(a,b,0) Class Of Distributions
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In
probability theory Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expre ...
, a member of the (''a'', ''b'', 0) class of distributions is any distribution of a
discrete random variable A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. The term 'random variable' in its mathematical definition refers ...
''N'' whose values are nonnegative integers whose probability mass function satisfies the recurrence formula : \frac = a + \frac, \qquad k = 1, 2, 3, \dots for some real numbers ''a'' and ''b'', where p_k = P(N = k). The (a,b,0) class of distributions is also known as the Panjer, the Poisson-type or the Katz family of distributions, and may be retrieved through the
Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution In probability theory and statistics, the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (CMP or COM–Poisson) distribution is a discrete probability distribution named after Richard W. Conway, William L. Maxwell, and Siméon Denis Poisson that generalizes the Pois ...
. Only the Poisson,
binomial Binomial may refer to: In mathematics *Binomial (polynomial), a polynomial with two terms *Binomial coefficient, numbers appearing in the expansions of powers of binomials *Binomial QMF, a perfect-reconstruction orthogonal wavelet decomposition * ...
and
negative binomial In probability theory and statistics, the negative binomial distribution, also called a Pascal distribution, is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of failures in a sequence of independent and identically distributed Berno ...
distributions satisfy the full form of this relationship. These are also the three discrete distributions among the six members of the natural exponential family with quadratic variance functions (NEF–QVF). More general distributions can be defined by fixing some initial values of ''pj'' and applying the recursion to define subsequent values. This can be of use in fitting distributions to empirical data. However, some further well-known distributions are available if the recursion above need only hold for a restricted range of values of ''k'': for example the
logarithmic distribution In probability and statistics, the logarithmic distribution (also known as the logarithmic series distribution or the log-series distribution) is a discrete probability distribution derived from the Maclaurin series expansion : -\ln(1-p) = ...
and the discrete uniform distribution. The (''a'', ''b'', 0) class of distributions has important applications in
actuarial science Actuarial science is the discipline that applies mathematics, mathematical and statistics, statistical methods to Risk assessment, assess risk in insurance, pension, finance, investment and other industries and professions. Actuary, Actuaries a ...
in the context of loss models.


Properties

Sundt proved that only the
binomial distribution In probability theory and statistics, the binomial distribution with parameters and is the discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of statistical independence, independent experiment (probability theory) ...
, the
Poisson distribution In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution () is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known const ...
and the
negative binomial distribution In probability theory and statistics, the negative binomial distribution, also called a Pascal distribution, is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of failures in a sequence of independent and identically distributed Berno ...
belong to this class of distributions, with each distribution being represented by a different sign of ''a''. Furthermore, it was shown by Fackler that there is a universal formula for all three distributions, called the (united) Panjer distribution. The more usual parameters of these distributions are determined by both ''a'' and ''b''. The properties of these distributions in relation to the present class of distributions are summarised in the following table. Note that W_N(x)\, denotes the
probability generating function In probability theory, the probability generating function of a discrete random variable is a power series representation (the generating function) of the probability mass function of the random variable. Probability generating functions are of ...
. Note that the Panjer distribution reduces to the Poisson distribution in the limit case \alpha \rightarrow \pm\infty; it coincides with the negative binomial distribution for positive, finite real numbers \alpha\in \mathbb_, and it equals the binomial distribution for negative integers -\alpha \in \mathbb.


Plotting

An easy way to quickly determine whether a given sample was taken from a distribution from the (''a'',''b'',0) class is by graphing the ratio of two consecutive observed data (multiplied by a constant) against the ''x''-axis. By multiplying both sides of the recursive formula by k, you get : k \, \frac = ak + b, which shows that the left side is obviously a linear function of k. When using a sample of n data, an approximation of the p_k's need to be done. If n_k represents the number of observations having the value k, then \hat_k = \frac is an
unbiased Bias is a disproportionate weight ''in favor of'' or ''against'' an idea or thing, usually in a way that is inaccurate, closed-minded, prejudicial, or unfair. Biases can be innate or learned. People may develop biases for or against an individ ...
estimator of the true p_k. Therefore, if a linear trend is seen, then it can be assumed that the data is taken from an (''a'',''b'',0) distribution. Moreover, the
slope In mathematics, the slope or gradient of a Line (mathematics), line is a number that describes the direction (geometry), direction of the line on a plane (geometry), plane. Often denoted by the letter ''m'', slope is calculated as the ratio of t ...
of the function would be the parameter a, while the ordinate at the origin would be b.


See also

*
Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution In probability theory and statistics, the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson (CMP or COM–Poisson) distribution is a discrete probability distribution named after Richard W. Conway, William L. Maxwell, and Siméon Denis Poisson that generalizes the Pois ...
* Panjer recursion * Poisson-type random measure


References

{{ProbDistributions, families Discrete distributions Systems of probability distributions Actuarial science