The Energy Watch Group (EWG) is an international network of
scientist
A scientist is a person who Scientific method, researches to advance knowledge in an Branches of science, area of the natural sciences.
In classical antiquity, there was no real ancient analog of a modern scientist. Instead, philosophers engag ...
s and
parliamentarians. The EWG conducts
research
Research is creative and systematic work undertaken to increase the stock of knowledge. It involves the collection, organization, and analysis of evidence to increase understanding of a topic, characterized by a particular attentiveness to ...
and publishes studies on global energy developments concerning both
fossil fuel
A fossil fuel is a flammable carbon compound- or hydrocarbon-containing material formed naturally in the Earth's crust from the buried remains of prehistoric organisms (animals, plants or microplanktons), a process that occurs within geolog ...
s and
renewables
Renewable energy (also called green energy) is energy made from renewable natural resources that are replenished on a human timescale. The most widely used renewable energy types are solar energy, wind power, and hydropower. Bioenergy and ...
. The organization states that it seeks to provide
energy policy
Energy policies are the government's strategies and decisions regarding the Energy production, production, Energy distribution, distribution, and World energy supply and consumption, consumption of energy within a specific jurisdiction. Energy ...
with objective information.
The EWG was founded in 2006 by the former German parliamentarian and
Order of Merit of the Federal Republic of Germany
The Order of Merit of the Federal Republic of Germany (, or , BVO) is the highest state decoration, federal decoration of the Federal Republic of Germany. It may be awarded for any field of endeavor. It was created by the first List of president ...
recipient
Hans-Josef Fell and further parliamentarians from other countries to provide both experts and political decision makers as well as the public with information on energy issues. In 2023, the Energy Watch Group transitioned into a non-profit legal entity, now known as EWG Energy Watch UG.
Research areas
The EWG conducts research on energy issues, including
natural gas
Natural gas (also fossil gas, methane gas, and gas) is a naturally occurring compound of gaseous hydrocarbons, primarily methane (95%), small amounts of higher alkanes, and traces of carbon dioxide and nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide and helium ...
,
crude oil
Petroleum, also known as crude oil or simply oil, is a naturally occurring, yellowish-black liquid chemical mixture found in geological formations, consisting mainly of hydrocarbons. The term ''petroleum'' refers both to naturally occurring u ...
,
coal
Coal is a combustible black or brownish-black sedimentary rock, formed as rock strata called coal seams. Coal is mostly carbon with variable amounts of other Chemical element, elements, chiefly hydrogen, sulfur, oxygen, and nitrogen.
Coal i ...
,
renewables
Renewable energy (also called green energy) is energy made from renewable natural resources that are replenished on a human timescale. The most widely used renewable energy types are solar energy, wind power, and hydropower. Bioenergy and ...
and
uranium
Uranium is a chemical element; it has chemical symbol, symbol U and atomic number 92. It is a silvery-grey metal in the actinide series of the periodic table. A uranium atom has 92 protons and 92 electrons, of which 6 are valence electrons. Ura ...
. In particular, they focus on three interrelated topics:
*the shortage of
fossil
A fossil (from Classical Latin , ) is any preserved remains, impression, or trace of any once-living thing from a past geological age. Examples include bones, shells, exoskeletons, stone imprints of animals or microbes, objects preserve ...
and
atomic energy resources,
*development scenarios for
regenerative energy sources as well as
*strategies deriving from these for a long-term secure energy supply at affordable prices
The EWG studies examines ecological, technological and economic connections in the energy sector to estimate developments in the availability and supply of different energy sources and production techniques.
The results of the EWG studies are to be presented not only to experts but also to the politically interested public. All EWG studies are open access and are available on th
website
Next to topics covering the
energy transition
An energy transition (or energy system transformation) is a major structural change to energy supply and consumption in an energy system. Currently, a transition to sustainable energy is underway to limit climate change. Most of the sustainab ...
towards a system based on
100% renewable energy
100% renewable energy is the goal of the use renewable resources for all energy. 100% renewable energy for electricity, heating, cooling and transport is motivated by climate change, pollution and other environmental issues, as well as ec ...
, the EWG is also monitoring and regularly informing about the latest developments in the global
divestment
In finance and economics, divestment or divestiture is the reduction of some kind of asset for financial, ethical, or political objectives or sale of an existing business by a firm. A divestment is the opposite of an investment. Divestiture is a ...
movement on their website.
Research and statements
Studies of the EWG by and large come to the conclusion that the planet will run out of
fossil fuels
A fossil fuel is a flammable carbon compound- or hydrocarbon-containing material formed naturally in the Earth's crust from the buried remains of prehistoric organisms (animals, plants or microplanktons), a process that occurs within geologica ...
earlier than previously thought. The global supply of fossil fuels is therefore extremely strained. An early study of the EWG estimates that there is far less coal available than what is commonly expected. Moreover,
coal
Coal is a combustible black or brownish-black sedimentary rock, formed as rock strata called coal seams. Coal is mostly carbon with variable amounts of other Chemical element, elements, chiefly hydrogen, sulfur, oxygen, and nitrogen.
Coal i ...
is distributed very unevenly across countries. 85% of global coal reserves are situated in six countries: USA, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The report suggests that a global peak of coal production will occur in 2025 the latest. The situation for
crude oil
Petroleum, also known as crude oil or simply oil, is a naturally occurring, yellowish-black liquid chemical mixture found in geological formations, consisting mainly of hydrocarbons. The term ''petroleum'' refers both to naturally occurring u ...
is even more critical. Global oil production is said to collapse to 40% in 2030 compared to production in 2012. According to calculations by the EWG,
peak-oil has already been reached in 2006 with a global oil production maximum of 81 million barrels per day and is now on a steep decline.
The EWG further maintains that neither new production techniques such as
fracking
Fracking (also known as hydraulic fracturing, fracing, hydrofracturing, or hydrofracking) is a well stimulation technique involving the fracturing of formations in bedrock by a pressurized liquid. The process involves the high-pressure inje ...
, nor
nuclear power
Nuclear power is the use of nuclear reactions to produce electricity. Nuclear power can be obtained from nuclear fission, nuclear decay and nuclear fusion reactions. Presently, the vast majority of electricity from nuclear power is produced by ...
nor a diversification of the fossil fuel portfolio can reverse the trend of a collapsing
conventional energy system. A recent EWG report warns that fracking not only has catastrophic consequences for the environmental and detrimental health impacts, but is also economically unviable, particularly in Europe. The US is heading straight to a peak in
shale gas
Shale gas is an unconventional natural gas that is found trapped within shale formations. Since the 1990s, a combination of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing has made large volumes of shale gas more economical to produce, and ...
extraction after which production will plummet within this decade. Another study claims that a diversification of
natural gas
Natural gas (also fossil gas, methane gas, and gas) is a naturally occurring compound of gaseous hydrocarbons, primarily methane (95%), small amounts of higher alkanes, and traces of carbon dioxide and nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide and helium ...
imports to decrease the EU's dependence on Russia is not an option. Neither Russia nor any other producer of natural gas can be a reliable energy supplier for the European Union. As Russian gas supply is declining, there is increasing demand in other countries, including China and Japan, competing for gas resources. Moreover,
liquid natural gas (LNG) cannot contribute to security of supply. Although the EU has the capacity to import 200 billion m
3/year, it only imported 45 billion m
3/year. According to the EWG, this is a clear indication that the producing countries lack export capacities. Substitution of declining fossil fuel reserves with nuclear energy is also doomed to fail due to two factors. First, with the proven reserves, the stocks will be exhausted in 30 years if demand remains constant. Second, as only 3–4 reactors per year are currently being completed, the competition of 15-20 would be required to maintain present reactor capacity.
Several other studies argue that a global shortage of fossil energy supply can only can be intercepted by a rigorous extension of the
renewable energy
Renewable energy (also called green energy) is energy made from renewable resource, renewable natural resources that are replenished on a human lifetime, human timescale. The most widely used renewable energy types are solar energy, wind pow ...
system. The potential for this endeavour is greater than previously thought, according to the EWG. An EWG study posits that such arguments against
wind power
Wind power is the use of wind energy to generate useful work. Historically, wind power was used by sails, windmills and windpumps, but today it is mostly used to generate electricity. This article deals only with wind power for electricity ge ...
as fluctuations of wind, lack of grid connections and lack of reserve capacities do not hold due to improvements in planning, growing price incentives and technical improvements. In 2008, the EWG estimated that 17–29% of global energy demand can be covered by renewable energy depending on the willingness to invest. The report maintains that political will is the most crucial obstacle to a global
energy transition
An energy transition (or energy system transformation) is a major structural change to energy supply and consumption in an energy system. Currently, a transition to sustainable energy is underway to limit climate change. Most of the sustainab ...
.
In 2016/17, the main focus of EWG's studies based on model based approaches concerning how a transformation towards a 100%
RE system can be achieved sustainably, e.g. for India, Iran and Nigeria. Also
storage technologies are an important factor of a successful
energy transition
An energy transition (or energy system transformation) is a major structural change to energy supply and consumption in an energy system. Currently, a transition to sustainable energy is underway to limit climate change. Most of the sustainab ...
, thus this topic is covered in a paper about the transition of the energy system in
Ukraine
Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe. It is the List of European countries by area, second-largest country in Europe after Russia, which Russia–Ukraine border, borders it to the east and northeast. Ukraine also borders Belarus to the nor ...
.
A collaborative study with the
Lappeenranta University of Technology
Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology LUT (''Finnish language, Finnish'': Lappeenrannan-Lahden teknillinen yliopisto LUT), better known by the abbreviation LUT University (''Finnish language, Finnish'': LUT-yliopisto) is a Finland, Finnish ...
is currently in progress (April 2017). It will tackle the question how a global solution towards an energy system based on 100%
renewables
Renewable energy (also called green energy) is energy made from renewable natural resources that are replenished on a human timescale. The most widely used renewable energy types are solar energy, wind power, and hydropower. Bioenergy and ...
can be achieved in a feasible and low cost way and across four major sectors: electricity, heating, industrial demand and transport.
Controversy and debates
Several statements made by the EWG are in stark contrast with those of the
International Energy Agency
The International Energy Agency (IEA) is a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organization, established in 1974, that provides policy recommendations, analysis and data on the global energy sector. The 31 member countries and 13 associatio ...
(IEA) and other organizations in the field. The EWG even claims that the IEA is institutionally biased towards conventional energy sources and follows a 'hidden agenda' to keep up the belief of an abundant supply of fossil energy sources while downplaying the potential for renewable energy and publishing misleading data.
In 2013, the EWG predicted world natural gas production would peak in 2020.
The Energy Watch Group criticism of the IEA credibility has attracted a lot of attention in the international media. The EWG achieved a partial victory when the IEA confirmed the EWG's warnings of a shrinking global supply of fossil fuels in 2010.
Since then, the EWG has published a series of studies examining what it calls the biased and misleading scenarios of the IEA, including the study on the
World Energy Outlook Reports from 1994 to 2004. the analysis of the/ IEA's Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2016, and the analysis of the World Energy Outlook 2015 and the World Energy Outlook 2016. The EWG findings were also revisited by specialist media.
The Energy Watch Group has also criticized the
German government in recent years for their controversial policies in regard to
climate change
Present-day climate change includes both global warming—the ongoing increase in Global surface temperature, global average temperature—and its wider effects on Earth's climate system. Climate variability and change, Climate change in ...
and
Energiewende.
The targets set by the German Federal Government are insufficient to meet the climate targets of the international Paris Agreement and also slow down the installation of
renewable energy sources
Renewable energy (also called green energy) is energy made from renewable natural resources that are replenished on a human timescale. The most widely used renewable energy types are solar energy, wind power, and hydropower. Bioenergy and ...
, according to EWG.
EWG studies
Forthcoming
* Energy Watch Group & Lappeenranta University of Technology (2016/ 2017) ''Global Energy System Based on 100% Renewables – A Feasible and Low Cost Solution for Electricity, Heat, Mobility and Industrial Demand''
** Prof. Herres
''Potential global biofuel production and its implications on CO2 in air, water and soil'', Presentation (part of the Study on 100% RE)
2017
* Child, M., Breyer, Ch., Bogdanov, D., Fell, H.J. (2017)
The role of storage technologies for the transition to a 100% renewable energy system in Ukraine ''11th International Renewable Energy Storage Conference, Düsseldorf
* Fell, H.J. (01.2017
Energy Sector in Ukraine: Challenges and Chances (Policy brief)
* EWG Press Release, 17 March 2017
India, Iran and Nigeria Can Switch To 100% Renewable Electricity by 20502016
* EWG Analysis of the World Energy Outlook (30 November 2016)
The International Energy Agency undermines global climate protection and energy security in its latest World Energy Outlook
** EWG Pressemitteilung, 30 November 2016
Die Internationale Energieagentur schadet erneut dem Klimaschutz und der globalen Energiesicherheit mit dem jüngsten World Energy Outlook* EWG Analysis of the IEA’s Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2016 (27 October 2016)
International Energy Agency’s Renewables Forecast: Old Wine in New Bottles** EWG Pressemitteilung, 28 October 2016
IEAs Erneuerbare Energien Projektionen: Alter Wein in neuen Schläuchen
* Schwarz, J., Fell, H.J. (2016)
Deutsche Klimapolitik – vom Vorreiter zum Bremser. ''Energy Watch Group & ASPO Deutschland, Berlin.
* Breyer, Ch., Fell, H.J., Gulagi, A. (2016)
Sustainable and Low-Cost Energy System for India without Nuclear and Coal Base Load. ''Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2015
*Breyer, Ch., Fell, H.J. Zittel, W. (2015)
IEA creates misleading future scenarios for solar power generation''. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
*Breyer, Ch., Fell, H.J. Zittel, W. (2015)
Energy Watch Group calls on the IEA to release realistic scenarios'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
*Breyer, Ch., Fell, H.J. Zittel, W. (2015)
IEA Keeps Assuming Linear Growth for Renewable Energy'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
*Breyer, Ch., Fell, H.J., Metayer, M. (2015)
The projections for the future and quality in the past of the World Energy Outlook for solar PV and other renewable energy technologies'. Energy Watch Group (Berlin) and Lappeenranta University of Technology (Finland).
*Zittel, W. (2015)
Fracking – Eine Zwischenbilanz'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
english executive summary)
2014
*Zittel, W. (2014)
The EU’s dependency on Russia for natural gas can only be reversed with a rapid expansion of renewable energy sources''. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2013
*Zittel, W., Zerhusen, J., Zerta, M. (2013)
Fossil and Nuclear Fuels – the Supply Outlook'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2010
*Zittel, W. (2010)
Worldwide Estimated Yearly Energy Costs'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2009
*Rechsteiner, R. (2009)
Wind Power in Context – A Clean Revolution in the Energy Sector'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2008
*Schindler, J., Zittel, W. (2008)
Crude Oil – The Supply Outlook'' Energy Watch Group, Berlin
*Peter, S., Lehmann, H. (2008)
Renewable Energy Outlook 2030: Energy Watch Group Global Renewable Energy Scenarios''. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2007
*Schindler, J., Zittel, W. (2007
Coal: Resources and Future Production Energy Watch Group, Berlin
2006
*Zittel, W., Schindler, J.(2006)
Uranium Resources and Nuclear Energy'. Energy Watch Group, Berlin
References
External links
Website of the Energy Watch Groupan
TwitterWebsite of Hans-Josef Fellan
TwitterWebsite of the Ludwig Bölkow Foundation
{{Authority control
International energy organizations