Adrian E. Raftery (born 1955 in

Dublin Dublin is the capital and largest city of Republic of Ireland, Ireland. Situated on Dublin Bay at the mouth of the River Liffey, it is in the Provinces of Ireland, province of Leinster, and is bordered on the south by the Dublin Mountains, pa ...

, Ireland) is an Irish and

American American(s) may refer to: * American, something of, from, or related to the United States of America, commonly known as the "United States" or "America" ** Americans, citizens and nationals of the United States of America ** American ancestry, p ...

statistician A statistician is a person who works with Theory, theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private sector, private and public sectors. It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, a ...

and sociologist. He is the Boeing International Professor of Statistics and Sociology, and founding Director of the Center for Statistics and Social Sciences at the

University of Washington The University of Washington (UW and informally U-Dub or U Dub) is a public research university in Seattle, Washington, United States. Founded in 1861, the University of Washington is one of the oldest universities on the West Coast of the Uni ...

Seattle, Washington Seattle ( ) is the List of municipalities in Washington, most populous city in the U.S. state of Washington (state), Washington and in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. With a population of 780,995 in 2024, it is the List of Unit ...

, United States. Raftery studied mathematics and statistics at

Trinity College Dublin Trinity College Dublin (), officially titled The College of the Holy and Undivided Trinity of Queen Elizabeth near Dublin, and legally incorporated as Trinity College, the University of Dublin (TCD), is the sole constituent college of the Unive ...

, Ireland, in 1976 and obtained his doctorate in mathematical statistics in 1980 from the

Université Pierre et Marie Curie Pierre and Marie Curie University ( , UPMC), also known as Paris VI, was a public research university in Paris, France, from 1971 to 2017. The university was located on the Jussieu Campus in the Latin Quarter of the 5th arrondissement of Paris, ...

in Paris, France, advised by Paul Deheuvels. From 1980 to 1986, he was a lecturer in statistics at

, where he was elected to fellowship in the year he left.Curriculum vitae
, retrieved 2014-10-20. He then moved to the faculty of the

, where has been since. He was elected a Fellow of the

American Academy of Arts and Sciences The American Academy of Arts and Sciences (The Academy) is one of the oldest learned societies in the United States. It was founded in 1780 during the American Revolution by John Adams, John Hancock, James Bowdoin, Andrew Oliver, and other ...

in 2003 and a member of the

United States National Academy of Sciences The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) is a United States nonprofit, non-governmental organization. NAS is part of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, along with the National Academy of Engineering (NAE) and the Nati ...

in 2009. He was identified as the world's most cited researcher in mathematics for the decade 1995-2005 by Thomson-ISI. , Raftery has written or coauthored over 150 articles in scholarly journals. His research has focused on the development of new statistical methods, particularly for the social, environmental and health sciences. He has been a leader in developing methods for Bayesian model selection and

Bayesian model averaging In statistics and machine learning, ensemble methods use multiple learning algorithms to obtain better predictive performance than could be obtained from any of the constituent learning algorithms alone. Unlike a statistical ensemble in statisti ...

, and model-based clustering, as well as inference from computer simulation models. He has recently developed new methods for probabilistic weather forecasting and probabilistic

population projection A population projection, in the field of demography, is an estimate of a future population. It is usually based on current population estimates derived from the most recent census plus a projection of possible changes based on assumptions of future ...

Selected publications

*Raftery, A. E. (2001). Statistics in Sociology, 1950—2000: A Selective Review. ''Sociological Methodology'', 31, 1-45. * * *

References

External links

Adrian Raftery's home page
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Raftery, Adrian 1955 births Living people American statisticians Academics of Trinity College Dublin Alumni of Trinity College Dublin Bayesian statisticians Fellows of the American Statistical Association Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences Fellows of Trinity College Dublin Irish statisticians Members of the United States National Academy of Sciences Scientists from Dublin (city)