Fréchet Distribution
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The Fréchet distribution, also known as inverse
Weibull distribution In probability theory and statistics, the Weibull distribution is a continuous probability distribution. It models a broad range of random variables, largely in the nature of a time to failure or time between events. Examples are maximum on ...
, is a special case of the
generalized extreme value distribution In probability theory and statistics, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel distribution, Gumbel, Fréchet distribution, F ...
. It has the cumulative distribution function :\ \Pr(\ X \le x\ ) = e^ ~ \text ~ x > 0 ~. where is a
shape parameter In probability theory and statistics, a shape parameter (also known as form parameter) is a kind of numerical parameter of a parametric family of probability distributionsEveritt B.S. (2002) Cambridge Dictionary of Statistics. 2nd Edition. CUP. th ...
. It can be generalised to include a
location parameter In statistics, a location parameter of a probability distribution is a scalar- or vector-valued parameter x_0, which determines the "location" or shift of the distribution. In the literature of location parameter estimation, the probability distr ...
(the minimum) and a
scale parameter In probability theory and statistics, a scale parameter is a special kind of numerical parameter of a parametric family of probability distributions. The larger the scale parameter, the more spread out the distribution. Definition If a family ...
with the cumulative distribution function :\ \Pr(\ X \le x\ ) = \exp\left -\left( \tfrac \right)^\ \right~~ \text ~ x > m ~. Named for
Maurice Fréchet Maurice may refer to: *Maurice (name), a given name and surname, including a list of people with the name Places * or Mauritius, an island country in the Indian Ocean * Maurice, Iowa, a city * Maurice, Louisiana, a village * Maurice River, a t ...
who wrote a related paper in 1927, further work was done by Fisher and Tippett in 1928 and by Gumbel in 1958.


Characteristics

The single parameter Fréchet, with parameter \ \alpha\ , has
standardized moment In probability theory and statistics, a standardized moment of a probability distribution is a moment (often a higher degree central moment) that is normalized, typically by a power of the standard deviation, rendering the moment scale invariant ...
:\mu_k = \int_0^\infty x^k f(x)\ \operatorname x =\int_0^\infty t^e^ \ \operatorname t\ , (with \ t = x^\ ) defined only for \ k<\alpha\ : :\ \mu_k = \Gamma\left(1-\frac\right)\ where \ \Gamma\left(z\right)\ is the
Gamma function In mathematics, the gamma function (represented by Γ, capital Greek alphabet, Greek letter gamma) is the most common extension of the factorial function to complex numbers. Derived by Daniel Bernoulli, the gamma function \Gamma(z) is defined ...
. In particular: * For \alpha>1 the expectation is E \Gamma(1-\tfrac) * For \alpha>2 the
variance In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion ...
is \text(X)=\Gamma(1-\tfrac)-\big(\Gamma(1-\tfrac)\big)^2. The
quantile In statistics and probability, quantiles are cut points dividing the range of a probability distribution into continuous intervals with equal probabilities or dividing the observations in a sample in the same way. There is one fewer quantile t ...
q_y of order y can be expressed through the inverse of the distribution, :q_y=F^(y)=\left(-\log_e y \right)^. In particular the
median The median of a set of numbers is the value separating the higher half from the lower half of a Sample (statistics), data sample, a statistical population, population, or a probability distribution. For a data set, it may be thought of as the “ ...
is: :q_=(\log_e 2)^. The
mode Mode ( meaning "manner, tune, measure, due measure, rhythm, melody") may refer to: Arts and entertainment * MO''D''E (magazine), a defunct U.S. women's fashion magazine * ''Mode'' magazine, a fictional fashion magazine which is the setting fo ...
of the distribution is \left(\frac\right)^\frac. Especially for the 3-parameter Fréchet, the first quartile is q_1= m+\frac and the third quartile q_3= m+\frac. Also the quantiles for the mean and mode are: :F(mean)=\exp \left( -\Gamma^ \left(1- \frac \right) \right) :F(mode)=\exp \left( -\frac \right).


Applications

* In
hydrology Hydrology () is the scientific study of the movement, distribution, and management of water on Earth and other planets, including the water cycle, water resources, and drainage basin sustainability. A practitioner of hydrology is called a hydro ...
, the Fréchet distribution is applied to extreme events such as annually maximum one-day rainfalls and river discharges. The blue picture, made with
CumFreq In statistics and data analysis the application software CumFreq is a tool for cumulative frequency analysis of a single variable and for probability distribution fitting. Originally the method was developed for the analysis of hydrological m ...
, illustrates an example of fitting the Fréchet distribution to ranked annually maximum one-day rainfalls in
Oman Oman, officially the Sultanate of Oman, is a country located on the southeastern coast of the Arabian Peninsula in West Asia and the Middle East. It shares land borders with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. Oman’s coastline ...
showing also the 90% confidence belt based on the
binomial distribution In probability theory and statistics, the binomial distribution with parameters and is the discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of statistical independence, independent experiment (probability theory) ...
. The cumulative frequencies of the rainfall data are represented by
plotting position Plot or Plotting may refer to: Art, media and entertainment * Plot (narrative), the connected story elements of a piece of fiction Music * ''The Plot'' (album), a 1976 album by jazz trumpeter Enrico Rava * The Plot (band), a band formed in 2003 ...
s as part of the cumulative frequency analysis. However, in most hydrological applications, the distribution fitting is via the
generalized extreme value distribution In probability theory and statistics, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel distribution, Gumbel, Fréchet distribution, F ...
as this avoids imposing the assumption that the distribution does not have a lower bound (as required by the Frechet distribution). * In
decline curve analysis Decline curve analysis is a means of predicting future oil well or gas well production based on past production history. Production decline curve analysis is a traditional means of identifying well production problems and predicting well performan ...
, a declining pattern the time series data of oil or gas production rate over time for a well can be described by the Fréchet distribution. * One test to assess whether a multivariate distribution is asymptotically dependent or independent consists of transforming the data into standard Fréchet margins using the transformation Z_i = -1/\log F_i(X_i) and then mapping from Cartesian to pseudo-polar coordinates (R, W)= (Z_1 + Z_2, Z_1/(Z_1 + Z_2)). Values of R \gg 1 correspond to the extreme data for which at least one component is large while W approximately 1 or 0 corresponds to only one component being extreme. * In Economics it is used to model the idiosyncratic component of preferences of individuals for different products (
Industrial Organization In economics, industrial organization is a field that builds on the theory of the firm by examining the structure of (and, therefore, the boundaries between) firms and markets. Industrial organization adds real-world complications to the per ...
), locations (
Urban Economics Urban economics is broadly the economic study of urban areas; as such, it involves using the tools of economics to analyze urban issues such as crime, education, public transit, housing, and local government finance. More specifically, it is a bra ...
), or firms (
Labor Economics Labour economics seeks to understand the functioning and dynamics of the markets for wage labour. Labour is a commodity that is supplied by labourers, usually in exchange for a wage paid by demanding firms. Because these labourers exist as pa ...
).


Related distributions

* The
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Ever ...
of the Frechet distribution solves the maximum
stability postulate In probability theory, to obtain a nondegenerate limiting distribution for extremes of samples, it is necessary to "reduce" the actual greatest value by applying a linear transformation with coefficients that depend on the sample size. If \ X_1, ...
equation ; Scaling relations * If \ X \sim U(\ 0, 1\ )\ (
continuous uniform distribution In probability theory and statistics, the continuous uniform distributions or rectangular distributions are a family of symmetric probability distributions. Such a distribution describes an experiment where there is an arbitrary outcome that li ...
) then \ m + s\cdot\Bigl( -\log_e\!(X)\ \Bigr)^\frac \sim \textsf( \alpha, s, m)\ * If \ X \sim \textsf(\ \alpha, s, m=0\ )\ then its reciprocal is Weibull-distributed: \ \frac \sim \textsf\!\left(\ k = \alpha, \lambda = \tfrac\ \right)\ * If \ X \sim \textsf( \alpha, s, m )\ then \ k\ X + b \sim \textrm(\ \alpha, k s, k\ m + b\ )\ * If \ X_i \sim \textsf(\ \alpha, s, m\ )\ and \ Y=\max\\ then \ Y \sim \textsf(\ \alpha, n^ s, m\ )\


Properties

*The Frechet distribution is a max stable distribution *The negative of a random variable having a Frechet distribution is a min stable distribution


See also

* Type-2 Gumbel distribution *
Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem In statistics, the Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem (also the Fisher–Tippett theorem or the extreme value theorem) is a general result in extreme value theory regarding asymptotic distribution of extreme order statistics. The maximum of a sa ...


References


Further reading

*


External links

* * {{DEFAULTSORT:Frechet distribution Continuous distributions Extreme value data Location-scale family probability distributions