In educational statistics, a normal curve equivalent (NCE), developed for the
United States Department of Education by the
RMC Research Corporation,
[Mertler, C. A. (2002). ''Using standardized test data to guide instruction and intervention.'' College Park, MD: ERIC Clearinghouse on Assessment and Evaluation.]
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Normal curve equivalent (NCE): A normalized standardized score with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 21.06 resulting in a near equal interval scale from 0 to 99. The NCE was developed by RMC Research Corporation in 1976 to measure the effectiveness of the Title I Program across the United States and is often used to measure gains over time. (p. 3)
is a way of
normalizing scores received on a test into a 0-100 scale similar to a
percentile rank
In statistics, the percentile rank (PR) of a given score is the percentage of scores in its frequency distribution that are less than that score. Its mathematical formula is
: PR = \frac \times 100,
where ''CF''—the cumulative frequency—is ...
, but preserving the valuable equal-interval properties of a
z-score.
It is defined as:
: 70770 + /qnorm(.99) × ''z''
or, approximately
: 50 + 21.063 × ''z'',
where ''z'' is the
standard score
In statistics, the standard score is the number of standard deviations by which the value of a raw score (i.e., an observed value or data point) is above or below the mean value of what is being observed or measured. Raw scores above the mean ...
or "z-score", i.e. ''z'' is how many
standard deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean (also called the expected value) of the set, while ...
s above the mean the raw score is (''z'' is negative if the raw score is below the mean). The reason for the choice of the number 21.06 is to bring about the following result: If the scores are
normally distributed (i.e. they follow the "bell-shaped curve") then
* the normal equivalent score is 99 if the
percentile rank
In statistics, the percentile rank (PR) of a given score is the percentage of scores in its frequency distribution that are less than that score. Its mathematical formula is
: PR = \frac \times 100,
where ''CF''—the cumulative frequency—is ...
of the raw score is 99;
* the normal equivalent score is 50 if the percentile rank of the raw score is 50;
* the normal equivalent score is 1 if the percentile rank of the raw score is 1.
This relationship between normal equivalent scores and percentile ranks does not hold at values other than 1, 50, and 99. It also fails to hold in general if scores are not normally distributed.
The number 21.06 was chosen because
* It is desired that a score of 99 correspond to the 99th percentile;
* The 99th percentile in a
normal distribution
In statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is
:
f(x) = \frac e^
The parameter \mu ...
is 2.3263 standard deviations above the mean;
* 99 is 49 more than 50—thus 49 points above the mean;
* 49/2.3263 = 21.06.
Normal curve equivalents are on an
equal-interval scale. This is advantageous compared to
percentile rank
In statistics, the percentile rank (PR) of a given score is the percentage of scores in its frequency distribution that are less than that score. Its mathematical formula is
: PR = \frac \times 100,
where ''CF''—the cumulative frequency—is ...
scales, which suffer from the problem that the difference between any two scores is not the same as that between any other two scores (see below or
percentile rank
In statistics, the percentile rank (PR) of a given score is the percentage of scores in its frequency distribution that are less than that score. Its mathematical formula is
: PR = \frac \times 100,
where ''CF''—the cumulative frequency—is ...
for more information).
The major advantage of NCEs over percentile ranks is that NCEs can be legitimately averaged.
[Rochester School Department](_blank)
webpage
Caution
Careful consideration is required when computing
effect sizes
In statistics, an effect size is a value measuring the strength of the relationship between two variables in a population, or a sample-based estimate of that quantity. It can refer to the value of a statistic calculated from a sample of data, the ...
using NCEs. NCEs differ from other scores, such as raw and scaled scores, in the magnitude of the effect sizes. Comparison of NCEs typically results in smaller effect sizes, and using the typical ranges for other effect sizes may result in interpretation errors.
[McLean, J. E., O'Neal, M. R., & Barnette, J. J. (2000, November). ''Are all effect sizes created equal?'' Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Mid-South Educational Research Association, Bowling Green, KY.]
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Excel formula for conversion from Percentile to NCE:
: =21.06*NORMSINV(PR/100)+50, where PR is the percentile value.
Excel formula for conversion from NCE to Percentile:
: =100*NORMSDIST((NCE-50)/21.06), where NCE is the Normal Curve Equivalent (NCE) value
References
{{reflist
External links
(Utility for the Transformation and Visualization of Norm Scores)
a glossary of terms related to the
bell or normal curve.
UCLA stats: How should I analyze percentile rank datadescribing how to convert percentile ranks to NCEs with
Stata
Stata (, , alternatively , occasionally stylized as STATA) is a general-purpose statistical software package developed by StataCorp for data manipulation, visualization, statistics, and automated reporting. It is used by researchers in many fie ...
.
Statistics of education