Cox process
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In
probability theory Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set ...
, a Cox process, also known as a doubly stochastic Poisson process is a point process which is a generalization of a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
where the intensity that varies across the underlying mathematical space (often space or time) is itself a stochastic process. The process is named after the
statistician A statistician is a person who works with theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private and public sectors. It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, and statisticians may w ...
David Cox, who first published the model in 1955. Cox processes are used to generate simulations of spike trains (the sequence of action potentials generated by a
neuron A neuron, neurone, or nerve cell is an electrically excitable cell that communicates with other cells via specialized connections called synapses. The neuron is the main component of nervous tissue in all animals except sponges and placozoa ...
), and also in
financial mathematics Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets. In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that require ...
where they produce a "useful framework for modeling prices of financial instruments in which
credit risk A credit risk is risk of default on a debt that may arise from a borrower failing to make required payments. In the first resort, the risk is that of the lender and includes lost principal and interest, disruption to cash flows, and increased ...
is a significant factor."


Definition

Let \xi be a random measure. A random measure \eta is called a Cox process directed by \xi , if \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
with intensity measure \mu . Here, \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is the conditional distribution of \eta , given \ .


Laplace transform

If \eta is a Cox process directed by \xi , then \eta has the
Laplace transform In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform that converts a function of a real variable (usually t, in the '' time domain'') to a function of a complex variable s (in the ...
: \mathcal L_\eta(f)=\exp \left(- \int 1-\exp(-f(x))\; \xi(\mathrm dx)\right) for any positive,
measurable function In mathematics and in particular measure theory, a measurable function is a function between the underlying sets of two measurable spaces that preserves the structure of the spaces: the preimage of any measurable set is measurable. This is in ...
f .


See also

* Poisson hidden Markov model * Doubly stochastic model * Inhomogeneous Poisson process, where ''λ''(''t'') is restricted to a deterministic function * Ross's conjecture *
Gaussian process In probability theory and statistics, a Gaussian process is a stochastic process (a collection of random variables indexed by time or space), such that every finite collection of those random variables has a multivariate normal distribution, i.e. ...
* Mixed Poisson process


References

;Notes ;Bibliography * Cox, D. R. and Isham, V. '' Point Processes'', London: Chapman & Hall, 1980 * Donald L. Snyder and Michael I. Miller ''Random Point Processes in Time and Space'' Springer-Verlag, 1991 (New York) (Berlin) Poisson point processes {{statistics-stub