarkable contribution arrived from Antonio Guglielmi and Marcello Minenna. The analysis presented in ''The Fall of the Euro'' has been cited across policy circles; prominently so in France. It was used particularly in the run-up to the controversial 2017 presidential election, in which Le Pen was a serious contender. His 2012 study with Firoozye on the European Monetary Union is also a central part of the debate in Italy on a possible exit of the Euro.


COVID-19 analysis

In early 2020, Jens Nordvig and Exante Data switched focus towards COVID-19 analysis, anticipating that it would drive the global economy. Their real-time data on people movement has been used by Imperial College London in their analysis of the effects of social distancing in China on the containment of COVID-19. WIRED magazine discussed Nordvig's work on tracking COVID-19 using alternative data sources. The main innovation has been to use alternative data sources to measure social distancing in real-time, and thereby allow more precise epidemiological modeling. Those data source include data on traffic congestion in more than 400 global cities as well as detailed data on people movement in densely populated areas. Exante Data published this data as open source, available for free via twitter, as a public service.


Hidden debt in emerging markets

Nordvig's research into the dimensions and consequences of "dark" emerging market debt has been critically acclaimed and opened important room for debate in response to concerns that the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) raised on the transmission of
unconventional monetary policy Monetary policy is the policy adopted by the monetary authority of a nation to affect monetary and other financial conditions to accomplish broader objectives like high employment and price stability (normally interpreted as a low and stable rat ...
and the possibility of an emerging market currency crises.


Prizes, books and media

In 2001, Nordvig co-authored an economics textbook entitled ''Matematik og økonomi'' (Mathematics and Economics). In 2003, he was awarded the U.K. Society of Business Economists' Rybczynski Prize for the best essay by a young economist. Nordvig was ranked #1 in Currency Strategy by ''
Institutional Investor An institutional investor is an entity that pools money to purchase securities, real property, and other investment assets or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial banks, central banks, credit unions, government-linked ...
'' five years in a row, in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015. ''
Forbes ''Forbes'' () is an American business magazine founded by B. C. Forbes in 1917. It has been owned by the Hong Kong–based investment group Integrated Whale Media Investments since 2014. Its chairman and editor-in-chief is Steve Forbes. The co ...
'' recognized his
yen The is the official currency of Japan. It is the third-most traded currency in the foreign exchange market, after the United States dollar and the euro. It is also widely used as a third reserve currency after the US dollar and the euro. T ...
trade recommendation in its "Best Ideas 2013" series. That same year, Nordvig was on
Korn Ferry Korn Ferry is a management consulting firm headquartered in Los Angeles, California. It was founded in 1969 and as of 2019, operates in 111 offices in 53 countries and employs 8,198 people worldwide. Korn Ferry operates through four business seg ...
’s list of rising stars (future leaders). In 2016, in his new role as CEO and Founder o
Exante Data
Nordvig was interviewed by ''Bloomberg''. He has published articles in ''The Financial Times'', ''The Wall Street Journal'', The London School of Economics blog, and has a written for VoxEU. He appears on ''CNBC'', ''Bloomberg'', and ''Fox News'', as well as on ''Bloomberg Radio''.


Education and career

Nordvig received his bachelor's and master's degrees in Economics from the
University of Aarhus Aarhus University (, abbreviated AU) is a public research university. Its main campus is located in Aarhus, Denmark. It is the second largest and second oldest university in Denmark. The university is part of the Coimbra Group, the Guild, and Utr ...
in Denmark, where he also did post-graduate research on new
financial crises A financial crisis is any of a broad variety of situations in which some financial assets suddenly lose a large part of their nominal value. In the 19th and early 20th centuries, many financial crises were associated with Bank run#Systemic banki ...
models. He then worked for eight years at
Goldman Sachs The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. ( ) is an American multinational investment bank and financial services company. Founded in 1869, Goldman Sachs is headquartered in Lower Manhattan in New York City, with regional headquarters in many internationa ...
in London and New York, most recently as a Managing Director and Co-Head of Global Currency Strategy, before becoming a Senior Currency Strategist at
Bridgewater Associates Bridgewater Associates, LP (informally known as "Bridgewater") is an American investment management firm founded by Ray Dalio in 1975. The firm serves institutional clients including pension funds, Financial endowment, endowments, Foundation (no ...
. Until 2016, he was the Global Head of FX Strategy and Head of Fixed Income Research, Americas at Nomura Securities, the global investment bank. He was responsible for developing Nomura’s Research franchise in the Americas and coordinating the delivery of market-leading content across product lines. In 2016, Nordvig founded Exante Data, a data analytics company focused on macro strategy. In 2021, Nordvig co-founded MarketReader, a market intelligence company that leverages AI technology to provide explanatory analytics of asset price movement in real time. Nordvig was interviewed by ''Bloomberg'' on the topic of "How AI Is Being Used to Help Explain Stock Moves," citing MarketReader technology as a major step forward. In 2015, Nordvig obtained a PhD in economics from the
University of Southern Denmark The University of Southern Denmark (, SDU) has campuses located in Southern Denmark and on Zealand. It offers a number of joint programmes in co-operation with the University of Flensburg and the University of Kiel. Contacts with regional indu ...
. His thesis was entitled Essays on the Euro-Crisis and one chapter was published in Oxford Economic Papers in 2015.


References

{{DEFAULTSORT:Nordvig, Jens Danish economists Living people 1974 births University of Southern Denmark alumni Goldman Sachs people