An Aviation Area Forecast (FA or ARFOR) was a message product of the
National Weather Service
The National Weather Service (NWS) is an agency of the United States federal government that is tasked with providing weather forecasts, warnings of hazardous weather, and other weather-related products to organizations and the public for the ...
(NWS) in the
United States
The United States of America (U.S.A. or USA), commonly known as the United States (U.S. or US) or America, is a country primarily located in North America. It consists of 50 U.S. state, states, a Washington, D.C., federal district, five ma ...
. It has been replaced by ''Graphic Area Forecasts'', or ''GFA'', in 2017.
There are also weather charts forecast like
SIGWX. FA encompasses the
weather
Weather is the state of the atmosphere, describing for example the degree to which it is hot or cold, wet or dry, calm or stormy, clear or cloudy. On Earth, most weather phenomena occur in the lowest layer of the planet's atmosphere, the ...
conditions over a large regional area and is considered one of the better sources of information for en-route weather. It is also beneficial in verifying airport conditions at airports that do not have
terminal aerodrome forecasts. FA's were issued three times daily in all 48 contiguous states of the
United States
The United States of America (U.S.A. or USA), commonly known as the United States (U.S. or US) or America, is a country primarily located in North America. It consists of 50 U.S. state, states, a Washington, D.C., federal district, five ma ...
, and modified as required. The NWS offices also issued FA's for
Alaska
Alaska ( ; russian: Аляска, Alyaska; ale, Alax̂sxax̂; ; ems, Alas'kaaq; Yup'ik: ''Alaskaq''; tli, Anáaski) is a state located in the Western United States on the northwest extremity of North America. A semi-exclave of the U.S ...
and
Hawaii
Hawaii ( ; haw, Hawaii or ) is a state in the Western United States, located in the Pacific Ocean about from the U.S. mainland. It is the only U.S. state outside North America, the only state that is an archipelago, and the only ...
, but Alaska used a slightly different format.
Description
Area forecasts (FA's) were issued 3 times daily, valid for 18 hours (12-hour forecast, plus 6-hour categorical outlook), and cover an area the size of several states
[
]
Description of content:
[
* Visibility is always stated in ]statute miles
The mile, sometimes the international mile or statute mile to distinguish it from other miles, is a British imperial unit and United States customary unit of distance; both are based on the older English unit of length equal to 5,280 Engli ...
(SM)
* Times are issued in UTC (Coordinated Universal Time)
* Comprise four sections
**a. A communications and header section
***i. Issue time of forecast
***ii. Valid times of the synopsis and the visual flight rules
In aviation, visual flight rules (VFR) are a set of regulations under which a pilot operates an aircraft in weather conditions generally clear enough to allow the pilot to see where the aircraft is going. Specifically, the weather must be better ...
(VFR) CLOUDS/WX sections
***iii. Area of coverage
**b. A precautionary statement section
***i. Warns users to check the AIRMET
An AIRMET, or Airmen's Meteorological Information, is a concise description of weather phenomena that are occurring or may occur (forecast) along an air route that may affect aircraft safety. Compared to SIGMETs, AIRMETs cover less severe weather: ...
section for IFR and/or mountain obscuration
***ii. Describes the hazards associated with all thunderstorm
***iii. Reminds users that all altitudes are given in MSL, unless noted as AGL or CIG ( ceiling)
**c. A synopsis section
***i. Brief summary of the location and movement of fronts, pressure systems and circulation patterns for an 18-hour period
***ii. References to low ceilings, reduced visibility and/or strong winds may be included
**d. A VFR CLOUDS/WX section
***i. Contains a 12-hour specific forecast, followed by a 6-hour categorical outlook
***ii. Broken down into geographical areas, and/or states
***iii. Describes cloud and weather affecting VFR flight operations, including precipitation, thunderstorms, and sustained surface winds 20 Kts or greater. Also includes visibility when the forecast to visibility is between 3 and 6 SM and/or obstructions to visibility
Some abbreviations that are used in FA's include:[
*OCNL Occasional >50% chance for <1/2 of the forecast period
*ISOLD Isolated Single cells
*WDLY SCT Widely scattered <25% of the area affected
*SCT Scattered Areas of 25% to 54% of the area affected
*NMRS Numerous >55% of the area affected
*WDSPRD Widespread >55% of the area affected
Status of an FA can be:][
*AMD Amended Includes ]AIRMET
An AIRMET, or Airmen's Meteorological Information, is a concise description of weather phenomena that are occurring or may occur (forecast) along an air route that may affect aircraft safety. Compared to SIGMETs, AIRMETs cover less severe weather: ...
s, SIGMET
SIGMET, or Significant Meteorological Information (AIM 7-1-6), is a severe weather advisory that contains meteorological information concerning the safety of all aircraft. Compared to AIRMETs, SIGMETs cover more severe weather.
Types
There ...
s, and Convective SIGMETs
*COR Corrected
*RTD Delayed
References
External links
A handy list of common abbreviations used in Area Forecasts
*
* {{cite book, url=https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/publications/at_orders/media/Basic7110.10T.pdf, title=FAA's "Flight Services" publication (Order JO 7110.10), format=pdf, date=February 14, 2008
Weather forecasting