Out-of-bag Error
Out-of-bag (OOB) error, also called out-of-bag estimate, is a method of measuring the prediction error of random forests, gradient boosting, boosted decision trees, and other machine learning models utilizing bootstrap aggregating (bagging). Bagging uses subsampling with replacement to create training samples for the model to learn from. OOB error is the mean prediction error on each training sample , using only the trees that did not have in their bootstrap sample. Bootstrap aggregating allows one to define an out-of-bag estimate of the prediction performance improvement by evaluating predictions on those observations that were not used in the building of the next base learner. Out-of-bag dataset When bootstrap aggregating is performed, two independent sets are created. One set, the bootstrap sample, is the data chosen to be "in-the-bag" by sampling with replacement. The out-of-bag set is all data not chosen in the sampling process. When this process is repeated, such as w ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Prediction Error
In statistics the mean squared prediction error (MSPE), also known as mean squared error of the predictions, of a smoothing, curve fitting, or regression procedure is the expected value of the squared prediction errors (PE), the square difference between the fitted values implied by the predictive function \widehat and the values of the (unobservable) true value ''g''. It is an inverse measure of the ''explanatory power'' of \widehat, and can be used in the process of cross-validation of an estimated model. Knowledge of ''g'' would be required in order to calculate the MSPE exactly; in practice, MSPE is estimated. Formulation If the smoothing or fitting procedure has projection matrix (i.e., hat matrix) ''L'', which maps the observed values vector y to predicted values vector \hat=Ly, then PE and MSPE are formulated as: :\operatorname=g(x_i)-\widehat(x_i), :\operatorname=\operatorname\left operatorname_i^2\right\sum_^n \operatorname_i^2/n. The MSPE can be decomposed into two ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Random Forest
Random forests or random decision forests is an ensemble learning method for statistical classification, classification, regression analysis, regression and other tasks that works by creating a multitude of decision tree learning, decision trees during training. For classification tasks, the output of the random forest is the class selected by most trees. For regression tasks, the output is the average of the predictions of the trees. Random forests correct for decision trees' habit of overfitting to their Test set, training set. The first algorithm for random decision forests was created in 1995 by Tin Kam Ho using the random subspace method, which, in Ho's formulation, is a way to implement the "stochastic discrimination" approach to classification proposed by Eugene Kleinberg. An extension of the algorithm was developed by Leo Breiman and Adele Cutler, who registered "Random Forests" as a trademark in 2006 (, owned by Minitab, Minitab, Inc.). The extension combines Breiman's ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Gradient Boosting
Gradient boosting is a machine learning technique based on boosting in a functional space, where the target is ''pseudo-residuals'' instead of residuals as in traditional boosting. It gives a prediction model in the form of an ensemble of weak prediction models, i.e., models that make very few assumptions about the data, which are typically simple decision trees. When a decision tree is the weak learner, the resulting algorithm is called gradient-boosted trees; it usually outperforms random forest. As with other boosting methods, a gradient-boosted trees model is built in stages, but it generalizes the other methods by allowing optimization of an arbitrary differentiable loss function. History The idea of gradient boosting originated in the observation by Leo Breiman that boosting can be interpreted as an optimization algorithm on a suitable cost function. Explicit regression gradient boosting algorithms were subsequently developed, by Jerome H. Friedman, (in 1999 and later ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Machine Learning
Machine learning (ML) is a field of study in artificial intelligence concerned with the development and study of Computational statistics, statistical algorithms that can learn from data and generalise to unseen data, and thus perform Task (computing), tasks without explicit Machine code, instructions. Within a subdiscipline in machine learning, advances in the field of deep learning have allowed Neural network (machine learning), neural networks, a class of statistical algorithms, to surpass many previous machine learning approaches in performance. ML finds application in many fields, including natural language processing, computer vision, speech recognition, email filtering, agriculture, and medicine. The application of ML to business problems is known as predictive analytics. Statistics and mathematical optimisation (mathematical programming) methods comprise the foundations of machine learning. Data mining is a related field of study, focusing on exploratory data analysi ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Bootstrap Aggregating
Bootstrap aggregating, also called bagging (from bootstrap aggregating) or bootstrapping, is a machine learning (ML) ensemble meta-algorithm designed to improve the stability and accuracy of ML classification and regression algorithms. It also reduces variance and overfitting. Although it is usually applied to decision tree methods, it can be used with any type of method. Bagging is a special case of the ensemble averaging approach. Description of the technique Given a standard training set D of size n, bagging generates m new training sets D_i, each of size n', by sampling from D uniformly and with replacement. By sampling with replacement, some observations may be repeated in each D_i. If n'=n, then for large n the set D_i is expected to have the fraction (1 - 1/'' e'') (~63.2%) of the unique samples of D, the rest being duplicates. This kind of sample is known as a bootstrap sample. Sampling with replacement ensures each bootstrap is independent from its peers, as it do ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Sampling With Replacement And Out-of-bag Dataset - Medical Context
Sampling may refer to: *Sampling (signal processing), converting a continuous signal into a discrete signal * Sampling (graphics), converting continuous colors into discrete color components *Sampling (music), the reuse of a sound recording in another recording **Sampler (musical instrument), an electronic musical instrument used to record and play back samples *Sampling (statistics), selection of observations to acquire some knowledge of a statistical population *Sampling (case studies), selection of cases for single or multiple case studies *Sampling (audit), application of audit procedures to less than 100% of population to be audited *Sampling (medicine), gathering of matter from the body to aid in the process of a medical diagnosis and/or evaluation of an indication for treatment, further medical tests or other procedures. *Sampling (occupational hygiene), detection of hazardous materials in the workplace *Sampling (for testing or analysis), taking a representative portion of a ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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OOB Error Example
OOB may refer to: * Oob (''Dragon Ball''), a fictional character in ''Dragon Ball'' *''off our backs'', US feminist periodical 1970–2008 *Order of battle, a listing of military units *Out-of-bag error, a method of measuring prediction error *Out-of-band management, using a dedicated management channel in computer networking *Out of bounds, a state of violating boundary rules in sports, gaming (specifically speedrunning), or computer science. * ÖoB, a Swedish discount chain * Old Orchard Beach, a seaside resort town in Maine Maine ( ) is a U.S. state, state in the New England region of the United States, and the northeasternmost state in the Contiguous United States. It borders New Hampshire to the west, the Gulf of Maine to the southeast, and the Provinces and ... See also * OOBE (other) {{disambiguation ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Springer Publishing
Springer Publishing Company is an American publishing company of academic journals and books, focusing on the fields of nursing, gerontology, psychology, social work, counseling, public health, and rehabilitation (neuropsychology). It was established in 1951 by Bernhard Springer, a great-grandson of Julius Springer, and is based in Midtown Manhattan, New York City. History Springer Publishing Company was founded in 1950 by Bernhard Springer, the Berlin-born great-grandson of Julius Springer, who founded Springer Science+Business Media, Springer-Verlag (now Springer Science+Business Media). Springer Publishing's first landmark publications included ''Livestock Health Encyclopedia'' by R. Seiden and the 1952 ''Handbook of Cardiology for Nurses''. The company's books soon branched into other fields, including medicine and psychology. Nursing publications grew rapidly in number, as Modell's ''Drugs in Current Use'', a small annual paperback, sold over 150,000 copies over several edi ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Cross-validation (statistics)
Cross-validation, sometimes called rotation estimation or out-of-sample testing, is any of various similar model validation techniques for assessing how the results of a statistics, statistical analysis will Generalization error, generalize to an independent data set. Cross-validation includes Resampling (statistics), resampling and sample splitting methods that use different portions of the data to test and train a model on different iterations. It is often used in settings where the goal is prediction, and one wants to estimate how accuracy, accurately a predictive modelling, predictive model will perform in practice. It can also be used to assess the quality of a fitted model and the stability of its parameters. In a prediction problem, a model is usually given a dataset of ''known data'' on which training is run (''training dataset''), and a dataset of ''unknown data'' (or ''first seen'' data) against which the model is tested (called the validation set, validation dataset o ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Random Forest
Random forests or random decision forests is an ensemble learning method for statistical classification, classification, regression analysis, regression and other tasks that works by creating a multitude of decision tree learning, decision trees during training. For classification tasks, the output of the random forest is the class selected by most trees. For regression tasks, the output is the average of the predictions of the trees. Random forests correct for decision trees' habit of overfitting to their Test set, training set. The first algorithm for random decision forests was created in 1995 by Tin Kam Ho using the random subspace method, which, in Ho's formulation, is a way to implement the "stochastic discrimination" approach to classification proposed by Eugene Kleinberg. An extension of the algorithm was developed by Leo Breiman and Adele Cutler, who registered "Random Forests" as a trademark in 2006 (, owned by Minitab, Minitab, Inc.). The extension combines Breiman's ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |
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Boosting (meta-algorithm)
In machine learning (ML), boosting is an ensemble metaheuristic for primarily reducing bias (as opposed to variance). It can also improve the stability and accuracy of ML classification and regression algorithms. Hence, it is prevalent in supervised learning for converting weak learners to strong learners. The concept of boosting is based on the question posed by Kearns and Valiant (1988, 1989):Michael Kearns(1988)''Thoughts on Hypothesis Boosting'' Unpublished manuscript (Machine Learning class project, December 1988) "Can a set of weak learners create a single strong learner?" A weak learner is defined as a classifier that is only slightly correlated with the true classification. A strong learner is a classifier that is arbitrarily well-correlated with the true classification. Robert Schapire answered the question in the affirmative in a paper published in 1990. This has had significant ramifications in machine learning and statistics, most notably leading to the developm ... [...More Info...]       [...Related Items...]     OR:     [Wikipedia]   [Google]   [Baidu]   |