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Mixed Binomial Process
A mixed binomial process is a special point process in probability theory. They naturally arise from restrictions of ( mixed) Poisson processes bounded intervals. Definition Let P be a probability distribution and let X_i, X_2, \dots be i.i.d. random variables with distribution P . Let K be a random variable taking a.s. (almost surely) values in \mathbb N= \ . Assume that K, X_1, X_2, \dots are independent and let \delta_x denote the Dirac measure on the point x . Then a random measure \xi is called a mixed binomial process iff it has a representation as : \xi= \sum_^K \delta_ This is equivalent to \xi conditionally on \ being a binomial process based on n and P . Properties Laplace transform Conditional on K=n , a mixed Binomial processe has the Laplace transform : \mathcal L(f)= \left( \int \exp(-f(x))\; P(\mathrm dx)\right)^n for any positive, measurable function f . Restriction to bounded sets For a point process \xi and a bounded measu ...
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Point Process
In statistics and probability theory, a point process or point field is a set of a random number of mathematical points randomly located on a mathematical space such as the real line or Euclidean space. Kallenberg, O. (1986). ''Random Measures'', 4th edition. Academic Press, New York, London; Akademie-Verlag, Berlin. , .Daley, D.J, Vere-Jones, D. (1988). ''An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes''. Springer, New York. , . Point processes on the real line form an important special case that is particularly amenable to study,Last, G., Brandt, A. (1995).''Marked point processes on the real line: The dynamic approach.'' Probability and its Applications. Springer, New York. , because the points are ordered in a natural way, and the whole point process can be described completely by the (random) intervals between the points. These point processes are frequently used as models for random events in time, such as the arrival of customers in a queue (queueing theory), of impulses i ...
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Laplace Transform
In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform that converts a Function (mathematics), function of a Real number, real Variable (mathematics), variable (usually t, in the ''time domain'') to a function of a Complex number, complex variable s (in the complex-valued frequency domain, also known as ''s''-domain, or ''s''-plane). The transform is useful for converting derivative, differentiation and integral, integration in the time domain into much easier multiplication and Division (mathematics), division in the Laplace domain (analogous to how logarithms are useful for simplifying multiplication and division into addition and subtraction). This gives the transform many applications in science and engineering, mostly as a tool for solving linear differential equations and dynamical systems by simplifying ordinary differential equations and integral equations into algebraic equation, algebraic polynomial equations, and by simplifyin ...
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Binomial Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the binomial distribution with parameters and is the discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of statistical independence, independent experiment (probability theory), experiments, each asking a yes–no question, and each with its own Boolean-valued function, Boolean-valued outcome (probability), outcome: ''success'' (with probability ) or ''failure'' (with probability ). A single success/failure experiment is also called a Bernoulli trial or Bernoulli experiment, and a sequence of outcomes is called a Bernoulli process; for a single trial, i.e., , the binomial distribution is a Bernoulli distribution. The binomial distribution is the basis for the binomial test of statistical significance. The binomial distribution is frequently used to model the number of successes in a sample of size drawn with replacement from a population of size . If the sampling is carried out without replacement, the draws ar ...
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Negative Binomial Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the negative binomial distribution, also called a Pascal distribution, is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of failures in a sequence of independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials before a specified/constant/fixed number of successes r occur. For example, we can define rolling a 6 on some dice as a success, and rolling any other number as a failure, and ask how many failure rolls will occur before we see the third success (r=3). In such a case, the probability distribution of the number of failures that appear will be a negative binomial distribution. An alternative formulation is to model the number of total trials (instead of the number of failures). In fact, for a specified (non-random) number of successes , the number of failures is random because the number of total trials is random. For example, we could use the negative binomial distribution to model the number of days (random) a certain machin ...
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Poisson Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution () is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. It can also be used for the number of events in other types of intervals than time, and in dimension greater than 1 (e.g., number of events in a given area or volume). The Poisson distribution is named after French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson. It plays an important role for discrete-stable distributions. Under a Poisson distribution with the expectation of ''λ'' events in a given interval, the probability of ''k'' events in the same interval is: :\frac . For instance, consider a call center which receives an average of ''λ ='' 3 calls per minute at all times of day. If the calls are independent, receiving one does not change the probability of when the next on ...
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Power Series
In mathematics, a power series (in one variable) is an infinite series of the form \sum_^\infty a_n \left(x - c\right)^n = a_0 + a_1 (x - c) + a_2 (x - c)^2 + \dots where ''a_n'' represents the coefficient of the ''n''th term and ''c'' is a constant called the ''center'' of the series. Power series are useful in mathematical analysis, where they arise as Taylor series of infinitely differentiable functions. In fact, Borel's theorem implies that every power series is the Taylor series of some smooth function. In many situations, the center ''c'' is equal to zero, for instance for Maclaurin series. In such cases, the power series takes the simpler form \sum_^\infty a_n x^n = a_0 + a_1 x + a_2 x^2 + \dots. The partial sums of a power series are polynomials, the partial sums of the Taylor series of an analytic function are a sequence of converging polynomial approximations to the function at the center, and a converging power series can be seen as a kind of generalized polynom ...
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Poisson-type Random Measures
Poisson-type random measures are a family of three random counting measures which are closed under restriction to a subspace, i.e. closed under thinning. They are the only distributions in the canonical non-negative power series family of distributions to possess this property and include the Poisson distribution, negative binomial distribution, and binomial distribution. The PT family of distributions is also known as the Katz family of distributions, the Panjer or (a,b,0) class of distributions and may be retrieved through the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution. Throwing stones Let K be a non-negative integer-valued random variable K\in\mathbb_=\mathbb_\cup\) with law \kappa, mean c\in(0,\infty) and when it exists variance \delta^2>0. Let \nu be a probability measure on the measurable space (E,\mathcal). Let \mathbf=\ be a collection of iid random variables (stones) taking values in (E,\mathcal) with law \nu. The random counting measure N on (E,\mathcal) depends on the pa ...
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Measurable Function
In mathematics, and in particular measure theory, a measurable function is a function between the underlying sets of two measurable spaces that preserves the structure of the spaces: the preimage of any measurable set is measurable. This is in direct analogy to the definition that a continuous function between topological spaces preserves the topological structure: the preimage of any open set is open. In real analysis, measurable functions are used in the definition of the Lebesgue integral. In probability theory, a measurable function on a probability space is known as a random variable. Formal definition Let (X,\Sigma) and (Y,\Tau) be measurable spaces, meaning that X and Y are sets equipped with respective \sigma-algebras \Sigma and \Tau. A function f:X\to Y is said to be measurable if for every E\in \Tau the pre-image of E under f is in \Sigma; that is, for all E \in \Tau f^(E) := \ \in \Sigma. That is, \sigma (f)\subseteq\Sigma, where \sigma (f) is the σ-algeb ...
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Binomial Process
A binomial process is a special point process in probability theory. Definition Let P be a probability distribution and n be a fixed natural number. Let X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n be i.i.d. random variables with distribution P , so X_i \sim P for all i \in \. Then the binomial process based on ''n'' and ''P'' is the random measure : \xi= \sum_^n \delta_, where \delta_=\begin1, &\textX_i\in A,\\ 0, &\text.\end Properties Name The name of a binomial process is derived from the fact that for all measurable sets A the random variable \xi(A) follows a binomial distribution with parameters P(A) and n : : \xi(A) \sim \operatorname(n,P(A)). Laplace-transform The Laplace transform In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform that converts a Function (mathematics), function of a Real number, real Variable (mathematics), variable (usually t, in the ''time domain'') to a f ... of a binomial process is given by ...
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Probability Theory
Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms of probability, axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure (mathematics), measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event (probability theory), event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of determinism, non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured Quantity, quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is no ...
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Random Measure
In probability theory, a random measure is a measure-valued random element. Random measures are for example used in the theory of random processes, where they form many important point processes such as Poisson point processes and Cox processes. Definition Random measures can be defined as transition kernels or as random elements. Both definitions are equivalent. For the definitions, let E be a separable complete metric space and let \mathcal E be its Borel \sigma -algebra. (The most common example of a separable complete metric space is \R^n .) As a transition kernel A random measure \zeta is a ( a.s.) locally finite transition kernel from an abstract probability space (\Omega, \mathcal A, P) to (E, \mathcal E) . Being a transition kernel means that *For any fixed B \in \mathcal \mathcal E , the mapping : \omega \mapsto \zeta(\omega,B) :is measurable from (\Omega, \mathcal A) to (\R, \mathcal B(\R)) *For every fixed \omega \in \Omega , the mapping : B ...
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Dirac Measure
In mathematics, a Dirac measure assigns a size to a set based solely on whether it contains a fixed element ''x'' or not. It is one way of formalizing the idea of the Dirac delta function, an important tool in physics and other technical fields. Definition A Dirac measure is a measure on a set (with any -algebra of subsets of ) defined for a given and any (measurable) set by :\delta_x (A) = 1_A(x)= \begin 0, & x \not \in A; \\ 1, & x \in A. \end where is the indicator function of . The Dirac measure is a probability measure, and in terms of probability it represents the almost sure outcome in the sample space . We can also say that the measure is a single atom at ; however, treating the Dirac measure as an atomic measure is not correct when we consider the sequential definition of Dirac delta, as the limit of a delta sequence. The Dirac measures are the extreme points of the convex set of probability measures on . The name is a back-formation from the Dirac delta fun ...
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