Emily Fair Oster (born February 14, 1980) is an American economist and author. She is currently the JJE Goldman Sachs University Professor of Economics and International and Public Affairs at
Brown University
Brown University is a private research university in Providence, Rhode Island. Brown is the seventh-oldest institution of higher education in the United States, founded in 1764 as the College in the English Colony of Rhode Island and Providenc ...
, where she has taught since 2015. Her research interests span from
development economics and
health economics to research design and experimental methodology. Her research has received exposure among non-economists through ''
The Wall Street Journal'', the book ''
SuperFreakonomics
''SuperFreakonomics: Global Cooling, Patriotic Prostitutes, and Why Suicide Bombers Should Buy Life Insurance'' is the second non-fiction book by University of Chicago economist Steven Levitt and ''The New York Times'' journalist Stephen J. Dubn ...
'', and her 2007
TED Talk.
Oster is the author of three books, ''Expecting Better'', ''The Family Firm'', and ''Cribsheet'', which discuss a data-driven approach to decision-making in pregnancy and parenting.
Early life
Oster was born on February 14, 1980, the daughter of economists
Sharon Oster
Sharon Monica Oster (September 3, 1948 – June 10, 2022) was an American economist. She was the Frederic D. Wolfe Professor Emerita of Management and Entrepreneurship and a dean of Yale School of Management, where she was the first woman to rece ...
and
Ray Fair
Ray Clarence Fair (born October 4, 1942) is the John M. Musser Professor of Economics at Yale University.
Fair received his B.A. from California State University, Fresno, Fresno State College in 1964 and his Ph.D. from Massachusetts Institute o ...
. When she was two years old, Oster's parents noticed that she talked to herself in her crib after they left her room. They placed a tape recorder in her room in order to find out what she was saying and passed the tapes on to a linguist and psychologist with whom they were friends. Analysis of Oster's speech showed that her language was much more complex when she was alone than when interacting with adults. This led to her being the subject of a series of academic papers which were collectively published as a compendium in 1989 titled ''Narratives from the Crib''. The book was reprinted in 2006, with a foreword by Oster.
Career
After earning a B.A. and Ph.D. from
Harvard
Harvard University is a private Ivy League research university in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Founded in 1636 as Harvard College and named for its first benefactor, the Puritan clergyman John Harvard, it is the oldest institution of higher le ...
in 2002 and 2006 respectively, Oster taught at the
University of Chicago Booth School of Business. She later moved to
Brown University
Brown University is a private research university in Providence, Rhode Island. Brown is the seventh-oldest institution of higher education in the United States, founded in 1764 as the College in the English Colony of Rhode Island and Providenc ...
, where she is Professor of Economics.
Oster's research focuses generally on development economics and health. In 2005, Oster published a dissertation for her economics Ph.D. from Harvard University, which suggested that the unusually high ratio of men to women in China was partially due to the effects of the
hepatitis B virus. "Hepatitis B and the Case of the Missing Women,"
pointed to findings that suggested areas with high
hepatitis B rates tended to have higher male-to female birth ratios. Oster argued that the fact that hepatitis B can cause a woman to conceive male children more often than female, accounted for a bulk of the "missing women" in
Amartya Sen's 1990 essay, "More Than 100 Million Women Are Missing." Oster noted that the use of hepatitis B vaccine in 1982 led to a sharp decline in the male-to-female birth ratio.
Sen's essay had attributed the "missing women" to societal discrimination against girls and women in the form of the allocation of health, educational, and food resources.
In April 2008, Oster released a working paper "Hepatitis B Does Not Explain Male-Biased Sex Ratios in China" in which she evaluated new data, which showed that her original research was incorrect.
''
Freakonomics'' author
Steven Levitt
Steven David Levitt (born May 29, 1967) is an American economist and co-author of the best-selling book ''Freakonomics'' and its sequels (along with Stephen J. Dubner). Levitt was the winner of the 2003 John Bates Clark Medal for his work in the ...
saw this as a sign of integrity.
In a 2007
TED Talk, Oster discussed the spread of
HIV in Africa
The human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV) are two species of ''Lentivirus'' (a subgroup of retrovirus) that infect humans. Over time, they cause acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), a condition in which progressive failure of the immu ...
, applying a cost-benefit analysis to the question of why African men have been slow to change their sexual behavior.
Oster's work on television and female empowerment in India was featured in Steve Levitt's second book, ''
SuperFreakonomics
''SuperFreakonomics: Global Cooling, Patriotic Prostitutes, and Why Suicide Bombers Should Buy Life Insurance'' is the second non-fiction book by University of Chicago economist Steven Levitt and ''The New York Times'' journalist Stephen J. Dubn ...
''.
Books
In her book, ''Expecting Better'', Oster discusses the data behind common pregnancy "rules" and argues many of them are misleading. On the guideline of avoiding alcohol consumption during pregnancy, she argues that there is no evidence that (low) levels of alcohol consumption by pregnant women adversely affect their children. This claim, however, has drawn criticism from the
National Organization on Fetal Alcohol Syndrome
The National Organization on Fetal Alcohol Syndrome (NOFAS) is a non-profit public health charitable organization focused on the issue of fetal alcohol syndrome and fetal alcohol spectrum disorders (FASD). NOFAS was founded in 1990 and advocat ...
and others. As of March 2019, the book has sold over 100,000 copies.
Her second book, ''Cribsheet,'' was published in April 2019 and was a
''New York Times'' best seller. It evaluates and reviews the research on a variety of parenting topics relating to infants and toddlers, including breastfeeding, safe sleep guidelines, sleep training, and potty training. The week of April 28, 2019, ''Cribsheet'' was also the best selling book in
Washington, DC according to the
''Post''.
Her third book, ''The Family Firm: A Data-Driven Guide to Better Decision Making in the Early School Years,'' applies to school age children. A review discusses the relationship of her parenting approach to more permissive parenting ideas dating back to the pre-Reagan era.
COVID-19 and schools
Oster was an advocate for opening schools during the
coronavirus
Coronaviruses are a group of related RNA viruses that cause diseases in mammals and birds. In humans and birds, they cause respiratory tract infections that can range from mild to lethal. Mild illnesses in humans include some cases of the com ...
epidemic, spearheading a project to collect data on the spread of coronavirus in schools, and appearing frequently in media discussing why schools should open. In early October 2020, she wrote an influential and much cited article in ''
The Atlantic'' entitled "Schools Aren't Super-Spreaders" which inspired numerous articles. Secretary of Education
Betsy DeVos and the
CDC cited Oster's work as a reason to open schools during the pandemic. In August 2020, Oster launched a dashboard compiling information on the spread of COVID-19 in schools. Critics of Oster's dashboard said it had methodological problems that they believe undermine its usefulness.
In September 2021, Oster launched the Covid-19 School Data Hub which includes information on virtual and in person status of schools across 31 states. According to ''The New York Times'', the data hub is "one of the most comprehensive efforts yet to document how schools operated during the pandemic."
On October 31, 2022, ''
The Atlantic'' published an opinion piece written by Oster in which she called for "amnesty" following the
COVID-19 pandemic, citing the "tremendous uncertainty" surrounding topics such as the
virus,
face masks,
social distancing, school closures and
COVID-19 vaccines.
Personal life
Emily is the daughter of
Sharon Oster
Sharon Monica Oster (September 3, 1948 – June 10, 2022) was an American economist. She was the Frederic D. Wolfe Professor Emerita of Management and Entrepreneurship and a dean of Yale School of Management, where she was the first woman to rece ...
and
Ray Fair
Ray Clarence Fair (born October 4, 1942) is the John M. Musser Professor of Economics at Yale University.
Fair received his B.A. from California State University, Fresno, Fresno State College in 1964 and his Ph.D. from Massachusetts Institute o ...
, both professors of economics at
Yale University. She married
Jesse Shapiro, also an economist,
in June 2006,
and they have two children.
References
External links
Oster's research home page (Brown)Emily Oster: What do we really know about the spread of AIDS? TED, March 2007
The Future of Economics Isn't So DismalNew York Times, January 10, 2007
Preventing HIV in Africa: Understanding Sexual Behavior ChangeVideo Interview
*
Interview with Emily OsterExternal Medicine Podcast Interview 2021
{{DEFAULTSORT:Oster, Emily
American women economists
Health economists
1980 births
Living people
Harvard University alumni
University of Chicago faculty
Brown University faculty
Place of birth missing (living people)
American women non-fiction writers
21st-century American economists
21st-century American non-fiction writers
21st-century American women writers