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Sum Of Squared Deviations
Squared deviations from the mean (SDM) result from squaring deviations. In probability theory and statistics, the definition of ''variance'' is either the expected value of the SDM (when considering a theoretical distribution) or its average value (for actual experimental data). Computations for ''analysis of variance'' involve the partitioning of a sum of SDM. Background An understanding of the computations involved is greatly enhanced by a study of the statistical value : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ), where \operatorname is the expected value operator. For a random variable X with mean \mu and variance \sigma^2, : \sigma^2 = \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) - \mu^2.Mood & Graybill: ''An introduction to the Theory of Statistics'' (McGraw Hill) (Its derivation is shown here.) Therefore, : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) = \sigma^2 + \mu^2. From the above, the following can be derived: : \operatorname\left( \sum\left( X ^ 2\right) \right) = n\sigma^2 + n\mu^2, : \operatorname\left( \left(\sum X ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Square (algebra)
In mathematics, a square is the result of multiplying a number by itself. The verb "to square" is used to denote this operation. Squaring is the same as raising to the power 2, and is denoted by a superscript 2; for instance, the square of 3 may be written as 32, which is the number 9. In some cases when superscripts are not available, as for instance in programming languages or plain text files, the notations ''x''^2 ( caret) or ''x''**2 may be used in place of ''x''2. The adjective which corresponds to squaring is '' quadratic''. The square of an integer may also be called a '' square number'' or a ''perfect square''. In algebra, the operation of squaring is often generalized to polynomials, other expressions, or values in systems of mathematical values other than the numbers. For instance, the square of the linear polynomial is the quadratic polynomial . One of the important properties of squaring, for numbers as well as in many other mathematical systems, is that ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Residual Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the residual sum of squares (RSS), also known as the sum of squared residuals (SSR) or the sum of squared estimate of errors (SSE), is the sum of the squares of residuals (deviations predicted from actual empirical values of data). It is a measure of the discrepancy between the data and an estimation model, such as a linear regression. A small RSS indicates a tight fit of the model to the data. It is used as an optimality criterion in parameter selection and model selection. In general, total sum of squares = explained sum of squares + residual sum of squares. For a proof of this in the multivariate ordinary least squares (OLS) case, see partitioning in the general OLS model. One explanatory variable In a model with a single explanatory variable, RSS is given by: :\operatorname = \sum_^n (y_i - f(x_i))^2 where ''y''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the variable to be predicted, ''x''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the explanatory variable, and f(x_i) is the ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Variance Decomposition Of Forecast Errors
In econometrics and other applications of multivariate time series analysis, a variance decomposition or forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) is used to aid in the interpretation of a vector autoregression (VAR) model once it has been fitted.Lütkepohl, H. (2007) ''New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis'', Springer. p. 63. The variance decomposition indicates the amount of information each variable contributes to the other variables in the autoregression. It determines how much of the forecast error variance of each of the variables can be explained by exogenous shocks to the other variables. Calculating the forecast error variance For the VAR (p) of form : y_t=\nu +A_1y_+\dots+A_p y_+u_t . This can be changed to a VAR(1) structure by writing it in companion form (see general matrix notation of a VAR(p)) : Y_t=V+A Y_+U_t where :: A=\begin A_1 & A_2 & \dots & A_ & A_p \\ \mathbf_k & 0 & \dots & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & \mathbf_k & & 0 & 0 \\ \vdots & & \ddots & ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Root Mean Square Deviation
The root mean square deviation (RMSD) or root mean square error (RMSE) is either one of two closely related and frequently used measures of the differences between true or predicted values on the one hand and observed values or an estimator on the other. The deviation is typically simply a differences of scalars; it can also be generalized to the vector lengths of a displacement, as in the bioinformatics concept of root mean square deviation of atomic positions. RMSD of a sample The RMSD of a sample is the quadratic mean of the differences between the observed values and predicted ones. These deviations are called '' residuals'' when the calculations are performed over the data sample that was used for estimation (and are therefore always in reference to an estimate) and are called ''errors'' (or prediction errors) when computed out-of-sample (aka on the full set, referencing a true value rather than an estimate). The RMSD serves to aggregate the magnitudes of the errors in ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Residual Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the residual sum of squares (RSS), also known as the sum of squared residuals (SSR) or the sum of squared estimate of errors (SSE), is the sum of the squares of residuals (deviations predicted from actual empirical values of data). It is a measure of the discrepancy between the data and an estimation model, such as a linear regression. A small RSS indicates a tight fit of the model to the data. It is used as an optimality criterion in parameter selection and model selection. In general, total sum of squares = explained sum of squares + residual sum of squares. For a proof of this in the multivariate ordinary least squares (OLS) case, see partitioning in the general OLS model. One explanatory variable In a model with a single explanatory variable, RSS is given by: :\operatorname = \sum_^n (y_i - f(x_i))^2 where ''y''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the variable to be predicted, ''x''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the explanatory variable, and f(x_i) is the ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Mean Squared Error
In statistics, the mean squared error (MSE) or mean squared deviation (MSD) of an estimator (of a procedure for estimating an unobserved quantity) measures the average of the squares of the errors—that is, the average squared difference between the estimated values and the true value. MSE is a risk function, corresponding to the expected value of the squared error loss. The fact that MSE is almost always strictly positive (and not zero) is because of randomness or because the estimator does not account for information that could produce a more accurate estimate. In machine learning, specifically empirical risk minimization, MSE may refer to the ''empirical'' risk (the average loss on an observed data set), as an estimate of the true MSE (the true risk: the average loss on the actual population distribution). The MSE is a measure of the quality of an estimator. As it is derived from the square of Euclidean distance, it is always a positive value that decreases as the erro ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Least Squares
The method of least squares is a mathematical optimization technique that aims to determine the best fit function by minimizing the sum of the squares of the differences between the observed values and the predicted values of the model. The method is widely used in areas such as regression analysis, curve fitting and data modeling. The least squares method can be categorized into linear and nonlinear forms, depending on the relationship between the model parameters and the observed data. The method was first proposed by Adrien-Marie Legendre in 1805 and further developed by Carl Friedrich Gauss. History Founding The method of least squares grew out of the fields of astronomy and geodesy, as scientists and mathematicians sought to provide solutions to the challenges of navigating the Earth's oceans during the Age of Discovery. The accurate description of the behavior of celestial bodies was the key to enabling ships to sail in open seas, where sailors could no longer rely on la ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Errors And Residuals
In statistics and optimization, errors and residuals are two closely related and easily confused measures of the deviation of an observed value of an element of a statistical sample from its "true value" (not necessarily observable). The error of an observation is the deviation of the observed value from the true value of a quantity of interest (for example, a population mean). The residual is the difference between the observed value and the '' estimated'' value of the quantity of interest (for example, a sample mean). The distinction is most important in regression analysis, where the concepts are sometimes called the regression errors and regression residuals and where they lead to the concept of studentized residuals. In econometrics, "errors" are also called disturbances. Introduction Suppose there is a series of observations from a univariate distribution and we want to estimate the mean of that distribution (the so-called location model). In this case, the errors ar ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Algorithms For Calculating Variance
Algorithms for calculating variance play a major role in computational statistics. A key difficulty in the design of good algorithms for this problem is that formulas for the variance may involve sums of squares, which can lead to numerical instability as well as to arithmetic overflow when dealing with large values. Naïve algorithm A formula for calculating the variance of an entire population of size ''N'' is: :\sigma^2 = \overline - \bar x^2 = \frac - \left(\frac\right)^2 Using Bessel's correction to calculate an unbiased estimate of the population variance from a finite sample of ''n'' observations, the formula is: :s^2 = \left(\frac n - \left( \frac n \right)^2\right) \cdot \frac . Therefore, a naïve algorithm to calculate the estimated variance is given by the following: * Let * For each datum : ** ** ** * This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by ''n'' instead of ''n'' − 1 on the l ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Absolute Deviation
In mathematics and statistics, deviation serves as a measure to quantify the disparity between an observed value of a variable and another designated value, frequently the mean of that variable. Deviations with respect to the sample mean and the population mean (or "true value") are called ''errors'' and ''residuals'', respectively. The sign of the deviation reports the direction of that difference: the deviation is positive when the observed value exceeds the reference value. The absolute value of the deviation indicates the size or magnitude of the difference. In a given sample, there are as many deviations as sample points. Summary statistics can be derived from a set of deviations, such as the ''standard deviation'' and the '' mean absolute deviation'', measures of dispersion, and the '' mean signed deviation'', a measure of bias. The deviation of each data point is calculated by subtracting the mean of the data set from the individual data point. Mathematically, the de ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Degrees Of Freedom (statistics)
In statistics, the number of degrees of freedom is the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. Estimates of statistical parameters can be based upon different amounts of information or data. The number of independent pieces of information that go into the estimate of a parameter is called the degrees of freedom. In general, the degrees of freedom of an estimate of a parameter are equal to the number of independent scores that go into the estimate minus the number of parameters used as intermediate steps in the estimation of the parameter itself. For example, if the variance is to be estimated from a random sample of N independent scores, then the degrees of freedom is equal to the number of independent scores (''N'') minus the number of parameters estimated as intermediate steps (one, namely, the sample mean) and is therefore equal to N-1. Mathematically, degrees of freedom is the number of dimensions of the domain of a random vector, or e ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Explained Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the explained sum of squares (ESS), alternatively known as the model sum of squares or sum of squares due to regression (SSR – not to be confused with the residual sum of squares (RSS) or sum of squares of errors), is a quantity used in describing how well a model, often a regression model, represents the data being modelled. In particular, the explained sum of squares measures how much variation there is in the modelled values and this is compared to the total sum of squares (TSS), which measures how much variation there is in the observed data, and to the residual sum of squares, which measures the variation in the error between the observed data and modelled values. Definition The explained sum of squares (ESS) is the sum of the squares of the deviations of the predicted values from the mean value of a response variable, in a standard regression model — for example, , where ''y''''i'' is the ''i'' th observation of the response variable, ''x''''ji'' is th ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
