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Habibullo Ismailovich Abdussamatov (russian: Хабибулло Исмаилович Абдусаматов; occasionally spelled, Abdusamatov; with initials transliterated either H.I. or K.I; born October 27, 1940 in
Samarkand fa, سمرقند , native_name_lang = , settlement_type = City , image_skyline = , image_caption = Clockwise from the top:Registan square, Shah-i-Zinda necropolis, Bibi-Khanym Mosque, view inside Shah-i-Zinda, ...
, Uzbek SSR,
Soviet Union The Soviet Union,. officially the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. (USSR),. was a transcontinental country that spanned much of Eurasia from 1922 to 1991. A flagship communist state, it was nominally a federal union of fifteen national ...
) is a Russian astrophysicist of Uzbek descent. He is the supervisor of the Astrometria project of the Russian section of the
International Space Station The International Space Station (ISS) is the largest modular space station currently in low Earth orbit. It is a multinational collaborative project involving five participating space agencies: NASA (United States), Roscosmos (Russia), JAXA ...
and the head of Space research laboratory at the
Saint Petersburg Saint Petersburg ( rus, links=no, Санкт-Петербург, a=Ru-Sankt Peterburg Leningrad Petrograd Piter.ogg, r=Sankt-Peterburg, p=ˈsankt pʲɪtʲɪrˈburk), formerly known as Petrograd (1914–1924) and later Leningrad (1924–1991), i ...
-based Pulkovo Observatory of the
Russian Academy of Sciences The Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS; russian: Росси́йская акаде́мия нау́к (РАН) ''Rossíyskaya akadémiya naúk'') consists of the national academy of Russia; a network of scientific research institutes from across t ...
. He believes that
global warming In common usage, climate change describes global warming—the ongoing increase in global average temperature—and its effects on Earth's climate system. Climate change in a broader sense also includes previous long-term changes to E ...
is primarily caused by natural processes.


Career

Abdussamatov has worked at the Pulkovo Observatory since 1964, as a researcher trainee, postgraduate, junior researcher, senior researcher, leading researcher, and then head of the Space Research Laboratory. He became head of the Space Research Sector of the Pulkovo Observatory and head of the Selenometria project on the Russian segment of the
International Space Station The International Space Station (ISS) is the largest modular space station currently in low Earth orbit. It is a multinational collaborative project involving five participating space agencies: NASA (United States), Roscosmos (Russia), JAXA ...
.


Climate views and predictions


Solar variation

Abdussamatov presented papers at the fourth and ninth
International Conference on Climate Change The International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC) is a conference series organized and sponsored by The Heartland Institute which aims to bring together those who "dispute that the science is settled on the causes, consequences, and policy ...
, events sponsored by the Heartland Institute and, according to the organiser, bringing together "think tank cosponsors and ..scientists who dispute the claim that ''the science is settled''". Abdussamatov claims that "global warming results not from the emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, but from an unusually high level of solar radiation and a lengthy—almost throughout the last century— growth in its intensity." This view contradicts the
scientific consensus on climate change There is a strong scientific consensus that the Earth is warming and that this warming is mainly caused by human activities. This consensus is supported by various studies of scientists' opinions and by position statements of scientific org ...
. He has asserted that "parallel global warmings—observed simultaneously on Mars and on Earth—can only be a straightline consequence of the effect of the one same factor: a long-time change in solar irradiance." This claim has not been accepted by the broader scientific community. Some other scientists have stated that "the idea just isn't supported by the theory or by the observations" and that it "doesn't make physical sense." Abdussamatov holds that Earth's atmosphere does not produce a
greenhouse effect The greenhouse effect is a process that occurs when energy from a planet's host star goes through the planet's atmosphere and heats the planet's surface, but greenhouse gases in the atmosphere prevent some of the heat from returning directly ...
, stating "Ascribing 'greenhouse' effect properties to the Earth's atmosphere is not scientifically substantiated." He further states that "Heated greenhouse gases, which become lighter as a result of expansion, ascend to the atmosphere only to give the absorbed heat away."


21st Century Mini-Ice Age

In early 2012, Abdussamatov predicted the onset of a new "mini-ice age" commencing 2014 and becoming most severe around 2055. His prediction gained traction in the press after the harsh 2013/2014 winter, despite the fact that winter was only harsh in eastern North America. In 2012 Abdussamatov quantified declining trend Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) and predicts further bicentennial based declining TSI.


Selected publications

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References


External links


in English

Feb. 2006 UPI wire story
covering his prediction of a 'mini-ice age' in the mid-21st century.

"Look to Mars for the truth on global warming", The Deniers (Part IX) by
Lawrence Solomon Lawrence Solomon is a Canadian writer on the environment and the executive director of Energy Probe, a Canadian non-governmental environmental policy organization, and a member of the advisory board of the far-right Rebel News. His writing has a ...
. {{DEFAULTSORT:Abdussamatov, Habibullo Living people 1940 births Russian astrophysicists Uzbekistani scientists People from Samarkand Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic people Saint Petersburg State University alumni Soviet astrophysicists