In
probability theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set o ...
and
statistics, cokurtosis is a measure of how much two random variables change together. Cokurtosis is the fourth standardized cross
central moment
In probability theory and statistics, a central moment is a moment of a probability distribution of a random variable about the random variable's mean; that is, it is the expected value of a specified integer power of the deviation of the random ...
.
If two random variables exhibit a high level of cokurtosis they will tend to undergo extreme positive and negative deviations at the same time.
Definition
For two
random variable
A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. It is a mapping or a function from possible outcomes (e.g., the p ...
s ''X'' and ''Y'' there are three non-trivial cokurtosis statistics
:
:
and
:
where E
'X''is the
expected value
In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, mathematical expectation, mean, average, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the arithmetic mean of a ...
of ''X'', also known as the mean of ''X'', and
is the
standard deviation of ''X''.
Properties
*
Kurtosis
In probability theory and statistics, kurtosis (from el, κυρτός, ''kyrtos'' or ''kurtos'', meaning "curved, arching") is a measure of the "tailedness" of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable. Like skewness, kur ...
is a special case of the cokurtosis when the two random variables are identical:
::
* For two random variables, ''X'' and ''Y'', the
kurtosis
In probability theory and statistics, kurtosis (from el, κυρτός, ''kyrtos'' or ''kurtos'', meaning "curved, arching") is a measure of the "tailedness" of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable. Like skewness, kur ...
of the sum, ''X'' + ''Y'', is
::
: where
is the
kurtosis
In probability theory and statistics, kurtosis (from el, κυρτός, ''kyrtos'' or ''kurtos'', meaning "curved, arching") is a measure of the "tailedness" of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable. Like skewness, kur ...
of ''X'' and
is the
standard deviation of ''X''.
* It follows that the sum of two random variables can have kurtosis different from 3 (
) even if both random variables have kurtosis of 3 in isolation (
and
).
* The cokurtosis between variables ''X'' and ''Y'' does not depend on the scale on which the variables are expressed. If we are analyzing the relationship between ''X'' and ''Y'', the cokurtosis between ''X'' and ''Y'' will be the same as the cokurtosis between ''a'' + ''bX'' and ''c'' + ''dY'', where ''a'', ''b'', ''c'' and ''d'' are constants.
Examples
Bivariate normal distribution
Let ''X'' and ''Y'' each be normally distributed with
correlation coefficient
A correlation coefficient is a numerical measure of some type of correlation, meaning a statistical relationship between two variables. The variables may be two columns of a given data set of observations, often called a sample, or two componen ...
ρ. The cokurtosis terms are
:
:
Since the cokurtosis depends only on ρ, which is already completely determined by the lower-degree covariance matrix, the cokurtosis of the bivariate normal distribution contains no new information about the distribution. It is a convenient reference, however, for comparing to other distributions.
Nonlinearly correlated normal distributions
Let ''X'' be standard normally distributed and ''Y'' be the distribution obtained by setting ''X''=''Y'' whenever ''X''<0 and drawing ''Y'' independently from a standard
half-normal distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the half-normal distribution is a special case of the folded normal distribution.
Let X follow an ordinary normal distribution, N(0,\sigma^2). Then, Y=, X, follows a half-normal distribution. Thus, the ha ...
whenever ''X''>0. In other words, ''X'' and ''Y'' are both standard normally distributed with the property that they are completely correlated for negative values and uncorrelated apart from sign for positive values. The joint probability density function is
:
where ''H''(''x'') is the
Heaviside step function
The Heaviside step function, or the unit step function, usually denoted by or (but sometimes , or ), is a step function, named after Oliver Heaviside (1850–1925), the value of which is zero for negative arguments and one for positive argume ...
and δ(''x'') is the
Dirac delta function
In mathematics, the Dirac delta distribution ( distribution), also known as the unit impulse, is a generalized function or distribution over the real numbers, whose value is zero everywhere except at zero, and whose integral over the entire ...
. The fourth moments are easily calculated by integrating with respect to this density:
:
:
It is useful to compare this result to what would have been obtained for an ordinary bivariate normal distribution with the usual linear correlation. From integration with respect to density, we find that the linear correlation coefficient of ''X'' and ''Y'' is
:
A bivariate normal distribution with this value of ρ would have
and
. Therefore, all of the cokurtosis terms of this distribution with this nonlinear correlation are smaller than what would have been expected from a bivariate normal distribution with ρ=0.818.
Note that although ''X'' and ''Y'' are individually standard normally distributed, the distribution of the sum ''X''+''Y'' is platykurtic. The standard deviation of the sum is
:
Inserting that and the individual cokurtosis values into the kurtosis sum formula above, we have
:
This can also be computed directly from the probability density function of the sum:
:
See also
*
Moment (mathematics)
*
Coskewness
References
Further reading
*
* {{cite journal , last1=Christie-David , first1=R. , author2=M. Chaudry , title=Coskewness and Cokurtosis in Futures Markets , journal=Journal of Empirical Finance , year=2001 , volume=8 , issue=1 , pages=55–81 , doi=10.1016/s0927-5398(01)00020-2
Algebra of random variables
Theory of probability distributions
Statistical deviation and dispersion
Summary statistics