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In the mathematical theory of
probability Probability is a branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an e ...
, the expectiles of a
probability distribution In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is a Function (mathematics), function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of possible events for an Experiment (probability theory), experiment. It is a mathematical descri ...
are related to the
expected value In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first Moment (mathematics), moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informa ...
of the distribution in a way analogous to that in which the
quantile In statistics and probability, quantiles are cut points dividing the range of a probability distribution into continuous intervals with equal probabilities or dividing the observations in a sample in the same way. There is one fewer quantile t ...
s of the distribution are related to the
median The median of a set of numbers is the value separating the higher half from the lower half of a Sample (statistics), data sample, a statistical population, population, or a probability distribution. For a data set, it may be thought of as the “ ...
. For \tau \in (0,1) , the expectile of the probability distribution with cumulative distribution function F is characterized by any of the following equivalent conditions: Whitney K. Newey, "Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation and Testing," ''Econometrica'', volume 55, number 4, pp. 819–47. : \begin & (1-\tau)\int^t_(t-x) \, dF(x) = \tau\int^\infty_t(x-t) \, dF(x) \\ pt& \int^t_, t-x, \, dF(x) = \tau\int^\infty_, x-t, \, dF(x) \\ pt& t-\operatorname E \frac \int^\infty_t(x-t) \, dF(x) \end
Quantile regression Quantile regression is a type of regression analysis used in statistics and econometrics. Whereas the method of least squares estimates the conditional ''mean'' of the response variable across values of the predictor variables, quantile regress ...
minimizes an asymmetric L_1 loss (see
least absolute deviations Least absolute deviations (LAD), also known as least absolute errors (LAE), least absolute residuals (LAR), or least absolute values (LAV), is a statistical optimality criterion and a statistical optimization technique based on minimizing the su ...
). Analogously, expectile regression minimizes an asymmetric L_2 loss (see
ordinary least squares In statistics, ordinary least squares (OLS) is a type of linear least squares method for choosing the unknown parameters in a linear regression In statistics, linear regression is a statistical model, model that estimates the relationship ...
): : \begin \operatorname(\tau) &\in \operatorname_ \operatorname X - t, ^2 , \tau - H(t - X), \end where H is the
Heaviside step function The Heaviside step function, or the unit step function, usually denoted by or (but sometimes , or ), is a step function named after Oliver Heaviside, the value of which is zero for negative arguments and one for positive arguments. Differen ...
.


References

{{reflist Theory of probability distributions>X - t, , \tau - H(t - X), \\ \operatorname(\tau) &\in \operatorname_ \operatorname X - t, ^2 , \tau - H(t - X), \end where H is the
Heaviside step function The Heaviside step function, or the unit step function, usually denoted by or (but sometimes , or ), is a step function named after Oliver Heaviside, the value of which is zero for negative arguments and one for positive arguments. Differen ...
.


References

{{reflist Theory of probability distributions