Exponential Dispersion Model
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probability Probability is a branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an e ...
and
statistics Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a s ...
, the class of exponential dispersion models (EDM), also called exponential dispersion family (EDF), is a set of
probability distribution In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is a Function (mathematics), function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of possible events for an Experiment (probability theory), experiment. It is a mathematical descri ...
s that represents a generalisation of the
natural exponential family In probability and statistics, a natural exponential family (NEF) is a class of probability distributions that is a special case of an exponential family (EF). Definition Univariate case The natural exponential families (NEF) are a subset o ...
.Jørgensen, B. (1987). Exponential dispersion models (with discussion).
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society The ''Journal of the Royal Statistical Society'' is a peer-reviewed scientific journal of statistics. It comprises three series and is published by Oxford University Press for the Royal Statistical Society. History The Statistical Society of ...
, Series B, 49 (2), 127–162.
Marriott, P. (2005) "Local Mixtures and Exponential Dispersion Models
pdf
/ref> Exponential dispersion models play an important role in
statistical theory The theory of statistics provides a basis for the whole range of techniques, in both study design and data analysis, that are used within applications of statistics. The theory covers approaches to statistical-decision problems and to statistica ...
, in particular in
generalized linear model In statistics, a generalized linear model (GLM) is a flexible generalization of ordinary linear regression. The GLM generalizes linear regression by allowing the linear model to be related to the response variable via a ''link function'' and by ...
s because they have a special structure which enables deductions to be made about appropriate
statistical inference Statistical inference is the process of using data analysis to infer properties of an underlying probability distribution.Upton, G., Cook, I. (2008) ''Oxford Dictionary of Statistics'', OUP. . Inferential statistical analysis infers properties of ...
.


Definition


Univariate case

There are two versions to formulate an exponential dispersion model.


Additive exponential dispersion model

In the univariate case, a real-valued random variable X belongs to the additive exponential dispersion model with canonical parameter \theta and index parameter \lambda, X \sim \mathrm^*(\theta, \lambda), if its
probability density function In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), density function, or density of an absolutely continuous random variable, is a Function (mathematics), function whose value at any given sample (or point) in the sample space (the s ...
can be written as : f_X(x\mid\theta, \lambda) = h^*(\lambda,x) \exp\left(\theta x - \lambda A(\theta)\right) \,\! .


Reproductive exponential dispersion model

The distribution of the transformed random variable Y=\frac is called reproductive exponential dispersion model, Y \sim \mathrm(\mu, \sigma^2), and is given by : f_Y(y\mid\mu, \sigma^2) = h(\sigma^2,y) \exp\left(\frac\right) \,\! , with \sigma^2 = \frac and \mu = A'(\theta), implying \theta = (A')^(\mu). The terminology ''dispersion model'' stems from interpreting \sigma^2 as ''dispersion parameter''. For fixed parameter \sigma^2, the \mathrm(\mu, \sigma^2) is a
natural exponential family In probability and statistics, a natural exponential family (NEF) is a class of probability distributions that is a special case of an exponential family (EF). Definition Univariate case The natural exponential families (NEF) are a subset o ...
.


Multivariate case

In the multivariate case, the ''n''-dimensional random variable \mathbf has a probability density function of the following form : f_(\mathbf, \boldsymbol, \lambda) = h(\lambda,\mathbf) \exp\left(\lambda(\boldsymbol\theta^\top \mathbf - A(\boldsymbol\theta))\right) \,\!, where the parameter \boldsymbol\theta has the same dimension as \mathbf.


Properties


Cumulant-generating function

The cumulant-generating function of Y\sim\mathrm(\mu,\sigma^2) is given by :K(t;\mu,\sigma^2) = \log\operatorname ^= \frac\,\! , with \theta = (A')^(\mu)


Mean and variance

Mean and variance of Y\sim\mathrm(\mu,\sigma^2) are given by : \operatorname \mu = A'(\theta) \,, \quad \operatorname = \sigma^2 A''(\theta) = \sigma^2 V(\mu)\,\! , with unit variance function V(\mu) = A''((A')^(\mu)).


Reproductive

If Y_1,\ldots, Y_n are i.i.d. with Y_i\sim\mathrm\left(\mu,\frac\right), i.e. same mean \mu and different weights w_i, the weighted mean is again an \mathrm with :\sum_^n \frac \sim \mathrm\left(\mu, \frac\right) \,\! , with w_\bullet = \sum_^n w_i. Therefore Y_i are called ''reproductive''.


Unit deviance

The
probability density function In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), density function, or density of an absolutely continuous random variable, is a Function (mathematics), function whose value at any given sample (or point) in the sample space (the s ...
of an \mathrm(\mu, \sigma^2) can also be expressed in terms of the unit deviance d(y,\mu) as : f_Y(y\mid\mu, \sigma^2) = \tilde(\sigma^2,y) \exp\left(-\frac\right) \,\! , where the unit deviance takes the special form d(y,\mu) = y f(\mu) + g(\mu) + h(y) or in terms of the unit variance function as d(y,\mu) = 2 \int_\mu^y\! \frac \,dt.


Examples

Many very common probability distributions belong to the class of EDMs, among them are:
normal distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x) = \frac ...
,
binomial distribution In probability theory and statistics, the binomial distribution with parameters and is the discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of statistical independence, independent experiment (probability theory) ...
,
Poisson distribution In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution () is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known const ...
,
negative binomial distribution In probability theory and statistics, the negative binomial distribution, also called a Pascal distribution, is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of failures in a sequence of independent and identically distributed Berno ...
,
gamma distribution In probability theory and statistics, the gamma distribution is a versatile two-parameter family of continuous probability distributions. The exponential distribution, Erlang distribution, and chi-squared distribution are special cases of the g ...
,
inverse Gaussian distribution In probability theory, the inverse Gaussian distribution (also known as the Wald distribution) is a two-parameter family of continuous probability distributions with support (mathematics), support on (0,∞). Its probability density function is ...
, and
Tweedie distribution In probability and statistics, the Tweedie distributions are a family of probability distributions which include the purely continuous normal, gamma and inverse Gaussian distributions, the purely discrete scaled Poisson distribution, and th ...
.


References

{{reflist Statistical models