Daisyworld

Daisyworld is the name of a model developed by Andrew Watson and James Lovelock (published in 1983) to demonstrate how organisms could inadvertently regulate their environment. The model simulates a fictional planet (called ''Daisyworld'') which is experiencing slow global warming due to the brightening of its star. The planet is populated by two species of daisies: black daisies and white daisies. The white daisies have a high albedo (reflectivity), and therefore have a cooling effect on the planet. The black daisies, on the other hand, have a low albedo (and thus absorb more solar radiation) and so have a warming effect on the planet. The daisies' growth rates depend on the temperature, and each daisy also affects its own microclimate in the same way as it affects the global climate. As a result, the populations of the two daisy species self-organize such that the planet remains near the optimal temperature of both daisy species (i.e. with more black daisies when the star is dimmer and more white daisies when the star is brighter). This model is called a parable because it was meant to illustrate how biotic processes could not only affect the environment (in this case the climate), but also stabilize the environment, without any planning or awareness on the part of the species involved.

Daisyworld (also sometimes referred to as "Daisy World"), has become a term of reference in evolutionary and population ecology. It derives from research on aspects of "coupling" between an ecosphere's biota and its planetary environment, in particular via mathematical modeling and computer simulation, research dating to a series of 1982-1983 symposia presentations and primary research reports by James E. Lovelock and colleagues aimed to address the plausibility of the Gaia hypothesis. Also later referred to as a modeling of geosphere–biosphere interactions, Lovelock's 1983 reports focused on a hypothetical planet with biota (in the original work, daisies) whose growth fluctuates as the planet's exposure to its star's rays fluctuate, i.e., a pair of daisy varieties, whose differing colours drive a difference in interaction with their environment (in particular, the star). Reference to Daisyworld types of experiments have come to more broadly refer to extensions of that early work, and to further hypothetical systems involving similar and unrelated species.

More specifically, given the impossibility of mathematically modeling the interactions of the full array of the biota of Earth with the full array of their environmental inputs, Lovelock introduced the idea of (and mathematical models and simulations approach to) a far simpler ecosystem—a planet at the lowest limit of its biota orbiting a star whose radiant energy was slowly changing—as a means to mimic a fundamental element of the interaction of all of the Earth's biota with the Sun. In the original 1983 works, Daisyworld made a wide variety of simplifying assumptions, and had white and black daisies as its only organisms, which were presented for their abilities to reflect or absorb light, respectively. The original simulation modeled the two daisy populations—which combined to determine the planet's overall reflective power (fraction of incident radiation reflected by its surface)—and Daisyworld's surface temperature, as a function of changes in the hypothetical star's luminosity; in doing so Lovelock demonstrated that the surface temperature of the simple Daisyworld system remained nearly constant over a broad range of solar fluctuations, a result of shifts in the populations of the two plant varieties.

Synopsis, 1983 simulation

Wood and colleagues, in a 2008 review citing the two 1983 Lovelock primary research papers on Daisyworld (still Daisy World or the same in lower case, at that point),. This work was cited as one of the two original 1983 publications by Lovelock, of the Daisyworld construct, by Wood et al (2008), op. cit. This work was cited as one of the two original 1983 publications by Lovelock, of the Daisyworld construct, by Wood et al (2008), op. cit. describe it as being formulated in response to early criticism of Lovelock's Gaia hypothesis, specifically, being a model "invented to demonstrate that planetary self-regulation can emerge automatically from physically realistic feedback between life and its environment, without any need for foresight or planning on the part of the organisms",

Given the impossibility of fully representing the "coupling" of the whole of the Earth's biota and its environment, the hypothetical model

is an imaginary grey world orbiting, at a similar distance to the Earth, a star like our Sun that gets brighter with time. The environment... is reduced to one variable, temperature, and the biota consist of two types of life, black and white daisies, which share the same optimum temperature for growth and limits to growth. The soil of Daisyworld is sufficiently well watered and laden with nutrients for temperature alone to determine the growth rate of the daisies. The planet has a negligible atmospheric greenhouse, so its surface temperature is simply determined by... he hypothetical star'sluminosity and its he planet'soverall albedo [reflective power, the fraction of incident radiation reflected by the surface
nowiki>], which is, in turn, influenced by the coverage of the two daisy types.

This hypothetical construction produces, in its mathematical modeling, a nonlinear system "with interesting self-regulating properties".

Purpose and impact

The purpose of the model is to demonstrate that feedback mechanisms can evolve from the actions or activities of self-interested organisms, rather than through classic group selection mechanisms. Daisyworld examines the energy budget of a planet populated by two different types of plants, black daisies and white daisies. The colour of the daisies influences the albedo of the planet such that black daisies absorb light and warm the planet, while white daisies reflect light and cool the planet. Competition between the daisies (based on temperature-effects on growth rates) leads to a balance of populations that tends to favour a planetary temperature close to the optimum for daisy growth.

Lovelock sought to demonstrate the stability of Daisyworld by making its sun evolve along the main sequence, taking it from low to high solar constant. This perturbation of Daisyworld's receipt of solar radiation caused the balance of daisies to gradually shift from black to white but the planetary temperature was always regulated back to this optimum (except at the extreme ends of solar evolution). This situation is very different from the corresponding abiotic world, where temperature is unregulated and rises linearly with solar output.

Criticism

Daisyworld was designed to refute the idea that there was something inherently mystical about the Gaia hypothesis that Earth's surface displays homeostatic and homeorhetic properties similar to those of a living organism; specifically, thermoregulation was addressed.

Wood and colleagues noted in 2008 that a key element in the hypothetical construct of Daisyworld was that the species of focus,

"the daisies alter the same environmental variable (temperature) in the same direction at the local level and the global level. Hence what is selected for at the individual level is directly linked to its global effects. This makes the original model a special case (and it is one that is not particularly prevalent in the real world). Evolutionary biologists often criticize the original model for this reason."

The Gaia hypothesis has otherwise attracted a substantial amount of criticism from scientists, e.g., Richard Dawkins, who argued that planet-level thermoregulation was impossible without planetary natural selection, which might involve evidence of dead planets that did not thermoregulate. W. Ford Doolittle rejected the notion of planetary regulation because it seemed to require a "secret consensus" among organisms, thus some sort of inexplicable purpose on a planetary scale. Others countered the criticism that some "secret consensus" would be required for planetary regulation, suggesting that thermoregulation of a planet beneficial to the two species arises naturally.

Later criticism of Daisyworld centers on the fact that although it is often used as an analogy for Earth, the original simulation leaves out many important details of the true Earth system. For example, the hypothetical system requires an ad-hoc death rate (γ) to sustain homeostasis, and does not take into account the difference between species-level phenomena and individual level phenomena. Detractors of the simulation believed inclusion of these details would cause the system to become unstable, making it a false analogy. These criticisms were countered by Timothy Lenton and James Lovelock in 2001, who argued that including further factors can improve climate regulation on later versions of Daisyworld.

Subsequent research

Later versions of Daisyworld, identifying the research area as "tutorial modelling of geosphere–biosphere interactions", introduced a range of grey daisies, as well as populations of grazers and predators, and found that these further increased the stability of the homeostasis.

More recently, other research, modeling real biochemical cycles of Earth, and using various types of organisms (e.g. photosynthesisers, decomposers, herbivores and primary and secondary carnivores) also argues to have produced Daisyworld-like regulation and stability, in support of ideas related to planetary biological diversity. This enables nutrient recycling within a regulatory framework derived by natural selection amongst species, where one being's harmful waste becomes low energy food for members of another guild. For instance, research on the Redfield ratio of nitrogen to phosphorus suggests that local biotic processes might regulate global systems.

Later extension of the Daisyworld simulations which included rabbits, foxes and other species, led to the proposal that the larger the number of species,There are two sets of views about the role played by biodiversity in the stability of ecosystems in Gaia theory. In one school of thought labelled the "species redundancy" hypothesis, proposed by Australian ecologist Brian Walker, most species are seen as having little contribution overall in the stability, comparable to the passengers in an aeroplane who play little role in its successful flight. The hypothesis suggests that only a few key species are necessary for a healthy ecosystem. The "rivet-popper" hypothesis put forth by Paul R. Ehrlich and his wife Anne H. Ehrlich compares each species forming part of an ecosystem with a rivet on the aeroplane (represented by the ecosystem). The progressive loss of species mirrors the progressive loss of rivets from the plane, weakening it till it is no longer sustainable and crashes. See Leakey & Lewin (1996), op. cit. the greater thermoregulartory improvement for the entire planet, results suggesting that such a hypothetical system was robust and stable even when perturbed. Daisyworld simulations where environments were stable gradually became less diverse over time; in contrast gentle perturbations led to bursts of species richness, lending support to the idea that biodiversity is valuable.

This finding was supported by a 1994 primary research report on species composition, dynamics, and diversity in successional and native grasslands in Minnesota by David Tilman and John A. Downing, which concluded that "primary productivity in more diverse plant communities is more resistant to, and recovers more fully from, a major drought". They go on to add that their "results support the diversity stability hypothesis but not the alternative hypothesis that most species are functionally redundant". Note, the cited pages are not available via this link.

Relevance to Earth

Because Daisyworld is so simplistic, having for example, no atmosphere, no animals, only one species of plant life, and only the most basic population growth and death models, it should not be directly compared to Earth. This was stated very clearly by the original authors. Even so, it provided a number of useful predictions of how Earth's biosphere may respond to, for example, human interference. Later adaptations of Daisyworld (discussed below), which added many layers of complexity, still showed the same basic trends of the original model.

One prediction of the simulation is that the biosphere works to regulate the climate, making it habitable over a wide range of solar luminosity. Many examples of these regulatory systems have been found on Earth.

See also

* Gaia hypothesis
* Gaia philosophy
* SimEarth

Further reading

* One review providing a 25-year retrospective of the original and subsequent related research.
* . This work was cited as one of the two original 1983 publications by Lovelock, of the Daisyworld construct, by Wood et al (2008), op. cit.
* This work was cited as one of the two original 1983 publications by Lovelock, of the Daisyworld construct, by Wood et al (2008), op. cit.
* . This is not the first report of Daisyworld, rather, it is a followup study designed to test a specific additional question. As described carefully by Wood et al., op. cit., "Watson and Lovelock 983reversed the sign of interaction between daisy color and planetary temperature by assuming that convection generated over the warm spots of the black daisy clumps generates white clouds above them. In this case the black daisies are still locally warmer than the white daisies, but both daisy types now cool the planet. Hence the black daisies always have a selective advantage over their white compatriots, which they drive to extinction. Yet planetary temperature is still regulated, albeit on the cold side of the optimum for growth.
* See also thi
author-presented web source of the full article

* An interview presenting the history of several topics relevant to this article, from Lovelock's perspective (with respectful reference made to W.F. Doolittle's objections).
* A more recent, brief retrospective from Doolittle, on Gaia and related studies.

References

External links

* ttp://www.ph.ed.ac.uk/nania/daisyworld/daisyworld.html Java Applet for Daisyworld on a 2D spacebr>Spatial Daisyworld Model
Java Applet and explanation of Daisyworld with evolution

A Unix/X11 simulation of Daisyworld.

Modeling the Gaia Hypothesis: DaisyWorld
A test applet of a basic Daisyworld model using a 2D cellular automata.

A NetLogo version of the Daisyworld model

{{Computer modeling

Climate modeling
Ecological experiments
Homeostasis
Articles containing video clips