In
probability theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set o ...
, a Cox process, also known as a doubly stochastic Poisson process is a
point process
In statistics and probability theory, a point process or point field is a collection of mathematical points randomly located on a mathematical space such as the real line or Euclidean space. Kallenberg, O. (1986). ''Random Measures'', 4th edition ...
which is a generalization of a
Poisson process
In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
where the intensity that varies across the underlying mathematical space (often space or time) is itself a stochastic process. The process is named after the
statistician
A statistician is a person who works with theoretical or applied statistics. The profession exists in both the private and public sectors.
It is common to combine statistical knowledge with expertise in other subjects, and statisticians may wor ...
David Cox, who first published the model in 1955.
Cox processes are used to generate simulations of
spike train
An action potential occurs when the membrane potential of a specific cell location rapidly rises and falls. This depolarization then causes adjacent locations to similarly depolarize. Action potentials occur in several types of animal cells, ...
s (the sequence of action potentials generated by a
neuron
A neuron, neurone, or nerve cell is an membrane potential#Cell excitability, electrically excitable cell (biology), cell that communicates with other cells via specialized connections called synapses. The neuron is the main component of nervous ...
), and also in
financial mathematics
Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets.
In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that require ...
where they produce a "useful framework for modeling prices of financial instruments in which
credit risk
A credit risk is risk of default on a debt that may arise from a borrower failing to make required payments. In the first resort, the risk is that of the lender and includes lost principal and interest, disruption to cash flows, and increased ...
is a significant factor."
Definition
Let
be a
random measure In probability theory, a random measure is a measure-valued random element. Random measures are for example used in the theory of random processes, where they form many important point processes such as Poisson point processes and Cox processes. ...
.
A random measure
is called a Cox process directed by
, if
is a
Poisson process
In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
with
intensity measure .
Here,
is the conditional distribution of
, given
.
Laplace transform
If
is a Cox process directed by
, then
has the
Laplace transform
In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform that converts a function of a real variable (usually t, in the ''time domain'') to a function of a complex variable s (in the ...
:
for any positive,
measurable function
In mathematics and in particular measure theory, a measurable function is a function between the underlying sets of two measurable spaces that preserves the structure of the spaces: the preimage of any measurable set is measurable. This is i ...
.
See also
*
Poisson hidden Markov model
*
Doubly stochastic model
*
Inhomogeneous Poisson process, where ''λ''(''t'') is restricted to a deterministic function
*
Ross's conjecture
*
Gaussian process
In probability theory and statistics, a Gaussian process is a stochastic process (a collection of random variables indexed by time or space), such that every finite collection of those random variables has a multivariate normal distribution, i.e. ...
*
Mixed Poisson process
References
;Notes
;Bibliography
*
Cox, D. R. and
Isham, V. ''
Point Processes'', London: Chapman & Hall, 1980
* Donald L. Snyder and Michael I. Miller ''Random Point Processes in Time and Space'' Springer-Verlag, 1991 (New York) (Berlin)
Poisson point processes
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