Sir Austin Bradford Hill
(8 July 1897 – 18 April 1991) was an English
epidemiologist
Epidemiology is the study and analysis of the distribution (who, when, and where), patterns and determinants of health and disease conditions in a defined population, and application of this knowledge to prevent diseases.
It is a cornerstone ...
who pioneered the modern randomised
clinical trial
Clinical trials are prospective biomedical or behavioral research studies on human subject research, human participants designed to answer specific questions about biomedical or behavioral interventions, including new treatments (such as novel v ...
and, together with
Richard Doll, demonstrated the connection between cigarette smoking and lung cancer. Hill is widely known for the
"Bradford Hill" criteria for determining a causal association.
Early life
Hill was born in London, son of Sir
Leonard Erskine Hill FRS, a distinguished physiologist, and Janet Alexander. He was the grandson of noted scholar
George Birkbeck Hill. As a child he lived at the family home, Osborne House,
Loughton
Loughton () is a suburban town and civil parish in the Epping Forest District of Essex. The town borders Waltham Abbey, Theydon Bois, Chigwell, Chingford, and Buckhurst Hill, and lies north-east of Charing Cross. For statistical purposes ...
, Essex; he was educated at
Chigwell School, Essex. He served as a pilot in the
First World War
World War I or the First World War (28 July 1914 – 11 November 1918), also known as the Great War, was a World war, global conflict between two coalitions: the Allies of World War I, Allies (or Entente) and the Central Powers. Fighting to ...
but was invalided out when he contracted
tuberculosis
Tuberculosis (TB), also known colloquially as the "white death", or historically as consumption, is a contagious disease usually caused by ''Mycobacterium tuberculosis'' (MTB) bacteria. Tuberculosis generally affects the lungs, but it can al ...
. Two years in hospital and two years of convalescence put a medical qualification out of the question and he took a degree in economics by correspondence at
London University
The University of London (UoL; abbreviated as Lond or more rarely Londin in post-nominals) is a federal public research university located in London, England, United Kingdom. The university was established by royal charter in 1836 as a degr ...
.
Career
In 1922, Hill went to work for the Industry Fatigue Research Board. He was associated with the medical statistician
Major Greenwood and, to improve his statistical knowledge, Hill attended lectures by
Karl Pearson
Karl Pearson (; born Carl Pearson; 27 March 1857 – 27 April 1936) was an English biostatistician and mathematician. He has been credited with establishing the discipline of mathematical statistics. He founded the world's first university ...
. When Greenwood accepted a chair at the newly formed
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) is a public university, public research university in Bloomsbury, central London, and a constituent college, member institution of the University of London that specialises in public hea ...
, Hill moved with him, becoming Reader in Epidemiology and Vital Statistics in 1933 and Professor of Medical Statistics in 1947. In 1947, he was appointed Honorary Director of the Medical Research Council's Statistical Research Unit.
Hill had a distinguished career in research and teaching and as author of a very successful textbook, ''Principles of Medical Statistics'', but he is famous for two landmark studies. He was the statistician on the Medical Research Council Streptomycin in Tuberculosis Trials Committee and their study evaluating the use of streptomycin in treating tuberculosis,
is generally accepted as the first modern randomised clinical trial. The use of randomisation in agricultural experiments had been pioneered by
Ronald Aylmer Fisher. The second study was rather a series of studies with
Richard Doll on smoking and lung cancer. The first paper, published in 1950, was a
case-control study comparing lung cancer patients with matched controls. Doll and Hill also started a
long-term prospective study of smoking and health. This was an investigation of the smoking habits and health of 40,701 British doctors for several years (
British doctors study). Fisher was in profound disagreement with the conclusions and procedures of the smoking/cancer work and from 1957 he criticised the work in the press and in academic publications.
In 1965, built upon the work of
Hume and
Popper, Hill suggested several aspects of
causality in medicine and biology, which have remained in use by epidemiologists to date.
On Hill's death in 1991,
Peter Armitage wrote, "to anyone involved in medical statistics,
epidemiology
Epidemiology is the study and analysis of the distribution (who, when, and where), patterns and Risk factor (epidemiology), determinants of health and disease conditions in a defined population, and application of this knowledge to prevent dise ...
or public health, Bradford Hill was quite simply the world's leading medical statistician."
Honours
In 1950–52, Hill was president of the
Royal Statistical Society.
He was awarded its
Guy Medal in Gold in 1953,
and the Harben Gold Medal of the Institute of Public
Health and Hygiene.
The Society awards a medal in the field of medical statistics in Hill's name.
Hill was made a Fellow of the
Royal Society
The Royal Society, formally The Royal Society of London for Improving Natural Knowledge, is a learned society and the United Kingdom's national academy of sciences. The society fulfils a number of roles: promoting science and its benefits, re ...
(FRS) in 1954. Fisher was one of the proposers. The certificate of election read:
Has, by the application of statistical methods, made valuable contributions to our knowledge of the incidence and aetiology of industrial diseases, of the effects of internal migration upon mortality rates, and of the natural and experimental epidemiology of various infections, for example of the risks of an attack of poliomyelitis following inoculation procedures and of the risk of congenital abnormalities being precipitated by maternal rubella in the pregnant woman. Since the war he has demonstrated in an exact and controlled field survey the association between cigarette smoking and the incidence of cancer of the lung, and has been the leader in the development in medicine of the precise experimental methods now used nationally and internationally in the evaluation of new therapeutic and prophylactic agents.
He was appointed a Commander of the
Order of the British Empire
The Most Excellent Order of the British Empire is a British order of chivalry, rewarding valuable service in a wide range of useful activities. It comprises five classes of awards across both civil and military divisions, the most senior two o ...
(CBE) in the
1951 Birthday Honours and knighted in the
1961 Birthday Honours.
Bibliography
* "Principles of Medical Statistics" (1937) London:
The Lancet
''The Lancet'' is a weekly peer-reviewed general medical journal, founded in England in 1823. It is one of the world's highest-impact academic journals and also one of the oldest medical journals still in publication.
The journal publishes ...
, 1937.
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Notes
References
External links
* Doll has some comments on his teacher and boss i
Interview with Richard Doll* Photographs of Hill
on University of York siteon National Portrait Gallery site
{{DEFAULTSORT:Hill, Austin Bradford
1897 births
1991 deaths
Military personnel from the London Borough of Camden
Royal Air Force personnel of World War I
Royal Air Force airmen
People from Loughton
British epidemiologists
English statisticians
Fellows of the Royal Society
Knights Bachelor
People educated at Chigwell School
Presidents of the Royal Statistical Society
Academics of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
Tobacco researchers
Commanders of the Order of the British Empire
Medical doctors from London
Recipients of the Jenner Medal of the Royal Society of Medicine
People from Hampstead