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In healthcare, a differential diagnosis (abbreviated DDx) is a method of analysis of a patient's history and physical examination to arrive at the correct diagnosis. It involves distinguishing a particular
disease A disease is a particular abnormal condition that negatively affects the structure or function of all or part of an organism, and that is not immediately due to any external injury. Diseases are often known to be medical conditions that a ...
or condition from others that present with similar clinical features. Differential diagnostic procedures are used by clinicians to
diagnose Diagnosis is the identification of the nature and cause of a certain phenomenon. Diagnosis is used in many different disciplines, with variations in the use of logic, analytics, and experience, to determine "cause and effect". In systems enginee ...
the specific disease in a
patient A patient is any recipient of health care services that are performed by healthcare professionals. The patient is most often ill or injured and in need of treatment by a physician, nurse, optometrist, dentist, veterinarian, or other heal ...
, or, at least, to consider any imminently life-threatening conditions. Often, each individual option of a possible disease is called a differential diagnosis (e.g., acute bronchitis could be a differential diagnosis in the evaluation of a cough, even if the final diagnosis is common cold). More generally, a differential diagnostic procedure is a systematic diagnostic method used to identify the presence of a
disease entity An endotype is a subtype of a health condition, which is defined by a distinct functional or pathobiological mechanism. This is distinct from a phenotype, which is any observable characteristic or trait of a disease, such as development, biochem ...
where multiple alternatives are possible. This method may employ algorithms, akin to the process of elimination, or at least a process of obtaining information that shrinks the "probabilities" of candidate conditions to negligible levels, by using evidence such as symptoms, patient history, and medical knowledge to adjust
epistemic Epistemology (; ), or the theory of knowledge, is the branch of philosophy concerned with knowledge. Epistemology is considered a major subfield of philosophy, along with other major subfields such as ethics, logic, and metaphysics. Episte ...
confidences in the mind of the diagnostician (or, for computerized or computer-assisted diagnosis, the software of the system). Differential diagnosis can be regarded as implementing aspects of the hypothetico-deductive method, in the sense that the potential presence of candidate diseases or conditions can be viewed as hypotheses that clinicians further determine as being true or false. A differential diagnosis is also commonly used within the field of psychiatry/psychology, where two different diagnoses can be attached to a patient who is exhibiting symptoms that could fit into either diagnosis. For example, a patient who has been diagnosed with bipolar disorder may also be given a differential diagnosis of borderline personality disorder, given the similarity in the symptoms of both conditions. Strategies used in preparing a differential diagnosis list vary with the experience of the healthcare provider. While novice providers may work systemically to assess all possible explanations for a patient's concerns, those with more experience often draw on clinical experience and pattern recognition to protect the patient from delays, risks, and cost of inefficient strategies or tests. Effective providers utilize an evidence-based approach, complementing their clinical experience with knowledge from clinical research.


General components

A differential diagnosis has four general steps. The clinician will: # Gather relevant information about the patient and create a symptoms list. # List possible causes (''candidate conditions'') for the symptoms. The list need not be in writing. # Prioritize the list by balancing the risks of a diagnosis with the probability. These are subjective, not objective parameters. # Perform tests to determine the actual diagnosis. This is known by the colloquial phrase "to Rule Out". Even after the process, the diagnosis is not clear. The clinician again considers the risks and may treat them empirically, often called "Educated Best Guess." A
mnemonic A mnemonic ( ) device, or memory device, is any learning technique that aids information retention or retrieval (remembering) in the human memory for better understanding. Mnemonics make use of elaborative encoding, retrieval cues, and image ...
to help in considering multiple possible pathological processes is ''VINDICATE'M'': * ascular * nflammatory / nfectious * eoplastic * egenerative / / rugs * diopathic / ntoxication / atrogenic * ongenital * utoimmune / llergic / natomic * raumatic * ndocrine / nvironmental * etabolic


Specific methods

There are several methods for differential diagnostic procedures and several variants among those. Furthermore, a differential diagnostic procedure can be used concomitantly or alternately with protocols, guidelines, or other diagnostic procedures (such as pattern recognition or using medical algorithms). For example, in case of
medical emergency A medical emergency is an acute injury or illness that poses an immediate risk to a person's life or long-term health, sometimes referred to as a situation risking "life or limb". These emergencies may require assistance from another, qualified ...
, there may not be enough time to do any detailed calculations or estimations of different probabilities, in which case the ABC protocol (''Airway, Breathing and Circulation'') may be more appropriate. Later, when the situation is less acute, a more comprehensive differential diagnostic procedure may be adopted. The differential diagnostic procedure may be simplified if a " pathognomonic" sign or symptom is found (in which case it is almost certain that the target condition is present) or in the absence of a '' sine qua non'' sign or symptom (in which case it is almost certain that the target condition is absent). A diagnostician can be selective, considering first those disorders that are more likely (a probabilistic approach), more serious if left undiagnosed and untreated (a prognostic approach), or more responsive to treatment if offered (a pragmatic approach). Since the subjective probability of the presence of a condition is never exactly 100% or 0%, the differential diagnostic procedure may aim at specifying these various probabilities to form indications for further action. The following are two methods of differential diagnosis, being based on epidemiology and likelihood ratios, respectively.


Epidemiology-based method

One method of performing a differential diagnosis by epidemiology aims to estimate the probability of each candidate condition by comparing their probabilities to have occurred in the first place in the individual. It is based on probabilities related both to the presentation (such as pain) and probabilities of the various candidate conditions (such as diseases).


Theory

The statistical basis for differential diagnosis is Bayes' theorem. As an analogy, when a
die Die, as a verb, refers to death, the cessation of life. Die may also refer to: Games * Die, singular of dice, small throwable objects used for producing random numbers Manufacturing * Die (integrated circuit), a rectangular piece of a semicondu ...
has landed the outcome is certain by 100%, but the probability that it Would Have Occurred in the First Place (hereafter abbreviated WHOIFP) is still 1/6. In the same way, the probability that a presentation or condition would have occurred in the first place in an individual (WHOIFPI) is not same as the probability that the presentation or condition ''has'' occurred in the individual, because the presentation ''has'' occurred by 100% certainty in the individual. Yet, the contributive probability fractions of each condition are assumed the same, relatively: : \begin & \frac = \frac \end where: * Pr(Presentation is caused by a condition in individual) is the probability that the presentation is caused by condition in the individual ''condition'' without further specification refers to any candidate condition * Pr(Presentation has occurred in individual) is the probability that the presentation has occurred in the individual, which can be perceived and thereby set at 100% * Pr(Presentation WHOIFPI by condition) is the probability that the presentation Would Have Occurred in the First Place in the Individual by condition * Pr(Presentation WHOIFPI) is the probability that the presentation Would Have Occurred in the First Place in the Individual When an individual presents with a symptom or sign, Pr(Presentation has occurred in individual) is 100% and can therefore be replaced by 1, and can be ignored since division by 1 does not make any difference: : \Pr(\text) = \frac The total probability of the presentation to have occurred in the individual can be approximated as the sum of the individual candidate conditions: : \begin \Pr(\text) & = \Pr(\text) \\ & + \Pr(\text) \\ & + \Pr(\text) + \text \end Also, the probability of the presentation to have been caused by any candidate condition is proportional to the probability of the condition, depending on what rate it causes the presentation: : \Pr(\text) = \Pr(\text) \cdot r_, where: * Pr(Presentation WHOIFPI by condition) is the probability that the presentation Would Have Occurred in the First Place in the Individual by condition * Pr(Condition WHOIFPI) is the probability that the condition Would Have Occurred in the First Place in the Individual * ''r''Condition → presentation is the rate at which a condition causes the presentation, that is, the fraction of people with conditions that manifests with the presentation. The probability that a condition would have occurred in the first place in an individual is approximately equal to that of a population that is as similar to the individual as possible except for the current presentation, compensated where possible by
relative risk The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group. Together with risk difference and odds ratio, relative risk measures the association be ...
s given by known
risk factor In epidemiology, a risk factor or determinant is a variable associated with an increased risk of disease or infection. Due to a lack of harmonization across disciplines, determinant, in its more widely accepted scientific meaning, is often u ...
that distinguish the individual from the population: : \Pr(\text) \approx RR_\text \cdot \Pr(\text), where: * Pr(Condition WHOIFPI) is the probability that the condition Would Have Occurred in the First Place in the Individual * ''RR''condition is the
relative risk The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group. Together with risk difference and odds ratio, relative risk measures the association be ...
for condition conferred by known
risk factor In epidemiology, a risk factor or determinant is a variable associated with an increased risk of disease or infection. Due to a lack of harmonization across disciplines, determinant, in its more widely accepted scientific meaning, is often u ...
s in the individual that are not present in the population * Pr(Condition in population) is the probability that the condition occurs in a population that is as similar to the individual as possible except for the presentation The following table demonstrates how these relations can be made for a series of candidate conditions: One additional "candidate condition" is the instance of there being no abnormality, and the presentation is only a (usually relatively unlikely) appearance of a basically normal state. Its probability in the population (''P(No abnormality in population)'') is complementary to the sum of probabilities of "abnormal" candidate conditions.


Example

This example case demonstrates how this method is applied but does not represent a guideline for handling similar real-world cases. Also, the example uses relatively specified numbers with sometimes several decimals, while in reality, there are often simply rough estimations, such as of likelihoods being ''very high'', ''high'', ''low'' or ''very low'', but still using the general principles of the method. For an individual (who becomes the "patient" in this example), a blood test of, for example, serum calcium shows a result above the
standard reference range In medicine and health-related fields, a reference range or reference interval is the range or the interval of values that is deemed normal for a physiological measurement in healthy persons (for example, the amount of creatinine in the blood, o ...
, which, by most definitions, classifies as hypercalcemia, which becomes the "presentation" in this case. A clinician (who becomes the "diagnostician" in this example), who does not currently see the patient, gets to know about his finding. By practical reasons, the clinician considers that there is enough test indication to have a look at the patient's
medical record The terms medical record, health record and medical chart are used somewhat interchangeably to describe the systematic documentation of a single patient's medical history and care across time within one particular health care provider's jurisd ...
s. For simplicity, let's say that the only information given in the medical records is a
family history Genealogy () is the study of families, family history, and the tracing of their lineages. Genealogists use oral interviews, historical records, genetic analysis, and other records to obtain information about a family and to demonstrate kin ...
of
primary hyperparathyroidism Primary hyperparathyroidism (or PHPT) is a medical condition where the parathyroid gland (or a benign tumor within it) produce excess amounts of parathyroid hormone (PTH). The symptoms of the condition relate to the resulting elevated serum calcium ...
(here abbreviated as PH), which may explain the finding of hypercalcemia. For this patient, let's say that the resultant hereditary
risk factor In epidemiology, a risk factor or determinant is a variable associated with an increased risk of disease or infection. Due to a lack of harmonization across disciplines, determinant, in its more widely accepted scientific meaning, is often u ...
is estimated to confer a
relative risk The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group. Together with risk difference and odds ratio, relative risk measures the association be ...
of 10 (RRPH = 10). The clinician considers that there is enough motivation to perform a differential diagnostic procedure for the finding of hypercalcemia. The main causes of hypercalcemia are
primary hyperparathyroidism Primary hyperparathyroidism (or PHPT) is a medical condition where the parathyroid gland (or a benign tumor within it) produce excess amounts of parathyroid hormone (PTH). The symptoms of the condition relate to the resulting elevated serum calcium ...
(PH) and
cancer Cancer is a group of diseases involving abnormal cell growth with the potential to invade or spread to other parts of the body. These contrast with benign tumors, which do not spread. Possible signs and symptoms include a lump, abnormal b ...
, so for simplicity, the list of candidate conditions that the clinician could think of can be given as: * Primary hyperparathyroidism (PH) * Cancer * Other diseases that the clinician could think of (which is simply termed "other conditions" for the rest of this example) * No disease (or no abnormality), and the finding is caused entirely by
statistical variability In statistics, dispersion (also called variability, scatter, or spread) is the extent to which a distribution is stretched or squeezed. Common examples of measures of statistical dispersion are the variance, standard deviation, and interquartile ...
The probability that 'primary hyperparathyroidism' (PH) would have occurred in the first place in the individual (''P(PH WHOIFPI)'') can be calculated as follows: Let's say that the last blood test taken by the patient was half a year ago and was normal and that the incidence of primary hyperparathyroidism in a general population appropriately matches the individual (except for the presentation and mentioned heredity) is 1 in 4000 per year. Ignoring more detailed retrospective analyses (such as including speed of disease progress and lag time of medical diagnosis), the time-at-risk for having developed primary hyperparathyroidism can roughly be regarded as being the last half-year because a previously developed hypercalcemia would probably have been caught up by the previous blood test. This corresponds to a probability of primary hyperparathyroidism (PH) in the population of: : \Pr(\text) = 0.5\text \cdot \frac = \frac With the relative risk conferred from the family history, the probability that primary hyperparathyroidism (PH) would have occurred in the first place in the individual given from the currently available information becomes: : \Pr(\text) \approx RR_\cdot \Pr(\text) = 10 \cdot \frac = \frac = 0.00125 Primary hyperparathyroidism can be assumed to cause hypercalcemia essentially 100% of the time (rPH → hypercalcemia = 1), so this independently calculated probability of primary hyperparathyroidism (PH) can be assumed to be the same as the probability of being a cause of the presentation: : \begin \Pr(\text) & = \Pr(\text) \cdot r_ \\ & = 0.00125 \cdot 1 = 0.00125 \end For cancer, the same time-at-risk is assumed for simplicity, and let's say that the incidence of cancer in the area is estimated at 1 in 250 per year, giving a population probability of cancer of: : \Pr(\text) = 0.5\text \cdot \frac = \frac For simplicity, let's say that any association between a family history of primary hyperparathyroidism and risk of cancer is ignored, so the relative risk for the individual to have contracted cancer in the first place is similar to that of the population (RRcancer = 1): : \Pr(\text) \approx RR_\text \cdot \Pr(\text) = 1 \cdot \frac = \frac = 0.002. However, hypercalcemia only occurs in, very approximately, 10% of cancers, (rcancer → hypercalcemia = 0.1), so: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \Pr(\text) \cdot r_ \\ = & 0.002 \cdot 0.1 = 0.0002. \end The probabilities that hypercalcemia would have occurred in the first place by other candidate conditions can be calculated in a similar manner. However, for simplicity, let's say that the probability that any of these would have occurred in the first place is calculated at 0.0005 in this example. For the instance of there being no disease, the corresponding probability in the population is complementary to the sum of probabilities for other conditions: : \begin \Pr(\text) & = 1 - \Pr(\text) - \Pr(\text) \\ & \quad - \Pr(\text) \\ & = 0.997. \end The probability that the individual would be healthy in the first place can be assumed to be the same: : \Pr(\text) = 0.997. \, The rate at which the case of no abnormal condition still ends up in measurement of serum calcium of being above the
standard reference range In medicine and health-related fields, a reference range or reference interval is the range or the interval of values that is deemed normal for a physiological measurement in healthy persons (for example, the amount of creatinine in the blood, o ...
(thereby classifying as hypercalcemia) is, by the definition of standard reference range, less than 2.5%. However, this probability can be further specified by considering how much the measurement deviates from the mean in the standard reference range. Let's say that the serum calcium measurement was 1.30 mmol/L, which, with a standard reference range established at 1.05 to 1.25 mmol/L, corresponds to a standard score of 3 and a corresponding probability of 0.14% that such degree of hypercalcemia would have occurred in the first place in the case of no abnormality: : r_ = 0.0014 Subsequently, the probability that hypercalcemia would have resulted from no disease can be calculated as: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \Pr(\text) \cdot r_ \\ = & 0.997 \cdot 0.0014 \approx 0.0014 \end The probability that hypercalcemia would have occurred in the first place in the individual can thus be calculated as: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \Pr(\text) + \Pr(\text) \\ & + \Pr(\text) + \Pr(\text) \\ = & 0.00125 + 0.0002 + 0.0005 + 0.0014 = 0.00335 \end Subsequently, the probability that hypercalcemia is caused by primary hyperparathyroidism (PH) in the individual can be calculated as: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \frac \\ = & \frac = 0.373 = 37.3\% \end Similarly, the probability that hypercalcemia is caused by cancer in the individual can be calculated as: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \frac \\ = & \frac = 0.060 = 6.0\%, \end and for other candidate conditions: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \frac \\ = & \frac = 0.149 = 14.9\%, \end and the probability that there actually is no disease: : \begin & \Pr(\text) \\ = & \frac \\ = & \frac = 0.418= 41.8\% \end For clarification, these calculations are given as the table in the method description: Thus, this method estimates that the probability that the hypercalcemia is caused by primary hyperparathyroidism, cancer, other conditions or no disease at all are 37.3%, 6.0%, 14.9%, and 41.8%, respectively, which may be used in estimating further test indications. This case is continued in the example of the method described in the next section.


Likelihood ratio-based method

The procedure of differential diagnosis can become extremely complex when fully taking additional tests and treatments into consideration. One method that is somewhat a tradeoff between being clinically perfect and being relatively simple to calculate is one that uses likelihood ratios to derive subsequent post-test likelihoods.


Theory

The initial likelihoods for each candidate condition can be estimated by various methods, such as: * By epidemiology as described in the previous section. * By clinic-specific pattern recognition, such as statistically knowing that patients coming into a particular clinic with a particular complaint statistically has a particular likelihood of each candidate condition. One method of estimating likelihoods even after further tests uses likelihood ratios (which is derived from sensitivities and specificities) as a multiplication factor after each test or procedure. In an ideal world, sensitivities and specificities would be established for all tests for all possible pathological conditions. In reality, however, these parameters may only be established for one of the candidate conditions. Multiplying with likelihood ratios necessitates conversion of likelihoods from
probabilities Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning numerical descriptions of how likely an event is to occur, or how likely it is that a proposition is true. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where, roughly speaking, ...
to ''
odds in favor Odds provide a measure of the likelihood of a particular outcome. They are calculated as the ratio of the number of events that produce that outcome to the number that do not. Odds are commonly used in gambling and statistics. Odds also have ...
'' (hereafter simply termed "odds") by: : \text = \frac However, only the candidate conditions with known likelihood ratio need this conversion. After multiplication, conversion back to probability is calculated by: : \text = \frac The rest of the candidate conditions (for which there is no established likelihood ratio for the test at hand) can, for simplicity, be adjusted by subsequently multiplying all candidate conditions with a common factor to again yield a sum of 100%. The resulting probabilities are used for estimating the indications for further
medical test A medical test is a medical procedure performed to detect, diagnose, or monitor diseases, disease processes, susceptibility, or to determine a course of treatment. Medical tests such as, physical and visual exams, diagnostic imaging, genetic ...
s, treatments or other actions. If there is an indication for an additional test, and it returns with a result, then the procedure is repeated using the likelihood ratio of the additional test. With updated probabilities for each of the candidate conditions, the indications for further tests, treatments, or other actions change as well, and so the procedure can be repeated until an ''endpoint'' where there no longer is any indication for currently performing further actions. Such an endpoint mainly occurs when one candidate condition becomes so certain that no test can be found that is powerful enough to change the relative probability profile enough to motivate any change in further actions. Tactics for reaching such an endpoint with as few tests as possible includes making tests with high specificity for conditions of already outstandingly high-profile-relative probability, because the high likelihood ratio positive for such tests is very high, bringing all less likely conditions to relatively lower probabilities. Alternatively, tests with high sensitivity for competing candidate conditions have a high likelihood ratio negative, potentially bringing the probabilities for competing candidate conditions to negligible levels. If such negligible probabilities are achieved, the clinician can rule out these conditions, and continue the differential diagnostic procedure with only the remaining candidate conditions.


Example

This example continues for the same patient as in the example for the epidemiology-based method. As with the previous example of epidemiology-based method, this example case is made to demonstrate how this method is applied but does not represent a guideline for handling similar real-world cases. Also, the example uses relatively specified numbers, while in reality, there are often just rough estimations. In this example, the probabilities for each candidate condition were established by an epidemiology-based method to be as follows: These percentages could also have been established by experience at the particular clinic by knowing that these are the percentages for final diagnosis for people presenting to the clinic with hypercalcemia and having a family history of primary hyperparathyroidism. The condition of highest profile-relative probability (except "no disease") is
primary hyperparathyroidism Primary hyperparathyroidism (or PHPT) is a medical condition where the parathyroid gland (or a benign tumor within it) produce excess amounts of parathyroid hormone (PTH). The symptoms of the condition relate to the resulting elevated serum calcium ...
(PH), but cancer is still of major concern, because if it is the actual causative condition for the hypercalcemia, then the choice of whether to treat or not likely means life or death for the patient, in effect potentially putting the indication at a similar level for further tests for both of these conditions. Here, let's say that the clinician considers the profile-relative probabilities of being of enough concern to indicate sending the patient a call for a clinician visit, with an additional visit to the medical laboratory for an additional blood test complemented with further analyses, including parathyroid hormone for the suspicion of primary hyperparathyroidism. For simplicity, let's say that the clinician first receives the blood test (in formulas abbreviated as "BT") result for the parathyroid hormone analysis and that it showed a parathyroid hormone level that is elevated relative to what would be expected by the calcium level. Such a constellation can be estimated to have a sensitivity of approximately 70% and a specificity of approximately 90% for primary hyperparathyroidism. This confers a likelihood ratio positive of 7 for primary hyperparathyroidism. The probability of primary hyperparathyroidism is now termed ''Pre-BTPH'' because it corresponds to before the blood test (Latin preposition ''prae'' means before). It was estimated at 37.3%, corresponding to an odds of 0.595. With the likelihood ratio positive of 7 for the blood test, the
post- ''Post-'' (stylized in all caps) is the third solo album by American singer-songwriter Jeff Rosenstock. It was released on January 1, 2018, without any promotional lead-up. The album was released on Polyvinyl Record Co. in the United States a ...
test odds is calculated as: : \operatorname(\text_) = \operatorname(\text_) \cdot LH(BT) = 0.595 \cdot 7 = 4.16, where: * ''Odds(PostBTPH)'' is the odds for primary hyperparathyroidism after the blood test for parathyroid hormone * ''Odds(PreBTPH'' is the odds in favor of primary hyperparathyroidism before the blood test for parathyroid hormone * ''LH(BT)'' is the likelihood ratio positive for the blood test for parathyroid hormone An Odds(PostBTPH) of 4.16 is again converted to the corresponding probability by: : \Pr(\text_) = \frac = \frac = 0.806 = 80.6\% The sum of the probabilities for the rest of the candidate conditions should therefore be: : \Pr(\text_) = 100\% - 80.6\% = 19.4\% Before the blood test for parathyroid hormone, the sum of their probabilities were: : \Pr(\text_\text) = 6.0\% + 14.9\% + 41.8\% = 62.7\% Therefore, to conform to a sum of 100% for all candidate conditions, each of the other candidates must be multiplied by a correcting factor: : \text = \frac = \frac = 0.309 For example, the probability of cancer after the test is calculated as: : \Pr(\text_\text) = \Pr(\text_\text) \cdot \text = 6.0\% \cdot 0.309 = 1.9\% The probabilities for each candidate conditions before and after the blood test are given in following table: These "new" percentages, including a profile-relative probability of 80% for primary hyperparathyroidism, underlie any indications for further tests, treatments, or other actions. In this case, let's say that the clinician continues the plan for the patient to attend a clinician visit for a further checkup, especially focused on primary hyperparathyroidism. A clinician visit can, theoretically, be regarded as a series of tests, including both questions in a
medical history The medical history, case history, or anamnesis (from Greek: ἀνά, ''aná'', "open", and μνήσις, ''mnesis'', "memory") of a patient is information gained by a physician by asking specific questions, either to the patient or to other peo ...
, as well as components of a
physical examination In a physical examination, medical examination, or clinical examination, a medical practitioner examines a patient for any possible medical signs or symptoms of a medical condition. It generally consists of a series of questions about the pati ...
, where the
post-test probability Pre-test probability and post-test probability (alternatively spelled pretest and posttest probability) are the probabilities of the presence of a condition (such as a disease) before and after a diagnostic test, respectively. ''Post-test probabil ...
of a previous test, can be used as the
pre-test probability Pre-test probability and post-test probability (alternatively spelled pretest and posttest probability) are the probabilities of the presence of a condition (such as a disease) before and after a diagnostic test, respectively. ''Post-test probabi ...
of the next. The indications for choosing the next test are dynamically influenced by the results of previous tests. Let's say that the patient in this example is revealed to have at least some of the symptoms and signs of depression, bone pain, joint pain or constipation of more severity than what would be expected by the hypercalcemia itself, supporting the suspicion of primary hyperparathyroidism, and let's say that the likelihood ratios for the tests, when multiplied together, roughly results in a product of 6 for primary hyperparathyroidism. The presence of unspecific pathologic symptoms and signs in the history and examination are often concurrently indicative of cancer as well, and let's say that the tests gave an overall likelihood ratio estimated at 1.5 for cancer. For other conditions, as well as the instance of not having any disease at all, let's say that it's unknown how they are affected by the tests at hand, as often happens in reality. This gives the following results for the history and physical examination (abbreviated as P&E): These probabilities after the history and examination may make the physician confident enough to plan the patient for surgery for a
parathyroidectomy Parathyroidectomy is the surgical removal of one or more of the (usually) four parathyroid glands. This procedure is used to remove an adenoma or hyperplasia of these glands when they are producing excessive parathyroid hormone (PTH): hyperpara ...
to resect the affected tissue. At this point, the probability of "other conditions" is so low that the physician cannot think of any test for them that could make a difference that would be substantial enough to form an indication for such a test, and the physician thereby practically regards "other conditions" as ruled out, in this case not primarily by any specific test for such other conditions that were negative, but rather by the absence of positive tests so far. For "cancer", the cutoff at which to confidently regard it as ruled out maybe more stringent because of severe consequences of missing it, so the physician may consider that at least a histopathologic examination of the resected tissue is indicated. This case is continued in the example of ''Combinations'' in the corresponding section below.


Coverage of candidate conditions

The validity of both the initial estimation of probabilities by epidemiology and further workup by likelihood ratios are dependent on the inclusion of candidate conditions that are responsible for a large part as possible of the probability of having developed the condition, and it is clinically important to include those where relatively fast initiation of therapy is most likely to result in the greatest benefit. If an important candidate condition is missed, no method of differential diagnosis will supply the correct conclusion. The need to find more candidate conditions for inclusion increases with the increasing severity of the presentation itself. For example, if the only presentation is a deviating laboratory parameter and all common harmful underlying conditions have been ruled out, then it may be acceptable to stop finding more candidate conditions, but this would much more likely be unacceptable if the presentation would have been severe pain.


Combinations

If two conditions get high post-test probabilities, especially if the sum of the probabilities for conditions with known likelihood ratios becomes higher than 100%, then the actual condition is a combination of the two. In such cases, that combined condition can be added to the list of candidate conditions, and the calculations should start over from the beginning. To continue the example used above, let's say that the history and physical examination were indicative of cancer as well, with a likelihood ratio of 3, giving an Odds(PostH&E) of 0.057, corresponding to a P(PostH&E) of 5.4%. This would correspond to a "Sum of known P(PostH&E)" of 101.5%. This is an indication for considering a combination of primary hyperparathyroidism and cancer, such as, in this case, a parathyroid hormone-producing
parathyroid carcinoma Parathyroid carcinoma is a rare cancer resulting in parathyroid adenoma to carcinoma progression.Hu MI, Vassilopoulou-Sellin R, Lustig R, Lamont JP"Thyroid and Parathyroid Cancers"in Pazdur R, Wagman LD, Camphausen KA, Hoskins WJ (EdsCancer Managem ...
. A recalculation may therefore be needed, with the first two conditions being separated into "primary hyperparathyroidism without cancer", "cancer without primary hyperparathyroidism" as well as "combined primary hyperparathyroidism and cancer", and likelihood ratios being applied to each condition separately. In this case, however, tissue has already been resected, wherein a histopathologic examination can be performed that includes the possibility of parathyroid carcinoma in the examination (which may entail appropriate sample
staining Staining is a technique used to enhance contrast in samples, generally at the microscopic level. Stains and dyes are frequently used in histology (microscopic study of biological tissues), in cytology (microscopic study of cells), and in th ...
). Let's say that the histopathologic examination confirms primary hyperparathyroidism, but also showed a malignant pattern. By an initial method by epidemiology, the incidence of parathyroid carcinoma is estimated at 1 in 6 million people per year, giving a very low probability before taking any tests into consideration. In comparison, the probability that non-malignant primary hyperparathyroidism would have occurred at the same time as an unrelated non-carcinoma cancer that presents with malignant cells in the parathyroid gland is calculated by multiplying the probabilities of the two. The resultant probability is, however, much smaller than the 1 in 6 million. Therefore, the probability of parathyroid carcinoma may still be close to 100% after histopathologic examination despite the low probability of occurring in the first place.


Machine differential diagnosis

Machine differential diagnosis is the use of
computer software Software is a set of computer programs and associated documentation and data. This is in contrast to hardware, from which the system is built and which actually performs the work. At the lowest programming level, executable code consist ...
to partly or fully make a differential diagnosis. It may be regarded as an
application of artificial intelligence Artificial intelligence (AI) has been used in applications to alleviate certain problems throughout industry and academia. AI, like electricity or computers, is a general purpose technology that has a multitude of applications. It has been used ...
. Alternatively, it may be seen as "Augmented Intelligence" if it meets the FDA criteria, namely that (1) it reveals the underlying data, (2) reveals the underlying logic, and (3) leaves the clinician in charge to shape and make the decision. Machine Learning AI is generally seen as a device by the FDA, whereas Augmented Intelligence applications are not. Many studies demonstrate improvement of quality of care and reduction of medical errors by using such decision support systems. Some of these systems are designed for a specific medical problem such as schizophrenia, Lyme disease or ventilator-associated pneumonia. Others are designed to cover all major clinical and diagnostic findings to assist physicians with faster and more accurate diagnosis. However, these tools all still require advanced medical skills to rate symptoms and choose additional tests to deduce the probabilities of different diagnoses. Machine differential diagnosis is also currently unable to diagnose multiple concurrent disorders. Thus, non-professionals should still see a health care provider for a proper diagnosis.


History

The method of differential diagnosis was first suggested for use in the diagnosis of mental disorders by Emil Kraepelin. It is more systematic than the old-fashioned method of diagnosis by '' gestalt'' (impression).


Alternative medical meanings

'Differential diagnosis' is also used more loosely, to refer simply to a list of the most common causes of a given symptom, to a list of disorders similar to a given disorder, or to such lists when they are annotated with advice on how to narrow the list down (''French's Index of Differential Diagnosis'' is an example). Thus, a differential diagnosis in this sense is medical information specially organized to aid in diagnosis.


Usage apart from in medicine

Methods similar to those of differential diagnostic processes in medicine are also used by biological
taxonomists In biology, taxonomy () is the scientific study of naming, defining ( circumscribing) and classifying groups of biological organisms based on shared characteristics. Organisms are grouped into taxa (singular: taxon) and these groups are given ...
to identify and classify organisms, living and extinct. For example, after finding an unknown species, there can first be a listing of all potential species, followed by ruling out of one by one until, optimally, only one potential choice remains. Similar procedures may be used by plant and maintenance engineers and automotive mechanics and used to be used in diagnosing faulty electronic circuitry.


In art

The American television
medical drama A medical drama is a television show or film in which events center upon a hospital, an ambulance staff, or any medical environment. Most recent medical dramatic programming go beyond the events pertaining to the characters' jobs and portray som ...
House, featuring Hugh Laurie as the main protagonist
Dr. Gregory House Gregory House, Doctor of Medicine, M.D. is the title character, titular protagonist of the American medical drama series ''House (TV series), House''. Created by David Shore and portrayed by English actor Hugh Laurie, he leads a team of diagno ...
who leads a team of diagnosticians at the fictional Princeton–Plainsboro Teaching Hospital in
New Jersey New Jersey is a state in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern regions of the United States. It is bordered on the north and east by the state of New York; on the east, southeast, and south by the Atlantic Ocean; on the west by the Delawa ...
, revolves around using differential diagnostics procedures in a bid to come up with the right diagnosis. Throughout the series, the doctors have diagnosed such diseases as lupus, mastocytosis, Plummer's disease,
rabies Rabies is a viral disease that causes encephalitis in humans and other mammals. Early symptoms can include fever and tingling at the site of exposure. These symptoms are followed by one or more of the following symptoms: nausea, vomiting, ...
, Kawasaki's syndrome,
smallpox Smallpox was an infectious disease caused by variola virus (often called smallpox virus) which belongs to the genus Orthopoxvirus. The last naturally occurring case was diagnosed in October 1977, and the World Health Organization (WHO) c ...
,
Rickettsialpox Rickettsialpox is a mite-borne infectious illness caused by bacteria of the genus ''Rickettsia'' ('' Rickettsia akari''). Physician Robert Huebner and self-trained entomologist Charles Pomerantz played major roles in identifying the cause of t ...
, and dozens of others.


See also

*
Comorbidity In medicine, comorbidity - from Latin morbus ("sickness"), co ("together"), -ity (as if - several sicknesses together) - is the presence of one or more additional conditions often co-occurring (that is, concomitant or concurrent) with a primary ...
* Diagnosis of exclusion *
Dual diagnosis Dual diagnosis (also called co-occurring disorders (COD) or dual pathology) is the condition of having a mental illness and a comorbid substance use disorder. There is considerable debate surrounding the appropriateness of using a single catego ...
* Gender-bias in medical diagnosis * List of medical symptoms


References

{{DEFAULTSORT:Differential Diagnosis Medical terminology Medical diagnosis Medical mnemonics de:Diagnose#Differenzialdiagnose