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Generalized Additive Model
In statistics, a generalized additive model (GAM) is a generalized linear model in which the linear response variable depends linearly on unknown smooth functions of some predictor variables, and interest focuses on inference about these smooth functions. GAMs were originally developed by Trevor Hastie and Robert Tibshirani to blend properties of generalized linear models with additive models. They can be interpreted as the discriminative generalization of the naive Bayes generative model. The model relates a univariate response variable, ''Y'', to some predictor variables, ''x''''i''. An exponential family distribution is specified for Y (for example normal, binomial or Poisson distributions) along with a link function ''g'' (for example the identity or log functions) relating the expected value of ''Y'' to the predictor variables via a structure such as : g(\operatorname(Y))=\beta_0 + f_1(x_1) + f_2(x_2)+ \cdots + f_m(x_m).\,\! The functions ''f''''i'' may be functions with ...
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Statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with every aspect of data, including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of statistical survey, surveys and experimental design, experiments. When census data (comprising every member of the target population) cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey sample (statistics), samples. Representative sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can reasonably extend from the sample ...
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Restricted Maximum Likelihood
In statistics, the restricted (or residual, or reduced) maximum likelihood (REML) approach is a particular form of maximum likelihood estimation that does not base estimates on a maximum likelihood fit of all the information, but instead uses a likelihood function calculated from a transformed set of data, so that nuisance parameters have no effect. (see REML) In the case of variance component estimation, the original data set is replaced by a set of contrasts calculated from the data, and the likelihood function is calculated from the probability distribution of these contrasts, according to the model for the complete data set. In particular, REML is used as a method for fitting linear mixed models. In contrast to the earlier maximum likelihood estimation, REML can produce unbiased estimates of variance and covariance parameters. The idea underlying REML estimation was put forward by M. S. Bartlett in 1937. The first description of the approach applied to estimating components o ...
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Akaike Information Criterion
The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is an estimator of prediction error and thereby relative quality of statistical models for a given set of data. Given a collection of models for the data, AIC estimates the quality of each model, relative to each of the other models. Thus, AIC provides a means for model selection. AIC is founded on information theory. When a statistical model is used to represent the process that generated the data, the representation will almost never be exact; so some information will be lost by using the model to represent the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher the quality of that model. In estimating the amount of information lost by a model, AIC deals with the trade-off between the goodness of fit of the model and the simplicity of the model. In other words, AIC deals with both the risk of overfitting and the risk of underfitting. The Akaike information crite ...
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Cross-validation (statistics)
Cross-validation, sometimes called rotation estimation or out-of-sample testing, is any of various similar model validation techniques for assessing how the results of a statistics, statistical analysis will Generalization error, generalize to an independent data set. Cross-validation includes Resampling (statistics), resampling and sample splitting methods that use different portions of the data to test and train a model on different iterations. It is often used in settings where the goal is prediction, and one wants to estimate how accuracy, accurately a predictive modelling, predictive model will perform in practice. It can also be used to assess the quality of a fitted model and the stability of its parameters. In a prediction problem, a model is usually given a dataset of ''known data'' on which training is run (''training dataset''), and a dataset of ''unknown data'' (or ''first seen'' data) against which the model is tested (called the validation set, validation dataset o ...
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Multivariate Normal
In probability theory and statistics, the multivariate normal distribution, multivariate Gaussian distribution, or joint normal distribution is a generalization of the one-dimensional (univariate) normal distribution to higher dimensions. One definition is that a random vector is said to be ''k''-variate normally distributed if every linear combination of its ''k'' components has a univariate normal distribution. Its importance derives mainly from the multivariate central limit theorem. The multivariate normal distribution is often used to describe, at least approximately, any set of (possibly) correlated real-valued random variables, each of which clusters around a mean value. Definitions Notation and parametrization The multivariate normal distribution of a ''k''-dimensional random vector \mathbf = (X_1,\ldots,X_k)^ can be written in the following notation: : \mathbf\ \sim\ \mathcal(\boldsymbol\mu,\, \boldsymbol\Sigma), or to make it explicitly known that \mathbf i ...
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Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares
The method of iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS) is used to solve certain optimization problems with objective functions of the form of a ''p''-norm: \mathop_ \sum_^n \big, y_i - f_i (\boldsymbol\beta) \big, ^p, by an iterative method in which each step involves solving a weighted least squares problem of the form:C. Sidney Burrus, Iterative Reweighted Least Squares' \boldsymbol\beta^ = \underset \sum_^n w_i (\boldsymbol\beta^) \big, y_i - f_i (\boldsymbol\beta) \big, ^2. IRLS is used to find the maximum likelihood estimates of a generalized linear model, and in robust regression to find an M-estimator, as a way of mitigating the influence of outliers in an otherwise normally-distributed data set, for example, by minimizing the least absolute errors rather than the least square errors. One of the advantages of IRLS over linear programming and convex programming is that it can be used with Gauss–Newton and Levenberg–Marquardt numerical algorithms. Exam ...
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Quadratic Form
In mathematics, a quadratic form is a polynomial with terms all of degree two (" form" is another name for a homogeneous polynomial). For example, 4x^2 + 2xy - 3y^2 is a quadratic form in the variables and . The coefficients usually belong to a fixed field , such as the real or complex numbers, and one speaks of a quadratic form ''over'' . Over the reals, a quadratic form is said to be '' definite'' if it takes the value zero only when all its variables are simultaneously zero; otherwise it is '' isotropic''. Quadratic forms occupy a central place in various branches of mathematics, including number theory, linear algebra, group theory ( orthogonal groups), differential geometry (the Riemannian metric, the second fundamental form), differential topology ( intersection forms of manifolds, especially four-manifolds), Lie theory (the Killing form), and statistics (where the exponent of a zero-mean multivariate normal distribution has the quadratic form -\mathbf^\math ...
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Thin Plate Spline
Thin plate splines (TPS) are a spline-based technique for data interpolation and smoothing. They were introduced to geometric design by Duchon. They are an important special case of a polyharmonic spline. Robust Point Matching (RPM) is a common extension and shortly known as the TPS-RPM algorithm. Physical analogy The name ''thin plate spline'' refers to a physical analogy involving the bending of a plate or thin sheet of metal. Just as the metal has rigidity, the TPS fit resists bending also, implying a penalty involving the smoothness of the fitted surface. In the physical setting, the deflection is in the z direction, orthogonal to the plane. In order to apply this idea to the problem of coordinate transformation, one interprets the lifting of the plate as a displacement of the x or y coordinates within the plane. In 2D cases, given a set of K corresponding control points (knots), the TPS warp is described by 2(K+3) parameters which include 6 global affine motion parameters a ...
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B Spline
B, or b, is the second letter of the Latin alphabet, used in the modern English alphabet, the alphabets of other western European languages and others worldwide. Its name in English is ''bee'' (pronounced ), plural ''bees''. It represents the voiced bilabial stop in many languages, including English. In some other languages, it is used to represent other bilabial consonants. History The Roman derived from the Greek capital beta via its Etruscan and Cumaean variants. The Greek letter was an adaptation of the Phoenician letter bēt . The Egyptian hieroglyph for the consonant /b/ had been an image of a foot and calf , but bēt (Phoenician for "house") was a modified form of a Proto-Sinaitic glyph adapted from the separate hieroglyph Pr meaning "house". The Hebrew letter bet is a separate development of the Phoenician letter. By Byzantine times, the Greek letter came to be pronounced /v/, so that it is known in modern Greek as ''víta'' (still written ). The C ...
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Boosting (machine Learning)
In machine learning (ML), boosting is an Ensemble learning, ensemble metaheuristic for primarily reducing Bias–variance tradeoff, bias (as opposed to variance). It can also improve the Stability (learning theory), stability and accuracy of ML Statistical classification, classification and Regression analysis, regression algorithms. Hence, it is prevalent in supervised learning for converting weak learners to strong learners. The concept of boosting is based on the question posed by Michael Kearns (computer scientist), Kearns and Leslie Valiant, Valiant (1988, 1989):Michael Kearns(1988)''Thoughts on Hypothesis Boosting'' Unpublished manuscript (Machine Learning class project, December 1988) "Can a set of weak learners create a single strong learner?" A weak learner is defined as a Statistical classification, classifier that is only slightly correlated with the true classification. A strong learner is a classifier that is arbitrarily well-correlated with the true classification. R ...
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Empirical Bayes Method
Empirical Bayes methods are procedures for statistical inference in which the prior probability distribution is estimated from the data. This approach stands in contrast to standard Bayesian methods, for which the prior distribution is fixed before any data are observed. Despite this difference in perspective, empirical Bayes may be viewed as an approximation to a fully Bayesian treatment of a hierarchical model wherein the parameters at the highest level of the hierarchy are set to their most likely values, instead of being integrated out. Introduction Empirical Bayes methods can be seen as an approximation to a fully Bayesian treatment of a hierarchical Bayes model. In, for example, a two-stage hierarchical Bayes model, observed data y = \ are assumed to be generated from an unobserved set of parameters \theta = \ according to a probability distribution p(y\mid\theta)\,. In turn, the parameters \theta can be considered samples drawn from a population characterised b ...
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