
"Dewey Defeats Truman" was an erroneous banner headline on the front page of the early editions of the ''
Chicago Daily Tribune
The ''Chicago Tribune'' is an American daily newspaper based in Chicago, Illinois, United States. Founded in 1847, it was formerly self-styled as the "World's Greatest Newspaper", a slogan from which its once integrated WGN radio and WGN tel ...
'' (later ''Chicago Tribune'') on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent
United States president
The president of the United States (POTUS) is the head of state and head of government of the United States. The president directs the executive branch of the federal government and is the commander-in-chief of the United States Armed For ...
Harry S. Truman
Harry S. Truman (May 8, 1884December 26, 1972) was the 33rd president of the United States, serving from 1945 to 1953. As the 34th vice president in 1945, he assumed the presidency upon the death of Franklin D. Roosevelt that year. Subsequen ...
won an
upset victory over his opponent,
Governor
A governor is an politician, administrative leader and head of a polity or Region#Political regions, political region, in some cases, such as governor-general, governors-general, as the head of a state's official representative. Depending on the ...
Thomas E. Dewey of
New York
New York most commonly refers to:
* New York (state), a state in the northeastern United States
* New York City, the most populous city in the United States, located in the state of New York
New York may also refer to:
Places United Kingdom
* ...
, in the
1948 presidential election. It was famously held up by Truman at a stop at
St. Louis Union Station following his successful election, smiling triumphantly at the error.
Background
The ''
Chicago Daily Tribune
The ''Chicago Tribune'' is an American daily newspaper based in Chicago, Illinois, United States. Founded in 1847, it was formerly self-styled as the "World's Greatest Newspaper", a slogan from which its once integrated WGN radio and WGN tel ...
'', which had once referred to Democratic candidate Truman as a "
nincompoop", was a famously
Republican-leaning paper. In a retrospective article some 60 years later about the newspaper's most famous and embarrassing headline, the ''Tribune'' wrote that Truman "had as low an opinion of the ''Tribune'' as it did of him".
For about a year before the 1948 election, the printers who operated the
linotype machine
The Linotype machine ( ) is a "line casting" machine used in printing which is manufactured and sold by the former Mergenthaler Linotype Company and related It was a hot metal typesetting system that cast lines of metal type for one-time use. Li ...
s at the ''Chicago Tribune'' and other Chicago papers had been on strike in protest of the
Taft–Hartley Act
The Labor Management Relations Act, 1947, better known as the Taft–Hartley Act, is a Law of the United States, United States federal law that restricts the activities and power of trade union, labor unions. It was enacted by the 80th United S ...
. Around the same time, the ''Tribune'' had switched to a method by which copy was composed on typewriters, photographed, then engraved onto printing plates. This required the paper to go to press several hours earlier than had been usual.
Election of 1948
On election night, this earlier press deadline required the first post-election issue of the ''Tribune'' to go to press before states had reported most of the results from the polling places.
The paper relied on its veteran
Washington correspondent and political analyst Arthur Sears Henning, who had predicted the winner in four of the five presidential contests since 1928. As
conventional wisdom
The conventional wisdom or received opinion is the body of ideas or explanations generally accepted by the public and/or by experts in a field.
History
The term "conventional wisdom" dates back to at least 1838, as a synonym for "commonplace kno ...
, supported by various polls, was almost unanimous that Dewey would win by a landslide, the first (one-star) edition of the ''Tribune'' therefore went to press with the banner headline "DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN".
The story by Henning also reported Republicans had retained control of the
House of Representatives
House of Representatives is the name of legislative bodies in many countries and sub-national entities. In many countries, the House of Representatives is the lower house of a bicameral legislature, with the corresponding upper house often ...
and the
Senate
A senate is a deliberative assembly, often the upper house or chamber of a bicameral legislature. The name comes from the ancient Roman Senate (Latin: ''Senatus''), so-called as an assembly of the senior (Latin: ''senex'' meaning "the el ...
, which would work with President-elect Dewey. Henning wrote that "Dewey and
Warren won a sweeping victory in the presidential election yesterday. The early returns showed the Republican ticket leading Truman and
Barkley pretty consistently in the western and southern states" and added that "indications were that the complete returns would disclose that Dewey won the presidency by an overwhelming majority of the electoral vote".
As returns began to indicate a close race later in the evening, Henning brushed them off and stuck to his prediction. Thousands of papers continued to roll off the presses with the banner headline predicting a Dewey victory.
Even after the paper's lead story was rewritten to emphasize local elections and to indicate the narrowness of Dewey's lead in the presidential contest, the same banner headline was left on the front page. Only late in the evening, after press dispatches cast doubt upon the certainty of Dewey's victory, did the ''Tribune'' change the headline to "DEMOCRATS MAKE SWEEP OF STATE OFFICES" for the later two-star edition. Some 150,000 copies had already been printed with the erroneous headline before it was corrected.
Truman, as it turned out, won the electoral vote with a 303–189–39 majority over Dewey and
Dixiecrat
The States' Rights Democratic Party (whose members are often called the Dixiecrats), also colloquially referred to as the Dixiecrat Party, was a short-lived segregationist, States' Rights, and old southern democratic political party in the ...
candidate
Strom Thurmond
James Strom Thurmond Sr. (December 5, 1902 – June 26, 2003) was an American politician who represented South Carolina in the United States Senate from 1954 to 2003. Before his 49 years as a senator, he served as the 103rd governor of South ...
, though swings of less than one percent of the popular vote in
Ohio
Ohio ( ) is a U.S. state, state in the Midwestern United States, Midwestern region of the United States. It borders Lake Erie to the north, Pennsylvania to the east, West Virginia to the southeast, Kentucky to the southwest, Indiana to the ...
,
Illinois
Illinois ( ) is a U.S. state, state in the Midwestern United States, Midwestern United States. It borders on Lake Michigan to its northeast, the Mississippi River to its west, and the Wabash River, Wabash and Ohio River, Ohio rivers to its ...
, and
California
California () is a U.S. state, state in the Western United States that lies on the West Coast of the United States, Pacific Coast. It borders Oregon to the north, Nevada and Arizona to the east, and shares Mexico–United States border, an ...
would have produced a Dewey victory; the same swing in any two of these states would have forced a
contingent election
In the United States, a contingent election is used to elect the president or vice president if no candidate receives a majority of the whole number of electors appointed. A presidential contingent election is decided by a special vote of th ...
in the House of Representatives.
Instead of a Republican sweep of the White House and retention of both houses of Congress, the
Democrats retained the White House and took control of
the Senate and
the House of Representatives.
Aftermath
Two days later, when Truman was passing through
St. Louis
St. Louis ( , sometimes referred to as St. Louis City, Saint Louis or STL) is an independent city in the U.S. state of Missouri. It lies near the confluence of the Mississippi and the Missouri rivers. In 2020, the city proper had a populatio ...
on the way to Washington, he stepped to the rear platform of his train car, the ''
Ferdinand Magellan
Ferdinand Magellan ( – 27 April 1521) was a Portuguese explorer best known for having planned and led the 1519–22 Spanish expedition to the East Indies. During this expedition, he also discovered the Strait of Magellan, allowing his fl ...
'', and was handed a copy of the ''Tribune'' early edition. Happy to exult in the paper's error, he held it up for the photographers gathered at the station, and the famous picture (in several versions) was taken.
Truman reportedly smiled and said, "That ain't the way I heard it!"
''Tribune'' publishers could laugh about the blunder years later and had planned to give Truman a plaque with a replica of the erroneous banner headline on the 25th anniversary of the 1948 election. However,
Truman died on December 26, 1972, before the gift could be bestowed.
The ''Tribune'' was not the only paper to make the mistake. ''
The Journal of Commerce
''Journal of Commerce'' is a biweekly magazine published in the United States that focuses on global trade topics. First published in 1827 in New York, it has a circulation of approximately 15,000. It provides editorial content to manage day-to ...
'' had eight articles in its edition of November 3 about what could be expected of President Dewey. The paper's five-column headline read, "Dewey Victory Seen as Mandate to Open New Era of Government–Business Harmony, Public Confidence".
References
External links
"Behind the picture:'Dewey Defeats Truman'" ''life.com''
"Tru History: November 2, 2015" ''trumanlibraryinstitute.org''
{{Harry S. Truman
Chicago Tribune
Headlines
1948 United States presidential election
1948 works
Harry S. Truman
American political catchphrases
1940s photographs
Black-and-white photographs
1948 quotations
November 1948 in the United States
Thomas E. Dewey