This article is a collection of statewide polls for the
2016 United States presidential election
The 2016 United States presidential election was the 58th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticke ...
. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the
Democratic candidate, the
Republican candidate, the
Libertarian
Libertarianism (from french: libertaire, "libertarian"; from la, libertas, "freedom") is a political philosophy that upholds liberty as a core value. Libertarians seek to maximize autonomy and political freedom, and minimize the state's enc ...
candidate, and the
Green
Green is the color between cyan and yellow on the visible spectrum. It is evoked by light which has a dominant wavelength of roughly 495570 nm. In subtractive color systems, used in painting and color printing, it is created by a combin ...
candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered
swing state
In American politics, the term swing state (also known as battleground state or purple state) refers to any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to pre ...
s as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.
Most recent polling
Immediately before the election, Hillary Clinton had a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error showed 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump were within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the
2012
File:2012 Events Collage V3.png, From left, clockwise: The passenger cruise ship Costa Concordia lies capsized after the Costa Concordia disaster; Damage to Casino Pier in Seaside Heights, New Jersey as a result of Hurricane Sandy; People gath ...
election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third party candidates, such as
Jill Stein
Jill Ellen Stein (born May 14, 1950) is an American physician, activist, and former political candidate. She was the Green Party's nominee for President of the United States in the 2012 and 2016 elections and the Green-Rainbow Party's candida ...
and
Gary Johnson
Gary Earl Johnson (born January 1, 1953) is an American businessman, author, and politician. He served as the 29th governor of New Mexico from 1995 to 2003 as a member of the Republican Party. He was the Libertarian Party nominee for Preside ...
, were also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate
Evan McMullin
David Evan McMullin (born April 2, 1976) is an American politician and former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) officer. McMullin ran as an independent in the 2016 United States presidential election and in the 2022 United States Senate electi ...
was tied with Donald Trump in the state of
Utah
Utah ( , ) is a state in the Mountain West subregion of the Western United States. Utah is a landlocked U.S. state bordered to its east by Colorado, to its northeast by Wyoming, to its north by Idaho, to its south by Arizona, and to it ...
, but he has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.
Alabama
(We dare defend our rights)
, anthem = " Alabama"
, image_map = Alabama in United States.svg
, seat = Montgomery
, LargestCity = Huntsville
, LargestCounty = Baldwin County
, LargestMetro = Greater Birmingham
, area_total_km2 = 135,7 ...
9 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(
Republican in 2012) 61%–38%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 62%-34%
Alaska
Alaska ( ; russian: Аляска, Alyaska; ale, Alax̂sxax̂; ; ems, Alas'kaaq; Yup'ik: ''Alaskaq''; tli, Anáaski) is a state located in the Western United States on the northwest extremity of North America. A semi-exclave of the U.S., ...
3 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(
Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 51%-37%
Two-way race
Four-way race
Arizona
11 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(
Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 48%-45%
;Two-way race
;Three-way race
;Four-way race
Arkansas
Arkansas ( ) is a landlocked state in the South Central United States. It is bordered by Missouri to the north, Tennessee and Mississippi to the east, Louisiana to the south, and Texas and Oklahoma to the west. Its name is from the Osage la ...
6 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(
Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 61%-34%
;Two-way race
;Four-way race
California
55 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(
Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 62%-32%
;Two-way race
;Four-way race
Colorado
Colorado (, other variants) is a state in the Mountain West subregion of the Western United States. It encompasses most of the Southern Rocky Mountains, as well as the northeastern portion of the Colorado Plateau and the western edge of the ...
9 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(
Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 48%-43%
;Two-way race
;Three-way race
;Four-way race
;Five-way race
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(
Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 55%-41%
;Four-way race
Delaware
Delaware ( ) is a state in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States, bordering Maryland to its south and west; Pennsylvania to its north; and New Jersey and the Atlantic Ocean to its east. The state takes its name from the adjacent Del ...
3 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(
Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 53%-42%
;Four-way race
District of Columbia
)
, image_skyline =
, image_caption = Clockwise from top left: the Washington Monument and Lincoln Memorial on the National Mall, United States Capitol, Logan Circle, Jefferson Memorial, White House, Adams Morgan, Na ...
3 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(
Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 91%-4%
''No polling was conducted post August 1, 2016''
Florida
Florida is a state located in the Southeastern region of the United States. Florida is bordered to the west by the Gulf of Mexico, to the northwest by Alabama, to the north by Georgia, to the east by the Bahamas and Atlantic Ocean, and to th ...
29 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(
Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 49%-48%
Georgia
Georgia most commonly refers to:
* Georgia (country), a country in the Caucasus region of Eurasia
* Georgia (U.S. state), a state in the Southeast United States
Georgia may also refer to:
Places
Historical states and entities
* Related to the ...
16 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(
Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 51%-46%
;Two-way race
;Three-way race
;Four-way race
Hawaii
Hawaii ( ; haw, Hawaii or ) is a U.S. state, state in the Western United States, Western United States, located in the Pacific Ocean about from the U.S. mainland. It is the only U.S. state outside North America, the only state that is ...
4 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(
Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 62%-30%
''No polling was conducted in 2016''
Idaho
Idaho ( ) is a state in the Pacific Northwest region of the Western United States. To the north, it shares a small portion of the Canada–United States border with the province of British Columbia. It borders the states of Montana and Wyomi ...
4 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(
Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 59%-28%
;Four-way race
Illinois
Illinois ( ) is a state in the Midwestern United States. Its largest metropolitan areas include the Chicago metropolitan area, and the Metro East section, of Greater St. Louis. Other smaller metropolitan areas include, Peoria and Rockfo ...
20 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(
Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 56%-39%
;Two-way race
;Four-way race
Indiana
Indiana () is a U.S. state in the Midwestern United States. It is the 38th-largest by area and the 17th-most populous of the 50 States. Its capital and largest city is Indianapolis. Indiana was admitted to the United States as the 19th st ...
11 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(
Republican in 2012) 54%–44%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 57%-38%
;Three-way race
;Four-way race
Iowa
Iowa () is a U.S. state, state in the Midwestern United States, Midwestern region of the United States, bordered by the Mississippi River to the east and the Missouri River and Big Sioux River to the west. It is bordered by six states: Wiscon ...
6 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(
Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 51%-42%
;Two-way race
;Four-way race
;Five-way race
Kansas
Kansas () is a state in the Midwestern United States. Its capital is Topeka, and its largest city is Wichita. Kansas is a landlocked state bordered by Nebraska to the north; Missouri to the east; Oklahoma to the south; and Colorado to the w ...
6 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(
Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 57%-36%
;Two-way race
;Four-way race
Kentucky
Kentucky ( , ), officially the Commonwealth of Kentucky, is a U.S. state, state in the Southeastern United States, Southeastern region of the United States and one of the states of the Upper South. It borders Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio to ...
8 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(
Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 63%-33%
;Two-way race
;Five-way race
Louisiana
Louisiana , group=pronunciation (French: ''La Louisiane'') is a state in the Deep South and South Central regions of the United States. It is the 20th-smallest by area and the 25th most populous of the 50 U.S. states. Louisiana is border ...
8 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(
Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 58%-38%
Three-way race
;Four-way race
Maine
Maine () is a state in the New England and Northeastern regions of the United States. It borders New Hampshire to the west, the Gulf of Maine to the southeast, and the Canadian provinces of New Brunswick and Quebec to the northeast and ...
4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(
Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(
Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 48%-45%
;
Four-way race
Maryland
Maryland ( ) is a state in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. It shares borders with Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia to its south and west; Pennsylvania to its north; and Delaware and the Atlantic Ocean to it ...
10 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(
Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 60%-34%
;Four-way race
11 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(
Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 60%-33%
;Two-way race
Four-way race
Michigan
Michigan () is a state in the Great Lakes region of the upper Midwestern United States. With a population of nearly 10.12 million and an area of nearly , Michigan is the 10th-largest state by population, the 11th-largest by area, and the ...
16 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(
Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 48%-47%
;Two-way race
;Three-way race
Four-way race
Minnesota
Minnesota () is a state in the upper midwestern region of the United States. It is the 12th largest U.S. state in area and the 22nd most populous, with over 5.75 million residents. Minnesota is home to western prairies, now given over to ...
10 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(
Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 46%-45%
;Two-way race
Four-way race
;Five-way race
Mississippi
Mississippi () is a state in the Southeastern region of the United States, bordered to the north by Tennessee; to the east by Alabama; to the south by the Gulf of Mexico; to the southwest by Louisiana; and to the northwest by Arkansas. Missis ...
6 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(
Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 58%-40%
''No polling conducted post September 1, 2016''
Missouri
Missouri is a U.S. state, state in the Midwestern United States, Midwestern region of the United States. Ranking List of U.S. states and territories by area, 21st in land area, it is bordered by eight states (tied for the most with Tennessee ...
10 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(
Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 57%-38%
;Two-way race
Three-way race
Four-way race
Montana
Montana () is a state in the Mountain West division of the Western United States. It is bordered by Idaho to the west, North Dakota and South Dakota to the east, Wyoming to the south, and the Canadian provinces of Alberta, British Colum ...
3 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(
Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 56%-36%
Three-way race
;Four-way race
Nebraska
Nebraska () is a state in the Midwestern region of the United States. It is bordered by South Dakota to the north; Iowa to the east and Missouri to the southeast, both across the Missouri River; Kansas to the south; Colorado to the southwe ...
5 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(
Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(
Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 59%-34%
;Four-way race
Nevada
Nevada ( ; ) is a state in the Western region of the United States. It is bordered by Oregon to the northwest, Idaho to the northeast, California to the west, Arizona to the southeast, and Utah to the east. Nevada is the 7th-most extensive, ...
6 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(
Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 48%-46%
Two-way race
Three-way
Four-way race
Five-way race
New Hampshire
New Hampshire is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States. It is bordered by Massachusetts to the south, Vermont to the west, Maine and the Gulf of Maine to the east, and the Canadian province of Quebec to the north. ...
4 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(
Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 48%-47%
;Two-way race
Four-way race
;Five-way race
New Jersey
New Jersey is a state in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern regions of the United States. It is bordered on the north and east by the state of New York; on the east, southeast, and south by the Atlantic Ocean; on the west by the Delaware ...
14 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(
Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 55%-41%
;Two-way race
Four-way race
New Mexico
)
, population_demonym = New Mexican ( es, Neomexicano, Neomejicano, Nuevo Mexicano)
, seat = Santa Fe, New Mexico, Santa Fe
, LargestCity = Albuquerque, New Mexico, Albuquerque
, LargestMetro = Albuquerque metropolitan area, Tiguex
, Offi ...
5 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(
Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 48%-40%
;Four-way race
New York
New York most commonly refers to:
* New York City, the most populous city in the United States, located in the state of New York
* New York (state), a state in the northeastern United States
New York may also refer to:
Film and television
* ...
29 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(
Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 59%-37%
Four-way race
North Carolina
North Carolina () is a state in the Southeastern region of the United States. The state is the 28th largest and 9th-most populous of the United States. It is bordered by Virginia to the north, the Atlantic Ocean to the east, Georgia and S ...
15 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(
Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 50%-46%
Three-way race
Four-way race
North Dakota
North Dakota () is a U.S. state in the Upper Midwest, named after the indigenous Dakota Sioux. North Dakota is bordered by the Canadian provinces of Saskatchewan and Manitoba to the north and by the U.S. states of Minnesota to the east, South ...
3 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(
Republican in 2012) 58%–39%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 63%-27%
Four-way race
Ohio
Ohio () is a state in the Midwestern region of the United States. Of the fifty U.S. states, it is the 34th-largest by area, and with a population of nearly 11.8 million, is the seventh-most populous and tenth-most densely populated. The sta ...
18 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(
Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 52%-44%
Two-way race
Three-way race
Four-way race
Five-way race
Oklahoma
Oklahoma (; Choctaw: ; chr, ᎣᎧᎳᎰᎹ, ''Okalahoma'' ) is a state in the South Central region of the United States, bordered by Texas on the south and west, Kansas on the north, Missouri on the northeast, Arkansas on the east, New M ...
7 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(
Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 65%-29%
Three-way race
Oregon
Oregon () is a state in the Pacific Northwest region of the Western United States. The Columbia River delineates much of Oregon's northern boundary with Washington, while the Snake River delineates much of its eastern boundary with Idaho. ...
7 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(
Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 50%-39%
Four-way race
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania (; (Pennsylvania Dutch: )), officially the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, is a state spanning the Mid-Atlantic, Northeastern, Appalachian, and Great Lakes regions of the United States. It borders Delaware to its southeast, Mary ...
20 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(
Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 48%-47%
Three-way race
Four-way race
Rhode Island
4 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(
Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 54%-39%
Four-way race
South Carolina
)'' Animis opibusque parati'' ( for, , Latin, Prepared in mind and resources, links=no)
, anthem = " Carolina";" South Carolina On My Mind"
, Former = Province of South Carolina
, seat = Columbia
, LargestCity = Charleston
, LargestMetro = ...
9 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(
Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 55%-41%
;Three-way race
Four-way race
South Dakota
South Dakota (; Sioux: , ) is a U.S. state in the North Central region of the United States. It is also part of the Great Plains. South Dakota is named after the Lakota and Dakota Sioux Native American tribes, who comprise a large portion ...
3 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(
Republican in 2012) 58%–40%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 62%-32%
Three-way race
Four-way race
Tennessee
Tennessee ( , ), officially the State of Tennessee, is a landlocked state in the Southeastern region of the United States. Tennessee is the 36th-largest by area and the 15th-most populous of the 50 states. It is bordered by Kentucky to t ...
11 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(
Republican in 2012) 59%–39%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 61%-35%
Four-way race
Texas
Texas (, ; Spanish: ''Texas'', ''Tejas'') is a state in the South Central region of the United States. At 268,596 square miles (695,662 km2), and with more than 29.1 million residents in 2020, it is the second-largest U.S. state by b ...
38 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(
Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 52%-43%
Two-way race
Three-way race
Four-way race
Utah
Utah ( , ) is a state in the Mountain West subregion of the Western United States. Utah is a landlocked U.S. state bordered to its east by Colorado, to its northeast by Wyoming, to its north by Idaho, to its south by Arizona, and to it ...
6 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(
Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 46%-28%
;Four-way race
;Five-way race
;Six-way race
Vermont
Vermont () is a state in the northeast New England region of the United States. Vermont is bordered by the states of Massachusetts to the south, New Hampshire to the east, and New York to the west, and the Canadian province of Quebec to the n ...
3 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(
Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 56%-30%
Four-way race
Virginia
Virginia, officially the Commonwealth of Virginia, is a state in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern regions of the United States, between the Atlantic Coast and the Appalachian Mountains. The geography and climate of the Commonwealth are ...
13 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(
Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 50%-44%
Two-way race
Three-way race
Four-way race
Five-way race
Washington
Washington commonly refers to:
* Washington (state), United States
* Washington, D.C., the capital of the United States
** A metonym for the federal government of the United States
** Washington metropolitan area, the metropolitan area centered o ...
12 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(
Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
Winner
(
Democratic in 2016) 54%-38%
Two-way race
Four-way race
West Virginia
West Virginia is a state in the Appalachian, Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern regions of the United States.The Census Bureau and the Association of American Geographers classify West Virginia as part of the Southern United States while the ...
5 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(
Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 69%-26%
;Two-way race
;Three-way race
Wisconsin
Wisconsin () is a state in the upper Midwestern United States. Wisconsin is the 25th-largest state by total area and the 20th-most populous. It is bordered by Minnesota to the west, Iowa to the southwest, Illinois to the south, Lake Michi ...
10 electoral votes
(
Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(
Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 47%-46%
Three-way race
Four-way race
Wyoming
3 electoral votes
(
Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(
Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
Winner
(
Republican in 2016) 67%-22%
Four-way race
See also
;General election polling
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election by demographic
*
International opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
;Democratic primary polling
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
*
;Republican primary polling
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
*
Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
;Older polling
*
Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
Notes
References
{{United States presidential election, 2016
Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election