George Friedman
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George Friedman ( hu, Friedman György, born February 1, 1949) is a Hungarian-born U.S.
geopolitical Geopolitics (from Greek γῆ ''gê'' "earth, land" and πολιτική ''politikḗ'' "politics") is the study of the effects of Earth's geography (human and physical) on politics and international relations. While geopolitics usually refers to ...
forecaster, author, and strategist on international affairs. He is the founder and chairman of ''Geopolitical Futures'', an online publication that analyzes and forecasts the course of global events. Prior to founding Geopolitical Futures, he was chairman of its predecessor Stratfor, the private intelligence publishing and consulting firm he founded in 1996.


Early life and education

Friedman was born in Budapest, Hungary in 1949 to Jewish parents who survived the
Holocaust The Holocaust, also known as the Shoah, was the genocide of European Jews during World War II. Between 1941 and 1945, Nazi Germany and its collaborators systematically murdered some six million Jews across German-occupied Europe; ...
. His family fled Hungary when he was a child to escape the Communist regime as refugees, settling first in a camp for displaced persons in Austria and then emigrating to the
United States The United States of America (U.S.A. or USA), commonly known as the United States (U.S. or US) or America, is a country primarily located in North America. It consists of 50 states, a federal district, five major unincorporated territori ...
. Friedman describes his family's story as "a very classic story of refugees making a new life in America." He grew up in
New York City New York, often called New York City or NYC, is the most populous city in the United States. With a 2020 population of 8,804,190 distributed over , New York City is also the most densely populated major city in the Un ...
. Friedman received a B.A. at the City College of New York, where he majored in political science, and a Ph.D. in government at
Cornell University Cornell University is a private statutory land-grant research university based in Ithaca, New York. It is a member of the Ivy League. Founded in 1865 by Ezra Cornell and Andrew Dickson White, Cornell was founded with the intention to tea ...
..


Career

After the
collapse of the Soviet Union The dissolution of the Soviet Union, also negatively connoted as rus, Разва́л Сове́тского Сою́за, r=Razvál Sovétskogo Soyúza, ''Ruining of the Soviet Union''. was the process of internal disintegration within the Sov ...
, he studied potential for a Japan-U.S. conflict and co-authored with his wife '' The Coming War with Japan'' in 1991. In 1996, Friedman founded Stratfor, a private intelligence and forecasting company, and served as the company's CEO and Chief Intelligence Officer. Stratfor's head office is in Austin,
Texas Texas (, ; Spanish: ''Texas'', ''Tejas'') is a state in the South Central region of the United States. At 268,596 square miles (695,662 km2), and with more than 29.1 million residents in 2020, it is the second-largest U.S. state by ...
. He resigned from Stratfor in May 2015. That year, he founded Geopolitical Futures. Friedman's reputation as a forecaster of geopolitical events led ''
The New York Times ''The New York Times'' (''the Times'', ''NYT'', or the Gray Lady) is a daily newspaper based in New York City with a worldwide readership reported in 2020 to comprise a declining 840,000 paid print subscribers, and a growing 6 million paid d ...
'' magazine to comment, in a profile, "There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a
Magic 8-Ball The Magic 8 Ball is a plastic sphere, made to look like an oversized , that is used for fortune-telling or seeking advice. It was invented in 1946 by Albert C. Carter and Abe Bookman and is currently manufactured by Mattel. The user asks a yes ...
." In ''The Next Decade'', Friedman argues how the U.S. administrations of the 2010s will need to create regional power balances, some of which have been disturbed. Friedman conceptualizes successful U.S. management of world affairs not by directly enforcing countries, but by creating competing relationships, which offset one another, in the world's different regions. For example, in the past, Iraq balanced Iran, and currently Japan balances China. Friedman asserts this is the decade where the U.S. as a power must mature to manage its power and balance as an unintended empire and republic. Friedman's latest book was released in 2020 by Doubleday. While originally scheduled to be released in January 2018, it was delayed six times before being released in 2020. The working title was ''The New American Century: Crisis, Endurance, and the Future of the United States'', but has subsequently been changed to ''The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond''.


Personal life

Friedman is married to Meredith Friedman (née LeBard), has four children, and lives in
Austin, Texas Austin is the capital city of the U.S. state of Texas, as well as the seat and largest city of Travis County, with portions extending into Hays and Williamson counties. Incorporated on December 27, 1839, it is the 11th-most-populous city ...
. He and his wife have co-authored several publications, including ''The Coming War with Japan''.''Booknotes''
interview with Friedman and Meredith LeBard on ''The Coming War With Japan'', June 9, 1991.


Bibliography

*''The Political Philosophy of the Frankfurt School'' (1981). Cornell University Press, . *'' The Coming War With Japan'', with Meredith LeBard (1991). St Martins Press. Reprint edition, 1992, . *''The Future of War: Power, Technology and American World Dominance in the Twenty-First Century'', with Meredith Friedman (1996). Crown Publishers, 1st edition, . St. Martin's Griffin, 1998, . *''The Intelligence Edge: How to Profit in the Information Age'' with Meredith Friedman, Colin Chapman and John Baker (1997). Crown, 1st edition, . *''America's Secret War: Inside the Hidden Worldwide Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies'' (2004). Doubleday, 1st edition, . Broadway, reprint edition (2005). . *'' The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century'' (2009). Doubleday, . *
The Next Decade: What the World Will Look Like
' (2011). . *''Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe'' (2015). Doubleday, . *''The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond'' (2020). Doubleday,


References


External links


George Friedman at Geopolitical Futures
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Friedman, George 1949 births American chief executives American foreign policy writers American male non-fiction writers American people of Hungarian-Jewish descent American political scientists American political writers Businesspeople from New York City City College of New York alumni Cornell University alumni Futurologists Geopoliticians Hungarian Jews Jewish American writers Living people New York (state) Republicans Scholars of Marxism Writers from Austin, Texas Writers from Budapest Writers from New York City