Kevin Dowd
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Kevin Dowd is a British economist, having research interests in private money and free banking, monetary systems and
macroeconomics Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. This includes regional, national, and global economies. Macroeconomists study topics such as output (econ ...
,
financial risk Financial risk is any of various types of risk associated with financing, including financial transactions that include company loans in risk of default. Often it is understood to include only downside risk, meaning the potential for financi ...
measurement and management, political economy and policy analysis, and pensions and mortality modelling. Since 2012, he has been a Professor of Finance and Economics at
Durham University Durham University (legally the University of Durham) is a collegiate university, collegiate public university, public research university in Durham, England, founded by an Act of Parliament (UK), Act of Parliament in 1832 and incorporated by r ...
Business School.


Early life and education

Dowd was born in
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough ( ), colloquially known as Boro, is a port town in the Borough of Middlesbrough, North Yorkshire, England. Lying to the south of the River Tees, Middlesbrough forms part of the Teesside Built up area, built-up area and the Tees Va ...
in 1958, attended
St Mary's College, Middlesbrough St Mary's College was a voluntary aided Catholic college situated in Saltersgill, Middlesbrough, England. Tracing its roots back to 1904, it was the only Catholic further education provision in the region of Teesside for over 50 years. In 2011 ...
and went to the
University of Sheffield The University of Sheffield (informally Sheffield University or TUOS) is a public university, public research university in Sheffield, South Yorkshire, England. Its history traces back to the foundation of Sheffield Medical School in 1828, Fir ...
in 1977 to study economics. He holds a BA in economics from the University of Sheffield, an MA in economics from the
University of Western Ontario The University of Western Ontario (UWO; branded as Western University) is a Public university, public research university in London, Ontario, Canada. The main campus is located on of land, surrounded by residential neighbourhoods and the Thame ...
, and a PhD in macroeconomics from the University of Sheffield.


Positions held

Dowd is affiliated with the
Cato Institute The Cato Institute is an American libertarian think tank headquartered in Washington, D.C. It was founded in 1977 by Ed Crane, Murray Rothbard, and Charles Koch, chairman of the board and chief executive officer of Koch Industries.Koch ...
; The Cobden Centre, the
Adam Smith Institute The Adam Smith Institute (ASI) is a UK-based neoliberal think tank and lobbying group, named after Adam Smith, a Scottish moral philosopher and classical economist. The Institute advocates free market and classical liberal ideas, primarily ...
, the
Institute of Economic Affairs The Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) is a British right-wing free market think tank, which is registered as a charity. Associated with the New Right, the IEA describes itself as an "educational research institute", and says that it seeks to ...
; the
Independent Institute The Independent Institute is an American libertarian think tank founded in 1986 by David J. Theroux and based in Oakland, California. The institute has more than 140 research fellows and is organized into seven centers addressing a range of pol ...
; and the Pensions Institute at Bayes Business School, City University. He has held previous positions with the Ontario Economic Council in Toronto,
Sheffield Hallam University Sheffield Hallam University (SHU) is a public research university in Sheffield, South Yorkshire, England. The university is based on two sites; the City Campus is located in the city centre near Sheffield station, Sheffield railway station, whil ...
, the University of Sheffield, and the
University of Nottingham The University of Nottingham is a public research university in Nottingham, England. It was founded as University College Nottingham in 1881, and was granted a royal charter in 1948. Nottingham's main campus (University Park Campus, Nottingh ...
.


Brexit

Kevin Dowd was a member of the think tank, Economists for Free Trade, and an avid supporter of Brexit. He was a significant contributor for the pro-Brexit lobby group Brexit Central and refused to vote in the Brexit referendum.


Research

Dowd's main subject of research is private money and free banking—monetary and financial systems that operate without any government intervention and in the absence of any
central bank A central bank, reserve bank, national bank, or monetary authority is an institution that manages the monetary policy of a country or monetary union. In contrast to a commercial bank, a central bank possesses a monopoly on increasing the mo ...
. A related focus of his work is on
central banking Central is an adjective usually referring to being in the center of some place or (mathematical) object. Central may also refer to: Directions and generalised locations * Central Africa, a region in the centre of Africa continent, also known as ...
and other forms of state intervention into economies, most particularly, on
deposit insurance Deposit insurance, deposit protection or deposit guarantee is a measure implemented in many countries to protect bank depositors, in full or in part, from losses caused by a bank's inability to pay its debts when due. Deposit insurance or deposit ...
, the
lender of last resort In public finance, a lender of last resort (LOLR) is a financial entity, generally a central bank, that acts as the provider of liquidity to a financial institution which finds itself unable to obtain sufficient liquidity in the interbank ...
and bank capital adequacy regulation. He has repeatedly called for the abolition of central banks and an end to state intervention in the financial system. He advocates competitive monetary systems. His work, ''New Private Monies—a Bit-Part Player?'', is supportive of private gold money systems such as the Liberty Dollar and
e-gold E-gold or eGold was a digital gold currency operated by Gold & Silver Reserve Inc. (G&SR) that allowed users to make payments, which it called "spends", in grams of gold, silver, and other precious metals. E-gold was launched in 1996 and grew to ...
. Dowd is a supporter of commodity-based monetary systems such as the
gold standard A gold standard is a backed currency, monetary system in which the standard economics, economic unit of account is based on a fixed quantity of gold. The gold standard was the basis for the international monetary system from the 1870s to the ...
and is a critic of fiat-based money issued by a central bank. Dowd takes a largely Austrian approach to economics, but one that is heavily influenced by the
Quantity Theory of Money The quantity theory of money (often abbreviated QTM) is a hypothesis within monetary economics which states that the general price level of goods and services is directly proportional to the amount of money in circulation (i.e., the money supply) ...
and the work of
monetarists Monetarism is a school of thought in monetary economics that emphasizes the role of policy-makers in controlling the amount of money in circulation. It gained prominence in the 1970s, but was mostly abandoned as a direct guidance to monetar ...
such as
Milton Friedman Milton Friedman (; July 31, 1912 – November 16, 2006) was an American economist and statistician who received the 1976 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his research on consumption analysis, monetary history and theory and ...
and David Laidler. He supports
laissez-faire ''Laissez-faire'' ( , from , ) is a type of economic system in which transactions between private groups of people are free from any form of economic interventionism (such as subsidies or regulations). As a system of thought, ''laissez-faire'' ...
, and is critical of Keynesian and other interventionist schools of economics. He has proposed a free-market approach to the resolution of the
2008 financial crisis The 2008 financial crisis, also known as the global financial crisis (GFC), was a major worldwide financial crisis centered in the United States. The causes of the 2008 crisis included excessive speculation on housing values by both homeowners ...
, based on extended personal liability for senior bankers, the exit of the state from the financial system and the restoration of a sound monetary standard. To this end, he has also advised Steve Baker, the Conservative MP for Wycombe, on his two Private Member's Bills to resolve the crisis: the Financial Services (Regulation of Derivatives) Bill, which sought to restore sound accounting standards, and the Financial Institutions (Reform) Bill, which called for radical reforms to the banking system and an end to state involvement in banking. Dowd has repeatedly argued that the
2008 financial crisis The 2008 financial crisis, also known as the global financial crisis (GFC), was a major worldwide financial crisis centered in the United States. The causes of the 2008 crisis included excessive speculation on housing values by both homeowners ...
has never been properly resolved and that the policies adopted since 2007 have been ineffective, counter-productive and of dubious legality. Dowd has also written extensively on financial risk measurement and management. He has argued that financial modelling is conceptually dubious because it is based on a naïve 'scientistic' belief that economic systems can be modelled using quantitative methods inappropriately imported from natural sciences such as physics. He is particularly critical of the widely used
Value-at-Risk Value at risk (VaR) is a measure of the risk of loss of investment/capital. It estimates how much a set of investments might lose (with a given probability), given normal market conditions, in a set time period such as a day. VaR is typically us ...
or VaR risk measure, the assumptions inherent to, and so the use of the "normal" or
Gaussian distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real number, real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x ...
in risk management, and the use of financial risk models for regulatory purposes. Dowd is the co-inventor of the PensionMetrics Defined-Contribution (DC) stochastic pension model, and the Stochastic Lifestyling asset allocation strategy. He and David Blake have proposed a set of good principles in the modelling of DC pension plans, and with Debbie Harrison, Blake and Dowd have recently published two reports into the state of the DC pensions market in the UK: ''Caveat Venditor'', which advocated that pensions should be governed by the principle of seller not buyer beware, and ''VfM'', which examined value for money in the UK pensions market. These reports were critical of the high charges, over-complexity and lack of transparency in the UK pensions industry. In the life actuarial field, Dowd and collaborators have written on the financial implications of mortality and longevity risk. They invented survivor swaps, survivor swaptions, the CBD mortality model, and the gravity two-population mortality model.


Publications


Books authored

* ''Laissez-Faire Banking'' (1993). London: Routledge. * ''The State and the Monetary System'' (1989). New York: St. Martin's. * ''Competition and Finance: A New Interpretation of Financial and Monetary Economics'' (1996). New York: St. Martin's. * ''Beyond Value at Risk: The New Science of Risk Management'' (1998). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley. * ''Money and the Market: Essays on Free Banking'' (2001). London: Routledge. * ''An Introduction to Market Risk Measurement'' (2002). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley. * * * ith Martin Hutchinson(2010). ''Alchemists of Loss: How Modern Finance and Government Intervention Crashed the Financial System'', Chichester, ENG: John Wiley.


Books edited

* ''The Experience of Free Banking'' (1992). London: Routledge. * o-edited with Mervyn K. Lewis''Current Issues in Financial and Monetary Economics'' (1992). London: Macmillan. * ith Richard H. Timberlake''Money and the Nation State: The Financial Revolution, Government, and the World Monetary System.'' (1998). New Brunswick, New Jersey: Transaction Publishers, . * ''The Experience of Free Banking'', second edition (2023). London: Institute of Economic Affairs.


Other significant works

* *


References


External links


Official site
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Dowd, Kevin Living people 20th-century British economists Austrian School economists British libertarians 1958 births Cato Institute people Alumni of the University of Sheffield Academics of Durham University