John Denis Sargan, FBA (23 August 1924 – 13 April 1996) was a British econometrician who specialized in the analysis of economic
time-series
In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. E ...
.
Sargan was born in
Doncaster
Doncaster ( ) is a city status in the United Kingdom, city in South Yorkshire, England. Named after the River Don, Yorkshire, River Don, it is the administrative centre of the City of Doncaster metropolitan borough, and is the second largest se ...
,
Yorkshire
Yorkshire ( ) is an area of Northern England which was History of Yorkshire, historically a county. Despite no longer being used for administration, Yorkshire retains a strong regional identity. The county was named after its county town, the ...
in 1924, and was educated at
Doncaster Grammar School and
St John's College, Cambridge
St John's College, formally the College of St John the Evangelist in the University of Cambridge, is a Colleges of the University of Cambridge, constituent college of the University of Cambridge, founded by the House of Tudor, Tudor matriarch L ...
. He made many contributions, notably in
instrumental variables
In statistics, econometrics, epidemiology and related disciplines, the method of instrumental variables (IV) is used to estimate causal relationships when controlled experiments are not feasible or when a treatment is not successfully delivered to ...
estimation
Estimation (or estimating) is the process of finding an estimate or approximation, which is a value that is usable for some purpose even if input data may be incomplete, uncertain, or unstable. The value is nonetheless usable because it is d ...
,
Edgeworth expansions for the distributions of econometric estimators, identification conditions in
simultaneous equations
In mathematics, a set of simultaneous equations, also known as a system of equations or an equation system, is a finite set of equations for which common solutions are sought. An equation system is usually classified in the same manner as single e ...
models,
asymptotic tests for
overidentifying restrictions in
homoskedastic
In statistics, a sequence of random variables is homoscedastic () if all its random variables have the same finite variance; this is also known as homogeneity of variance. The complementary notion is called heteroscedasticity, also known as hete ...
equations and
exact test
An exact (significance) test is a statistical test such that if the null hypothesis is true, then all assumptions made during the derivation of the distribution of the test statistic are met. Using an exact test provides a significance test that ...
s for
unit root
In probability theory and statistics, a unit root is a feature of some stochastic processes (such as random walks) that can cause problems in statistical inference involving time series models. A linear stochastic process has a unit root if ...
s in
autoregressive
In statistics, econometrics, and signal processing, an autoregressive (AR) model is a representation of a type of random process; as such, it can be used to describe certain time-varying processes in nature, economics, behavior, etc. The autoregre ...
and
moving average
In statistics, a moving average (rolling average or running average or moving mean or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: #Simpl ...
models. At the
LSE, Sargan was Professor of Econometrics from 1964–1984.
Sargan was
President
President most commonly refers to:
*President (corporate title)
* President (education), a leader of a college or university
*President (government title)
President may also refer to:
Arts and entertainment Film and television
*'' Præsident ...
of the
Econometric Society
The Econometric Society is an international society of academic economists interested in applying statistical tools in the practice of econometrics. It is an independent organization with no connections to societies of professional mathematicians o ...
, a Fellow of the
British Academy
The British Academy for the Promotion of Historical, Philosophical and Philological Studies is the United Kingdom's national academy for the humanities and the social sciences.
It was established in 1902 and received its royal charter in the sa ...
and an (honorary foreign) member of the
American Academy of Arts and Sciences
The American Academy of Arts and Sciences (The Academy) is one of the oldest learned societies in the United States. It was founded in 1780 during the American Revolution by John Adams, John Hancock, James Bowdoin, Andrew Oliver, and other ...
.
His influence on econometric methodology is evident in several fields including in the development of
Generalized Method of Moments estimators.
Selected publications
*
* Sargan, J. D. (1964). "Wages and Prices in the United Kingdom: A Study in Econometric Methodology", 16, 25–54. in ''Econometric Analysis for National Economic Planning'', ed. by P. E. Hart, G. Mills, and J. N. Whittaker. London: Butterworths
*
Published posthumously
* Sargan, J. D. (2001). "The Choice Between Sets of Regressors." Econometric Reviews 20(2).
* Sargan, J. D. (2001). "Model Building and Data Mining." Econometric Reviews 20(2): 159-170.
* Sargan, J. D. (2003). "The Development of Econometrics at LSE in the Last 30 Years." Econometric Theory 19(3): 429-438.
References
Further reading
*
*
External links
*
1924 births
1996 deaths
Alumni of St John's College, Cambridge
Fellows of the Econometric Society
Presidents of the Econometric Society
Fellows of the British Academy
Academics of the London School of Economics
English statisticians
20th-century English mathematicians
20th-century British economists
People from Doncaster
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